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Daily Fantasy Golf FanDuel Picks (PGA DFS) - WGC Workday Championship

Joe Nicely breaks down the FanDuel slate for the WGC-Workday Championship, providing information of not only who will come into the week under-owned but also who should be avoided for your lineups.

Hello RotoBaller PGA crew! It's great to be back with you guys and I appreciate you joining us here at RotoBaller!

In this article we'll discuss some of the standout PGA DFS plays available on FanDuel for the WGC-Workday Championship l. While it's impossible to hit on every player, we'll touch on some different plays across all price ranges, breaking the groups down into "High", "Mid", and "Low" price options, as well as a couple of GPP Value Plays worth considering.

Like always, the purpose of this piece is to help you put together your optimal daily fantasy golf lineups for FanDuel, whether that be from a GPP perspective or a cash-game mentality. Be sure to also read all of our other top-notch weekly PGA DFS and betting articles to help you win big!

 

WGC Workday Championship - PGA DFS Overview

The Concession

7,474 Yards - Par 72 - Greens: Bermuda - Designer: Jack Nicklaus & Tony Jacklin

We tread into unfamiliar waters this week, as the PGA Tour heads to Florida and The Concession Golf Club for the WGC-Workday Championship. This will mark the first professional event held at the course named for Jack Nicklaus' Ryder Cup putt concession to Tony Jacklin, and as with any new course on the schedule, we're making educated guesses as to how the layout will play for the best golfers in the world.

The Concession hosted the 2015 NCAA Championships won by Bryson DeChambeau, but one college event is tough to rely on. Concession does have a couple of members that are prominent in the world of golf, with Paul Azinger and J.B Holmes being the most notable, and word on the street is that this course is "tough".

As with most of Nicklaus' layouts, there is an Augusta National influence. Concession's greens are undulation and nuanced with shaved runoffs that will place emphasis on short games. The fairways are generous and the course is long as a whole. In the absence of any hard data, I'll lean on players with good track records at Nicklaus' other designs (of which there are many) and Augusta National, with distance off the tee, sharp iron play, and good short games being the order of the day for me.

For an in-depth breakdown of this week's course, check out RotoBaller's PGA Premium Course Breakdown by Josh Bennett!

 

Let's Look At The Stats

Stat The Concession Tour Average
Driving Distance N/A 282
Driving Accuracy N/A 62%
GIR Percentage N/A 65%
Scrambling Percentage N/A 57%
Average Three-Putts Per Round N/A 0.55

 

Key Stats

  • Strokes Gained: Approach
  • Strokes Gained: Around The Green
  • Total Driving
  • Bogey Avoidance
  • Driving Distance
  • Course History - Nicklaus Designed Courses & Augusta National

 

Fantasy Golf Lineup Picks for FanDuel (PGA DFS)

We have tons of great weekly PGA articles, DFS analysis, tools and DFS advice. Be sure to read our other fantastic articles regarding this week's event including DFS lineup picks for DraftKings/FanDuel, betting advice and DFS prop picks.

 

High-Priced FanDuel DFS Players 

Dustin Johnson ($12,100)

With his current form, it feels as though DFS slates sort of begin and end with Dustin Johnson. Though he faded a bit during the final round at Riviera, DJ still put forth a solid effort a Genesis without having his best stuff on Sunday. As we head to an unknown commodity in The Concession Golf Club this week, I don't think there's a player I'd rather have on a golf course that I know little about, as throughout his career Johnson has consistently shown the ability to excel on basically any type of layout. There are lots of Augusta National comps being thrown around this week and DJ demonstrated what he's capable of there back in November. He also has an elite track record at Glen Abbey, a Nicklaus design that hosted the Canadian Open for several years, as well as being prolific on U.S. Open layouts. All in all, DJ once again grades out as the best option on the board for me this week.

Jon Rahm ($11,900)

I haven't found Jon Rahm in many of my final roster builds this year, but I expect that to change this week. The Spaniard heads to Florida off a blistering final-round 66 at Riviera last Sunday en route to a T5 at the Genesis. Rahm gained 8.6 strokes T2G last week and it was the 12th(!) straight start in which he had a positive T2G metric. His irons are firing nicely, as he's gained a combined 10.2 strokes on Approach over his last two tournaments. In addition to the ball striking - and his ability to handle Concession's length - I'm drawn to Rahm due to his sparkling record at Augusta National and his win at Muirfield Village last year. Toss in his continually-improving short game and Rahmbo trails only DJ in my WGC-Workday models.

Patrick Cantlay ($11,500)

I was practically "all in" on Patrick Cantlay last week at Riviera. Unfortunately, Cantlay failed to make very many "timely" putts over the weekend and slouched into a mediocre T15 at Genesis. Despite that relative disappointment, I'm willing to stay on the young American this week on a course that appears to suit his strengths. Cantlay has performed well at the Masters and has victories on two prominent Nicklaus tracks...The Memorial at Muirfield Village and the ZOZO Championship at Sherwood. His strength lies in his proficiency in every area of the game and that jack-of-all-trades quality is something I'm always looking for on "unknown" courses.

Bryson DeChambeau ($11,300)

I've been lukewarm on Bryson in 2021 and I suppose that's where I'd classify myself again this week, so this is more of a "let's talk about Bryson" writeup than a true recommendation. However, DeChambeau is basically the only player in this week's field with any type of concrete history at Concession, so he's certainly worth considering and discussing. The Mad Scientist took down the 2015 NCAA Championships that were held on this layout, winning with a score of eight-under par. In addition to that victory, he also has a win at Muirfield Village - another Nicklaus design - on his resume. However, DeChambeau is such a vastly different player now than he was then, that's it is fair to wonder how much stock to put into his 2015 college victory on this course. It feels as though his length will undoubtedly be an advantage this week - and there appears to be plenty of room for him to operate off the tee - but my concern is his spotty Approach play and work around the greens. Bryson has lost strokes with his irons in both of his 2021 starts and he'll need to find that part of his game to be successful this week.

Tyrrell Hatton ($11,000)

We haven't seen Tyrell Hatton in the U.S. this year, but the Englishman has been very busy - and successful - internationally in 2021. Hatton won the Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship last month and followed up with a rock-solid T6 at the Saudi International just a couple of weeks ago. This form comes on the heels of a tremendous 2020, a year that would have to be considered Hatton's most successful as a pro. He won the Arnold Palmer Invitational in early 2020 and followed up with a victory at the BMW Championships in Europe after the COVID-19 restart. Hatton reminds me of an English Patrick Reed (a player we'll talk more about in this week's article)...he's always tough to peg statistically, but seems to always be in the mix on tough golf courses.

 

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Mid-Priced FanDuel DFS Players

Brooks Koepka ($10,700)

Is Brooks back? A win - even of the backdoor variety - at the WMPO indicates the answer is yes. And while some will view his T38 outing last week at Genesis as a step back, it was his best career outing at Riviera and he was a little bit unlucky with windy conditions on Saturday. So if we're ready to say that BK is indeed "back", then he must be in the conversation in "big" events like this week's WGC and upcoming major championships. Koepka's game as a whole has been inconsistent this year, but the constant has been his ability off the tee, as he's gained strokes OTT in all four of his 2021 starts. That length will be a leg up this week, as will his infamous ability to handle tough golf courses and preference for the type of Bermuda greens that he grew up playing.

Webb Simpson ($10,500)

It's always easy to overlook Webb Simpson and it looks as though his ownership will be utterly reasonable again this week. Simpson's style isn't as flashy as many of his elite counterparts, but it is no less effective, as he was able to win twice on the PGA Tour in 2020. His lack of length off the tee probably isn't ideal on this 7,400-yard golf course - and will likely turn many off - but it's his ability in every other area that has my interest piqued. Simpson's irons are consistently good and he grades out fourth in this week's WGC field in SG: Short Game over long-term measurements. I can kinda see some similarities between Concession and TPC Sawgrass...a golf course that Simpson won The Players on in 2018.

Patrick Reed ($10,400)

If I'm being honest, Patrick Reed has had me befuddled for years. The guys stats are like abstract art...you can see something different every time and you're never really sure what it all means. However, after Reed's win at Torrey Pines earlier this year I made myself a promise: throw the stats out the window and roster this guy on hard golf courses. So, my interest this week lies in the expected tough environment - and Reed's proven ability to handle difficult tracks - of this layout rather than any statistical factors. He possesses perhaps the best short game in the world and a player that I really like if Concession plays as tough as advertised.

Scottie Scheffler ($10,000)

Scottie Scheffler hasn't been on the PGA Tour very long, but he's quickly putting together an impressive resume on "tough" layouts with a top-20 in his Masters debut and a top-five at the PGA Championship being just a couple of the examples. Scheffler started and finished strong last week at Riviera - a difficult course in its own right - but had a couple of rounds get away from him in between. In addition to his length off the tee, I'm drawn to the Texan's scrambling ability this week. He's gained strokes around the green in seven of his last eight starts and also packs the firepower - 19th in Birdies or Better Gained - needed to win a tournament of this caliber.

Joaquin Niemann ($9,800)

Niemann headed into the third round at seven-under par last week, but exited Saturday at just even par. The young Chilean wasn't the only victim claimed at Riviera last Saturday, though it serves as a nice illustration of just how quickly things can change in big-time golf tournaments. Despite the horrible weekend at Genesis, I'm willing to stay on Niemann here, as the kid has looked like a true superstar over the last six months. He grades out third in this stacked field in both SG: T2G & Ball Striking and had posted runner-up finishes in both of his 2021 starts prior to last week. Yes, there's a little bit of a "wild card" feel that comes with rostering Niemann, but this sub-$10k price tag feels like great GPP spot.

Cameron Smith ($9,600)

FEAR THE MULLETT! I don't know if it's Cameron Smith wicked-cool hair or his world-class short game that's calling my name this week (it's the latter), but I'm in on the Aussie at Concession. Things line up well for Smith, a player that's coming off a top-five at Riviera last week. He posted a runner-up finish at the most recent Masters, as well as a top-five at the ZOZO Championship late last year on a Nicklaus-designed Sherwood track. Smith grades out third in this field in SG: Around The Green and second in Sand Saves Gained. The line of thinking with Smith is similar to my thought process behind Patrick Reed...if Concession is a course that will force players to scramble and rely on their short games...he's a guy you want on your roster.

 

Low-Priced FanDuel DFS Players

Jason Day ($9,200)

If we think scrambling and ability around the green is going to be important this week, then we almost have to talk about Jason Day. Day is known for being good on tough golf courses thanks to both his length off the tee and his scrambling ability. The Aussie grades out first in this WGC field in Scrambling Gained over the last 24 rounds. He's coming off his best finish of the year - a T7 at Pebble Beach - though it's been an otherwise sluggish start for the former top-ranked player in the world. There's an inherent volatility that comes with rostering Day, but there's enough upside on this type of layout that I'm willing to chase a high finish in this week's no-cut format.

Justin Rose ($9,000)

Another veteran that's basically been impossible to depend on lately. Justin Rose catches my eye due to both his Augusta National record and history on Nicklaus layouts. We also have to feel that the veteran is capable of handling anything that this course might throw at him. The form hasn't been there consistently, but a runner-up finish in his most recent start at the Saudi International indicates that perhaps his game is headed in the right direction.

Ryan Palmer ($8,600)

Palmer heads to Florida on the heels of three top-five finishes in his last five starts. The Texan also checks the "Nicklaus design" box, having logged a top-five at the ZOZO late last year on a Nicklaus-designed Sherwood layout and a runner-up finish at Muirfield Village for the Memorial. We've also seen some strong performances at PGA National - the home of the Honda Classic and a Nicklaus course - over his career.

GPP Value Options

Carlos Ortiz ($8,000)

Bounce-back performances have kinda been a common theme in 2021 and I'm interested in Carlos Ortiz' ability to rebound this week. The Mexican logged his first missed cut since October last week at Riviera, but closed out with a Friday 69 after an opening-round 75. Ortiz brings some explosiveness to the table at this price tag and ranks fifth in this elite WGC in Birdies or Better Gained over recent rounds. A win at the Houston Open late last year and a top-five in Phoenix a few weeks ago demonstrate that he has the type of GPP upside that we're shopping for in this price range.

Thomas Detry ($7,400)

Outside of Bryson DeChambeau, Thomas Detry is the only player in this WGC field with competitive rounds at Concession under his belt. Detry finished in a tie for third at the 2015 NCAA Championship that DeChambeau won here. Primarily a Euro Tour player, the Belgian had a strong 2020, posting two runner-up finishes in the month of August. He's been uneven in three starts this year, but did managed at top-10 finish recently at the Omega Dubai Classic. His splash of course history and talent that's relatively unknown in the U.S., makes him an intriguing GPP option this week.

  Win More With RotoBaller

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Our very own Joe Nicely took down a big DraftKings DFS tournament for the Travelers Championship. And as an encore, RotoBaller subscriber @tenndolly2 won $100K on FanDuel with the help of Joe and the rest of our Premium PGA team:

Between all the incredible Premium PGA DFS and Betting content and tools we put out each week, and our Premium Slack Community where we chat with our subscribers before lineups lock, RotoBaller PGA subscribers are armed with the tools, analysis, and advice to win more.

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