Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!

Lost password? [X]

Receive free daily analysis:


Already have an account? Log in here.


Forgot Password


The Grass Isn't Always Greener - Free Agents Fantasy Fallers

Every season we see several fantasy relevant players switch teams. With free agency occurring in March, the instant reaction is there, but it doesn't always hold. It is important to reanalyze those moves later in the offseason, particularly after the NFL Draft. Now that it is June, we have a much better idea of how these moves will impact these players.

Unfortunately, switching teams isn't always positive for players. Whether it is a receiver moving to a weaker quarterback, a running back joining a crowded backfield, or a quarterback moving to a team with weaker weapons, free agent moves can seriously diminish a player's value.

Let's take a look at some players that saw their value drop on a new team.

Editor's Note: Get any full-season NFL Premium Pass for 50% off. Our exclusive In-Season Lineup Tools, Lineup Optimizer and over 150 days of Premium DFS Research. Sign Up Now!


Antonio Brown (WR, OAK)

Sure, he wasn't a free agent, but Antonio Brown did change teams. This is a pretty straightforward analysis. Brown has been the best wide receiver in fantasy football since 2014. While he is still projected to be a strong WR1, he's not even a consideration for the top five anymore. The reason has everything to do with his team.

AB finished as the overall WR2 last season by average ppg. Now on the wrong side of 30, there is nothing suggesting AB is slowing down even in the slightest. Additionally, his skillset is the type that ages very gracefully. I believe he can still play at a high level for another two or three years before declining gradually, playing well into his mid-30s. With that being said, his floor and ceiling are undoubtedly lower in Oakland than in Pittsburgh.

Derek Carr is a below average QB, at best, and a significant downgrade from Ben Roethlisberger. The Raiders are a much worse offense. The targeting should still be there for Brown, but the efficiency and, most importantly, the touchdowns, are coming down. Brown can still be an excellent fantasy receiver and is properly priced as a mid second rounder, but unless Carr takes an unexpected step forward, the days of AB contending for the top fantasy WR are over.


Jordan Howard (RB, PHI)

Another playing changing teams not via free agency was Jordan Howard. He was traded from the Bears to the Eagles. After averaging 260 carries a season over his first three years in the league, Howard goes from being the thunder in the Bears backfield to what is likely one-third of an Eagles committee. Doug Pederson uses three backs in a rotation. That is just what he does. It doesn't really matter who they are. With holdovers like Wendell Smallwood and Corey Clement still around combined with the Eagles second-round selection of Miles Sanders, Howard has virtually no chance of matching the volume he has typically seen.

While his touchdown upside may seem greater on a better offense, it's hard to envision Howard crossing the plan more than the nine times he did so each of the past two seasons. Howard's receptions ceiling is probably at two per game and even that feels high. He's not going to catch passes in Philly and the volume is going down, making it unlikely Howard is anything more than an RB3, at best.


Carlos Hyde (RB, KC)

Okay, now we're actually getting to players that signed elsewhere in free agency. Carlos Hyde went from the 49ers to the Browns to the Jaguars last year. This offseason, he signed with the Chiefs. While there is certainly a scenario where Hyde could come into significant value, he needs an injury for it to happen, and even then, I would expect a split backfield.

Hyde went from being a three-down back in San Francisco to a pure backup in Kansas City relatively quickly. Now age 28, the days of Hyde being a relevant asset are over. He may have a moment or two, but no team is going to put Hyde on the field and give him significant work on purpose ever again. Hyde should be drafted this season, but it is unlikely he ever sees a workload like he did in San Francisco or Cleveland last season.


Adam Humphries (WR, TEN)

If Adam Humphries is to be believed, he shouldn't be on this list given that he passed up a chance to sign in New England. Instead, Humphries goes from the primary slot receiver in a high volume passing offense to a crowded wide receiver corps on a run-first offense.

Humphries saw 105 targets in 2018, a number he will have a difficult time reaching in 2019. Humphries will be competing with Corey Davis, A.J. Brown, Taywan Taylor, and Delanie Walker for targets for a team that attempted just 533 passes. Even if Humphries can usurp Taylor for the primary slot role, it is nowhere near as valuable a position in Tennessee as it is in Tampa.

Humphries is a low ceiling player that is the exact type of receiver you want to avoid in the later rounds. He's the type of guy you stream when you desperately need someone that you know won't get you zero. He's never going to be a difference maker.


Golden Tate (WR, NYG)

Someone really needs to explain to me what this article is supposed to be about. Here we are again with a team changer via trade. Golden Tate was traded to the Giants where he will presumably man the slot despite both Sterling Shepard and Evan Engram operating in that area. The Giants are a backwards organization that has no interest in winning football games. Tate is now tethered to a washed up Eli Manning who will inevitably be benched for an even worse option in Daniel Jones. There are a ton of targets vacated by Odell Beckham, but Tate just doesn't have a very high ceiling in New York.

The 90 catch, 1,000-yard receiver is not coming back, even if you believe Tate still has the talent in him. Pass on Tate for higher upside options on better offenses.

More NFL Free Agency Analysis

More Recent Articles


Wide Receiver Matchups To Target In Week 14

In Week 13, Davante Adams and Tyreek Hill were the high-end options that had great matchups. Adams had a huge two-touchdown game while Hill only came up with 55 scoreless yards, falling victim to game flow as the Chiefs led from start to finish, scoring a defensive touchdown in the process. Several of the wide receivers... Read More

Fantasy Football Starts and Sits: Matchups Analysis for Week 14

Welcome to our Week 14 matchup analysis and start/sit column for fantasy football. We'll be covering every single contest from the Sunday slate in one convenient location, helping you make the best decisions for your fantasy lineups. Be sure to check back regularly because this article will be updated as news comes in regarding injuries and other... Read More

Monday Night Fantasy Football Starts/Sits - Week 14

Finally, we had a good fantasy matchup last week. And now, as punishment, we get this. The Eagles against the Giants is a good rivalry game. But for fantasy? Not so much. Even key players Saquon Barkley and Carson Wentz have been severely disappointing in 2019. The game is not going to be something to... Read More

Playoffs Panic Room? Outlooks for Slumping WRs and RBs

As your fantasy football playoffs open, some of your projected starters have not performed up to expectations in recent weeks. But knowing their track records of production in the past and/or earlier this year, it may be hard to sit them. You want reassurance on some of these suddenly lackluster players before the postseason begins.... Read More

Fantasy Football Playoff RB Handcuffs: Add Them Now!

The fantasy football postseason has begun, so it’s time to re-evaluate your depth, especially at running back. With only three weeks left on most fantasy scoreboards and each matchup possibly being your last, there is no more time for stashing players for potential contributions later. You also cannot waste roster space on guys who will... Read More

Key Starters and Tough Calls - Lineup Spotlights for Week 14

Welcome to Week 14, RotoBallers! Below you will find some of my spotlight plays and tough lineup decisions for the upcoming week of the fantasy football playoffs. These player selections are based on my Premium Weekly Lineup Rankings, available as part of the RotoBaller's NFL Premium Pass. Enter promo code KING at checkout for a... Read More

Red Zone Usage Risers and Fallers - Week 14

We are at a crucial point in the season. Either your league is in playoff season, or it's just about to begin. Now is the week to get your team in shape before that final push! On a personal note, some of the fallers may have caused me some fantasy pain this season, see if... Read More

QB vs Pass Rush Matchups To Watch - Week 14

Week 14 is here, and the fantasy playoffs are rolling. Some people are on byes for the week which can help if you've got key players in bad matchups, but others are scrapping to keep their season alive. Real teams start at quarterback, and they're pretty important for fantasy as well. Quarterbacks have changed the... Read More

Inside the Tent - Week 14 NFL Injury Insight

At RotoBaller, we can't stress enough the importance of keeping up with injuries and playing your best lineup week after week. Players are going to get injured, that's an unavoidable fact. What's avoidable though is making the wrong roster decisions based on the injuries surrounding your fantasy squad. If you want to dominate your leagues... Read More

Fantasy Football News and Injuries - Running Updates

Below is a quick-hit list of running notes on relevant injuries and player news, including pre-game reports and live in-game updates. Stay tuned for updates all throughout the week and on Sunday morning game day:   Week 14 Le'Veon Bell (illness) has officially been ruled out for this week. Evan Engram and Daniel Jones have been... Read More

Week 14 Fantasy Football Staff Rankings

Below you will find all of RotoBaller's fantasy football weekly rankings, tiers, player news and stats for the 2019 NFL season. Our Ranking Wizard displays our staff's rankings for various league formats, all in one easy place. Here's what you'll find: Weekly PPR Rankings Weekly Half-PPR Rankings Weekly Standard Rankings Dynasty League Rankings     Fantasy... Read More

Fantasy Football IDP Rankings for Week 14 (Top 100)

The fantasy playoffs are here for most of us, so every position matters that much more. IDP spots often become an afterthought or a set-it-and-forget-it situation but it could be that linebacker who has a monster game or that key interception that makes the difference between winning or going home. Look to our streamer suggestions... Read More

Week 14-16 Playoff Defense (DEF) Streamers and Starts - 2019 Fantasy Tiers, Rankings

The playoffs are here, and that means we're going to do things a little differently. I want to take a look at the playoffs as a whole (and in this case we are considering Weeks 14-16) and determine which DSTs you can ride all the way through and which ones you should stream this week.... Read More

Star Players Who Might Miss the Fantasy Playoffs

As we head into the playoff weeks of fantasy football, you'll hear many experts preach (correctly) the need to stash high-upside handcuffs or backups at quarterback or tight end. You'll inevitably hear about looking ahead three weeks for favorable playoff schedules and thinking less about what the player has done up until now or whether... Read More

Week 14 Busts? Players To Consider Avoiding

It's finally here... The fantasy playoffs for most leagues. Hopefully you have a chance to win a fantasy championship in the next few weeks. If you're lucky, you have a first-round bye and won't have to worry about anything this week except for picking out a Christmas tree and setting up all your holiday decorations.... Read More