RADIO
Welcome back, RotoBallers! As always, please check out my weekly spreadsheet in the link below to get started on your research for the Wyndham Championship. You will be able to weigh out the categories however you see fit once you make a copy, and I always love hearing the success you have found while using the model. Thanks again for all the support, and let's have a successful week!
If you have any questions about a particular player from a PGA DFS or PGA betting perspective, please feel free to contact Spencer on Twitter @Teeoffsports.
Many golfers barely miss out on being mentioned here by fractions of a percent, and I am more than happy to discuss my feelings or stance on anyone that may have caught your eye. Like always, the purpose of this piece is to help you put together your optimal daily fantasy golf lineups for DraftKings, whether that be from a GPP perspective or a cash-game mentality. Be sure to also read all of our other top-notch weekly PGA DFS articles to help you win big!
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PGA DFS Rankings Wizard - Wyndham Championship
We have a special treat for all you RotoBallers and golf enthusiasts. In addition to this article, be sure to also check out Spencer's PGA DFS Rankings Wizard - a powerful and interactive data spreadsheet, allowing user inputs to create custom rankings and models for golf. If you would like to create your own spreadsheet, you will need to make a copy under "file." We hope you enjoy!
Sedgefield Country Club
7,127 Yards - Par 70 - Greens Bermuda
Sedgefield Country Club was designed by Donald Ross in 1926 but was re-modeled and toughened in 2007 by Kris Spence. The venue can be considered a straightforward par 70, measuring in at 7,127 yards, and will reward plodders who can find the fairway off the tee. The greens are typical of a Ross design, featuring small surfaces and undulation throughout the property, and three-putt avoidance does come into play with the speed that comes into play.
Eight of the par-fours measure between 400-450 yards, and the two par-fives at the facility yielded an eagle rate of 6.2% and 3.8%, respectively. Birdie or better percentage will play a factor since the event routinely plays around 20-under par or better, and players who excel with wedges between the distances of 125-175 yards will be at an advantage over the field. Ball striking will play a heavy factor in determining who can create scoring opportunities, and we should place some emphasis on players who excel in finding fairways.
Note: For an exclusive in-depth look at this week's course, check out RotoBaller's Premium Course Breakdown written by Josh Bennett.
Let's Look At The Stats
| Stat | Sedgefield | Tour Average |
| Driving Distance | 280 | 282 |
| Driving Accuracy | 62% | 62% |
| GIR Percentage | 72% | 65% |
| Scrambling Percentage | 58% | 57% |
| Average Three-Putts Per Round | 0.67 | 0.55 |
In Vegas, as of Monday, Webb Simpson leads the way at 12/1 and is followed by Hideki Matsuyama at 14/1, Louis Oosthuizen at 18/1 and Patrick Reed at 22/1.
Key Stats
- Weighted Proximity 125-175 Yards 17.5%
- Total Driving (Weighted Towards Accuracy) 17.5%
- Par-Four Average Between 400-450 Yards 15%
- Strokes Gained Total on Easy Courses 15%
- Overall Birdie or Better 12.5%
- SG Total on Fast Bermuda + 3-Putt Avoidance 12.5%
- Donald Ross Designs 5%
- Weighted Par-Five Scoring 5%
Fantasy Golf Lineup Picks for DraftKings (PGA DFS)
We have tons of great weekly PGA articles, DFS analysis, tools and DFS advice. Be sure to read our other fantastic articles regarding this week's event.
High-Priced DraftKings DFS Players
There are six players this week priced above $10,000:
- Safest Play: Webb Simpson ($10,600) - The only question I have is why? Why did DraftKings not make Webb Simpson some astronomical price tag that reduced his ownership away from the onslaught that is coming? As has been widely publicized in the media, Simpson named one of his daughters Wyndham because of this event, owns a home on the course and hasn't finished outside of third in his last four attempts, which doesn't even include his victory here in 2011. There probably isn't a better play in cash than the American, and it has proved dangerous trying to fade the chalk version of him in GPPs at this course.
- Most Upside: Hideki Matsuyama ($11,000) - On the surface, I don't have a massive issue with Hideki Matsuyama being the highest-priced player on the slate. The Japanese sensation ranks first over his last 24 rounds when it comes to strokes gained approach and is also third in this field in scoring on easy courses. Matsuyama seems to be making a strong push at the end of the year, and his two top-11 finishes at Sedgefield since 2016 will only add to that viewpoint.
- Favorite GPP Play: Hideki Matsuyama ($11,000)
- Fade: Will Zalatoris ($10,300) - Look, there is a chance that Will Zalatoris proves me wrong here in spectacular fashion, but I tend to prefer him at courses where he can use his driver to gain an advantage. There is nothing to say that Zalatoris can't club down and put himself into a prime spot to use his deadly irons, but he is the only player in this section that fails to grade inside of the top-10 for me.
- Most Likely Winner: Webb Simpson ($10,600)
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Mid-Priced DraftKings DFS Players
$9,000 Range
- Safest Play: Brian Harman ($9,900) - Brian Harman is a surprisingly good off the tee player for as short as he is in distance. The American ranks fifth in par-five birdie or better percentage, 14th in overall birdie or better rate and is sixth in three-putt avoidance. Harman does seem to be playable across the board since we are currently only looking at roughly a 10 percent ownership projection, but the safety he brings for cash is still my favorite aspect for him.
- Most Upside: Sungjae Im ($9,600) - If I have learned anything over the last few years, it is that Sungjae Im is capable of popping anytime he gets a Bermuda track. Im has turned his irons around by gaining shots to the field in his previous five events, and he ranks as the number one total driver in my model for this field.
- Favorite GPP Play: Adam Scott ($9,200) - It purely comes down to a leverage spot.
- Fade: Bubba Watson ($9,000) - Removing the driver sounds like one of the biggest deterrents we could do to Bubba Watson's game. Watson ranks just 68th in total driving and is an even worse 124th when it comes to three-putt avoidance.
- Most Likely Winner: Sungjae Im ($9,600)
$8,000 Range
- Safest Play: Kevin Na ($8,800) - Kevin Na graded seventh overall from a statistical perspective and was also seventh in scoring on easy courses, 30th in weighted proximity and is the number one player around the green. Na might fit the safe label, but he is also in play for GPP contests.
- Most Upside: Justin Rose ($8,000) - Justin Rose brings a lot to the table statistically. He is ranked first on Donald Ross courses, fourth on easy tracks, second on fast Bermuda greens and is also a three percent golfer that can win this event at nearly no ownership.
- Favorite GPP Play: Gary Woodland ($8,700)
- Fade: Seamus Power ($8,500)
- Most Likely Winner: Kevin Na ($8,800)
Low-Priced DraftKings DFS Players To Consider ($7,000)
- Safest Play: Brandt Snedeker ($7,900)
- Most Upside: Ryan Moore ($7,500)
- Favorite GPP Play: Joel Dahmen ($7,200)/ Mark Hubbard ($7,000)
- Fade: Hank Lebioda ($7,600)
- Most Likely Winner: Joel Dahmen ($7,200)
Sub-$6,000 Options To Consider
Here are a few of my preferred $6,000 shots:
Brian Stuard ($6,900), Jim Herman ($6,900), Brice Garnett ($6,800), Francesco Molinari ($6,800), Henrik Norlander ($6,600), Martin Laird ($6,600), Denny McCarthy ($6,600)
A lot of volatile options here, but I wouldn't be surprised to see a few names pop up on the leaderboard.
Win Big With RotoBaller
Golf is back, and it's time for you to win big with RotoBaller! Our PGA DFS Premium Package features several savvy analysts and proven DFS winners.Our very own Joe Nicely recently took down a big DraftKings DFS tournament for the Travelers Championship. And as an encore, RotoBaller subscriber @tenndolly2 won $100K on FanDuel with the help of Joe and the rest of our Premium PGA team:
If you read my articles @RotoBaller or listen to @TheTurnGolfPod I’ve been telling y’all it was #WinningSeason when golf came back! Shoutout to the entire @RotoBallerPGA squad and all you guys that support my work for all the ❤️ pic.twitter.com/07a4ynvbSU
— Joe Nicely (@JoeNicely) June 28, 2020
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