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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Tuesday, May 9th 2023.
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Today's Betting Overview - Tigers vs. Guardians
The Tigers take on the Guardians on Tuesday, May 9th 2023 at Progressive Field, Cleveland. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2023 season.
- Matchup: Detroit Tigers (16-18) vs. Cleveland Guardians (16-19)
- Date: Tuesday, May 9th 2023
- Time: 6:10 ET
- Venue: Progressive Field, Cleveland
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Tigers vs. Guardians
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Detroit Tigers - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
Heading into today's game against Cleveland, the Tigers have a record of just 16-18. This places the team 2nd in the AL Central. The Tigers hope to avoid dropping below .500 when playing on the road, as they are currently 8-11.
Across their 34 games, Detroit has been favored one times, yet their record against the runline is above .500. With an average betting line of 8 runs, the team's over/under record stands at 18-15.
For Detroit, Michael Lorenzen will look to pick up a win over Cleveland, as he has a record of 1-1. With an ERA of 5.14, Michael Lorenzen has had his struggles on the mound. The right-hander has a batting average allowed of .268. Opposing hitters have gone deep three times against Michael Lorenzen, who has a WOBA allowed of .345. With a total of seven walks, Lorenzen has a WHIP of 1.38.
Detroit has struggled to score runs this season, currently ranking 28th in scoring with an average of 3.7 runs per game. Through 35 games, the Tigers have the 23rd-ranked batting average at .233. So far this season, Detroit is 25th in home runs, with a total of just 30 deep shots. To date, Detroit has the MLB's 30th-rated OBP, sitting at .298.
Cleveland Guardians - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
The Cleveland Guardians come into this road contest vs Detroit with a below .500 record (16-19). In the AL Central division standings, the team ranks 3rd. Cleveland has had their problems at home, going just 6-10 at Progressive Field.
Cleveland's record vs. the runline is just 13-22 despite being favored 22 times through 35 games. The team's over/under record comes in at 13-21 with an average betting line of 8.
Taking the mound for Cleveland is Shane Bieber. Heading into play, he has a mark of 2-1. Leading up to the game, Shane Bieber has an ERA of just 2.96. Currently, opponents are batting just .223 against the right-hander. Shane Bieber has given up four home runs leading to a WOBA allowed of .289. Bieber has a WHIP of 1.07, with 12 walks allowed.
This season, runs have been hard to come by for Cleveland, as they are the 29th-ranked scoring team, averaging 3.5 runs per game. The Guardians' combined batting average currently sits at .223, placing them 28th in the league. So far, home runs have hard to come by for the team, with just 19 home runs (30th). To date, Cleveland has the MLB's 28th-rated OBP, sitting at .300.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Tigers vs. Guardians
Heading into today's matchup between Cleveland and the Tigers, the Guardians are the heavy favorite at -210 on the moneyline. Cleveland's implied win probability sits at 67.74%. Despite the odds, our MLB prediction model recommends grabbing the Tigers to cover at +1.5 runs on the runline.
Recommended Betting Pick: Tigers +1.5
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