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John Brubaker's top NBA betting picks and best bets for today's NBA games on 1/27/24. His free picks against the spread, teasers, parlays, and NBA player props.
Happy Saturday, RotoBallers! Another day, another dollar in the NBA and we have a nice-sized 10-game slate worth of NBA action throughout the entire day. We have some fun matchups tonight with some surprising storylines to monitor.
We have ourselves a handful of teams coming into tonight's slate on a back-to-back, as the Mavericks, Rockets, Hornets, Clippers, Bucks, Pelicans, and Spurs will all take the floor tonight after playing on Friday night.
In this article, I'll be providing my favorite picks against the spread, game totals, parlays, and teasers for the NBA slate that tips off at 12:00 p.m. EST on Saturday, January 27.
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NBA Betting Picks: Totals
Sacramento Kings (-2.5) at Dallas Mavericks (245 total)
I'll start things off out in Dallas. Dallas heads home from the second leg of a back-to-back following a 148-143 victory in Atlanta last night where Luka Doncic scored a franchise-record 73 points.
I'll be looking at the other side of things here, as the Kings should seem to be in a nice positive regression spot. The Kings rank 10th in pace (102.2), while the Mavericks rank seventh (102.9). My model projects a 103.45 pace in this one. The Kings also project to a 115.61 offensive efficiency (+1.31). My model projects the Kings to score 127.67 points in this one, which makes me think we're getting great value on this line.
The Pick: Kings TT o122.5 (-105, FanDuel Sportsbook)
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NBA Betting Picks: ML and Spreads
Houston Rockets (+4.5) at Brooklyn Nets (218 total)
I'll take a look at the Rockets-Nets showdown next. The Rockets come into this following a 138-104 blowout victory against the Hornets in Charlotte last night, while Brooklyn had the night off on Friday following a 96-94 loss against Minnesota on Thursday.
The Rockets have the advantage in both projected offensive efficiency (111.81) and projected defensive efficiency (109.87). While I tend to avoid teams on a back-to-back, it's worth noting that Fred VanVleet was the only Rockets player to play 30 or more minutes on Friday night, so they should be relatively fresh. I'll back Houston on the spread here, and perhaps sprinkle a bit on the moneyline (+154).
The pick: Rockets +4.5 (-110, DraftKings Sportsbook)
Favorite ML Parlay: Rockets + Timberwolves ML (+207, DK)
Favorite Teaser: SAC/DAL o236.5 + Rockets +10 (-110, FD)
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