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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the New England Patriots vs. Arizona Cardinals, another article in our weekly series of free NFL betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free NFL betting breakdown article is for Monday, December 12th, 2022.
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Today's Betting Overview - Patriots @ Cardinals
The Patriots take on the Cardinals on Monday, December 12th at State Farm Stadium, Glendale. RotoBaller provides free handicapping picks and odds for all NFL games throughout the 2022 season.
- Matchup: New England Patriots (6-6) vs. Arizona Cardinals (4-8)
- Date: Monday, December 12th, 2022
- Time: 8:15 PM ET
- Venue: State Farm Stadium
Today's NFL Sportsbook Odds - Patriots @ Cardinals
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New England Patriots - NFL Betting Analysis
Last week, the Patriots lost in a divisional matchup against Buffalo Bills by a score of 24-10. New England entered the game as 4.0 point underdogs on the spread. The over-under betting total going into the game was 44, which the teams did not surpass. The Patriots were not able to make a comeback in last week's game, as they trailed Buffalo by a score of 17-7 heading into the final quarter. Through 12 games, the Patriots have an ATS record of 6-5-1. So far, they have an over-under record of 5-7. This week's betting total of 44.5 is slightly higher than the line in their previous games.
As the Patriots prepare to take on Arizona, they are ranked 20th in points per game at 20.8. Look for the team to put together a strong offensive performance vs a Cardinals defense ranked 30th in points per game. Although the Patriots come into the game ranked just 20th in pass yards per game, they will benefit from facing an Arizona secondary that is vulnerable through the air. We expect New England to have an above-average performance in the passing attack. On the ground, New England could continue to struggle, as they are just the 23rd-ranked team in rush yards per game and are facing a top 10 rush defense.
Arizona Cardinals - NFL Betting Analysis
Coming off a 25-24 non-conference loss to the Los Angeles Chargers, the Cardinals will look to get back in the win column vs Arizona. Arizona entered the game as 2.5-point underdogs, giving them an ATS win despite the straight-up loss. With their combined 49 points, the two teams exceeded the betting over-under number of 48. Arizona and Arizona went into the 4th quarter all tied at 17-17, before the Cardinals outscored the Cardinals by 1 in the final frame. Through 12 games, the Cardinals have an ATS record of 6-6. So far, they have an over-under record of 7-4-1. This week's betting total of 44.5 is slightly lower than the line in their previous games.
Heading into this week's matchup, the Cardinals' offense is averaging 22.0 points per game, placing them 16th in the NFL. This week, the team is matched up against the league's 8th-ranked defense, look for Arizona to have a below-average performance compared to their usual offensive output. This week, look for the Cardinals to struggle in the passing game, as not only have they struggled to move the ball through the air, but they are facing a secondary ranked 5th in passer rating allowed. On the ground, Arizona is just the 21st-ranked team in rush yards per game and are matched up against a defensive front giving up just 111.2 rush yards per game.
Today's NFL Betting Pick - Patriots vs. Cardinals
Over the last 5 matchups between New England and Arizona, the Cardinals have won 4 of the last 5 games. The two teams have combined to average 41.6 points per game in their last 5 meetings. New England and Arizona did not play each other in the 2021-2022 regular season.
The New England Patriots have performed well vs the spread in recent games, going 2-1. On average, the Patriots have averaged 26.2 points per game in the past 5 head-to-head matchups, compared to Arizona at 15.4.
Across their previous 3 regular season games, the Patriots have a straight-up record of just 1-2. In a similar fashion, the team's record vs the spread in these games was just 1-2. Their over-under record in this span was 1-2.
When looking at their past 3 road matchups, New England has an ATS record of 2-1 while averaging 28.67 per game. The team went 2-1 overall in these games.
Across their previous 3 regular season games, the Cardinals have a straight-up record of just 1-2. In these games, they have gone just 2-1 vs the spread while posting an over-under mark of 3-0.
Through their last 3 home games, Arizona has an ATS record of just 1-2. However, their overall record was 0-3 while averaging 18.33 points per game.
Recommended ATS Betting Pick: Patriots -1.5
Recommended OU Betting Pick: Under 44.5
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