X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

Week 20 Starting Pitcher Waiver Wire: Treading in Dangerous Waters

Welcome back readers after the one-week absence. Hopefully your rotation's didn't hit the fan in that time span but if so, I'll take responsibility for your team's downfall. This week I'll try and boost you back up, although the pickings are getting slimmer and slimmer as we wait for roster expansions in September.

If you've been following along with this series all season, you know the drill. If not, this article is to help you uncover starting pitcher options that may have been overlooked in your league or dropped after a poor start. As always, included are options for both shallow and deeper leagues. I also add my list of pitchers discussed previously at the end of the article with ownership levels to boot. Make sure to check them out, and grab any that are still out there.

To read about even more waiver wire options for starting pitchers, be sure to check out our famous waiver wire pickups list which is a running list that is updated daily. And don’t forget to check out our Starting Pitcher Matchups & Streaming Tool for expert guidance during the week too, including what pitchers to start/sit for seasonal and DFS leagues. Let’s get to it.

 

Starting Pitchers Waiver Wire - Shallow Leagues

Carlos Rodon (CHW, SP)

OWNED IN: 25% of Fleaflicker Leagues

BALLER MOVE: Add in 12 + leagues / Stream Worthy

Carlos Rodon is a good illustration of the hyped pitching prospect in his rookie season. He had tons of expectations preseason, with his ownership above 50% when he wasn't even on the 25-man roster to break camp. When he finally got a chance in the rotation he showed flashes of brilliance mixed with bouts of inconsistency.

Take a look at Rodon's streaks below.

Here's May 9th-June 9th:

Carlos Rodon Splits - May 9th to June 9th (FanGraphs)

Carlos Rodon Splits - May 9th to June 9th (FanGraphs)

And here's June 15th - July 21st:

Carlos Rodon Splits - June 15th to July 21st (FanGraphs)

Carlos Rodon Splits - June 15th to July 21st (FanGraphs)

And lastly here's July 26th - Present:

Carlos Rodon Splits - July 26th to August 11th (FanGraphs)

Carlos Rodon Splits - July 26th to August 11th (FanGraphs)

We're basically looking at completely different pitchers each time. It should be noted the latest run of performances has resulted in a 5.06 ERA even with 62% of the innings being shutout baseball. That helps explain the low FIP/xFIP but does not give us an answer for Rodon's inconsistencies.

The 3.09 ERA in August is a positive, along with the improved BB/9 rates, but it's hard to trust Rodon in shallow formats week in and week out. Hence the preferred play is to stream. He just shut down the Angels (7 IP, 0 R, 4 H, BB, 11 K) and gets them on Monday in Anaheim as part of a two-start week (@ LAA, @ SEA). Considering his recent success vs the Angels combined with Seattle's 21.8 K% vs LHP (3rd worst in AL), I'm willing to scoop Rodon up for the upcoming week.

 

Matt Garza (MIL, SP)

OWNED IN: 29% of Fleaflicker Leagues

BALLER MOVE: Add in 12 + leagues

Here's a name I was quite sure I would not be discussing in this series but the pickings are slim and he's gaining traction in ownership, so here we are. Matt Garza recorded a 5.55 ERA in the first half (4th worst) but has rewarded owners who stuck with him (likely idle owners) with his latest string of success.

In five starts since the All-Star Break, Garza owns a shiny 2.56 ERA and 1.11 WHIP over 31.2 innings. He's faced respectable lineups in that span (vs CLE, @ ARI, vs CHC, vs SD, @ CHC), so let's take a closer look into his recent success.

Here's his Pre-ASB stats:

Matt Garza Pre All-Star Break (FanGraphs)

Matt Garza Pre All-Star Break (FanGraphs)

And Post-ASB:

Matt Garza Post All-Star Break (FanGraphs)

Matt Garza Post All-Star Break (FanGraphs)

Off the bat we can see a significant decline in his HR/9 rate and BABIP along with a huge rise at his LOB%. The BABIP and LOB% are due for regression, but perhaps not back to pre-ASB levels. He's limited his slider usage and replaced it with more of sinkers and change ups, which helps explain the decline in HR.

Is that a recommendation to roster Garza until further notice? Heck no. Just too much risk involved. But he's got a juicy matchup vs Miami on Monday, a team that is last in MLB in AVG, OBP, OPS, HR%, and BB% vs RHP. He's got my stamp of approval for this streaming opportunity. Next weekend at Washington, you're on your own.

 

Starting Pitchers Waiver Wire - Deeper Leagues

Jeremy Hellickson (ARI, SP)

OWNED IN: 4% of Fleaflicker Leagues

BALLER MOVE: Add in NL-Only / Stream Worthy at Home

HellBoy just refuses to leave the fantasy landscape. He had an excellent run in July (1.88 ERA) that saw his ownership climb into the double digits. Enter two terrible outings at Houston and Washington (8 IP, 10 ER, 5/6 K/BB) and the party train reached an abrupt halt.

Smart owners rode the rocky waves and were rewarded with a dominant outing vs Philadelphia (8 IP, 0 ER, 6/0 K/BB). So what's the next move?

For starters, utilizing Hellickson in a home/away platoon is the preferred route. Check out his home/away splits.

Jeremy Hellickson Home/Away Splits (FanGraphs)

Jeremy Hellickson Home/Away Splits (FanGraphs)

It's surprising how much better he's performed at Chase Field, which is 6th in NL in R/game. The last time Hellickson failed to record a quality start at home was May 13th (7 GS).

He's got a two-start week ahead of him, but both are away from Chase Field (@ PIT, @ CIN). I cannot endorse either matchup for streaming purposes, but he should see STL and OAK at home afterwards should the rotation stay in line. Keep an eye on HellBoy.

 

Martin Perez (TEX, SP)

OWNED IN: 3% of Fleaflicker Leagues

BALLER MOVE: Add in AL-Only / Stream Worthy

Many fantasy owners may have forgotten about Martin Perez after his Tommy-John Surgery in 2014, but with pickings so slim it's worth putting him back on your radars.

Only 24, Perez has bounced back nicely after a horrendous outing vs NYY (1 IP, 8 ER) by compiling a 2.21 ERA over 20.1 innings (3 GS). Those matchups don't look intimidating on paper (TB, @ SEA, SF) but Tampa has actually been one of the best teams vs LHP according to RotoGrinders. Safe to say his 5.29 ERA on the season is very misleading. One peek at his 2.99 FIP and 3.81 SIERA imply he's getting a little unlucky, along with the .345 BABIP.

His fastball is back to around 92 mph while his sinker has been his best pitch in 2015. His sinker has limited hitters to a .133 AVG in 6 GS. He's not missing many bats (6.1 SwStk%) and he's yet to surrender a HR in 2015. Easy to say some regression is coming in the form of the longball.

He's got a matchup at home vs Seattle, a team who is last in the AL in AVG, OBP, and OPS vs LHP. He's got my stamp of approval for streamers. As for his next outing vs Toronto, tread at your own risk. The HRs should be aplenty.

 

Other Pitchers Previously Highlighted to Consider

The noticeable names with questionable ownership levels include Luis Severino, Taylor Jungmann, Erasmo Ramirez, Kyle Hendricks, and Brett Anderson. It's likely at least one of these pitchers is still available in your league and worth a FA add.

In Order of Ownership %

Noah Syndergaard (NYM, SP / 85% ; up 1%)
Jaime Garcia (STL, SP / 69% ; up 9%)
Taijuan Walker (SEA, SP / 61% ; up 4%)
Wei-Yin Chen (BAL, SP / 58% ; up 4%)
R.A. Dickey (TOR, SP / 57% ; up 12%)
Mike Leake (DL) (CIN, SP / 55% ; down 12%)
Luis Severino (NYY, SP / 51% ; up 6%)
Taylor Jungmann (MIL, SP / 51% ; up 6%)
Yovani Gallardo (TEX, SP / 48% ; up 1%)
Chris Tillman (BAL, SP / 47% ; down 3%)
Erasmo Ramirez (TB, SP / 29% ; up 1%)
Jonathan Niese (NYM, SP / 28% ; up 12%)
Kyle Hendricks (CHC, SP / 25% ; up 2%)
Eduardo Rodriguez (BOS, SP / 24% ; down 5%)

Brett Anderson (LAD, SP / 22% ; down 1%)
Aaron Nola (PHI, SP / 22% ; down 7%)
Mike Montgomery (SEA, SP / 18% ; down 8%)
Jake Peavy (SF, SP / 14% ; up 3%)
Tom Koehler (MIA, SP / 12% ; down 3%)

 

MLB & Fantasy Baseball Chat

[iflychat_embed id="c-12" hide_user_list="yes" hide_popup_chat="no" height="400px"]

 

 




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Jayden Higgins

Impresses During Minicamp
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

on the Move to Memphis
Cole Anthony

Dealt to the Grizzlies
Seattle Seahawks

DeMarcus Lawrence Making an Impression With his New Team
Isaiah Simmons

Being Used Exclusively as a Linebacker
Tyler Mahle

Placed on 15-Day Injured List
Travis Etienne Jr.

the Jaguars Lead Back?
Luis Robert Jr.

Scratched with Thumb Soreness
Desmond Bane

Traded to Orlando
Byron Buxton

Scratched from Sunday's Lineup
Daniel Jones

the Favorite in Colts QB Competition?
Brendan Donovan

Returns to the Lineup
Steven Adams

Rockets Agree to Three-Year Contract Extension
Royce Lewis

Hits 10-Day Injured List
Ty Dillon

Is a Respectable Cap Flexiblity-Focused DFS Option For Mexico City
Corey Perry

Produces 10th Postseason Goal
Connor McDavid

Scores First Finals Goal
John Hunter Nemechek

Is John Hunter Nemechek Worth Rostering In Mexico City DFS Lineups?
Shohei Ohtani

Blasts Two Homers in Win
Sam Bennett

Nets Another Road Goal in Game 5 Win
Eetu Luostarinen

Earns Two Points Saturday
Michael King

Not Making Progress
Brad Marchand

Pots Two Goals in Game 5 Victory
Jackson Merrill

Removed Early on Saturday
Sergei Bobrovsky

Ties NHL Record with 10th Road Win
Ross Chastain

Trackhouse Racing's Mexico Focus Makes Ross Chastain a Leading Contender for the Win
Kyle Busch

One of Two Past Mexico City Winners in the Field
Ryan Preece

Earns Surprising Front-Row Start
Austin Cindric

Not as Strong of a Road Racer as People Think
NASCAR

Bubba Wallace Stronger on Infield Road Courses Than Purpose-Built Ones
Joey Logano

Seemingly Alternating Between Good and Mediocre Races
Brad Keselowski

One of the Few Drivers with Mexico City Experience
Denny Hamlin

Ryan Truex Makes First Cup Series Start Since 2014
Erik Jones

Mexico City Will Likely be a Struggle for Erik Jones
Noah Gragson

Front Row Motorsports' Speed May Make Noah Gragson a Decent DFS Option
Ricky Stenhouse Jr

Road Courses Are Ricky Stenhouse Jr.'s Worst Track Type
Riley Herbst

Surprisingly Outqualifies 23XI Racing Teammates at Mexico City
Cody Ware

a Very Experienced Road Racer but Still a Long Shot
Shane Van Gisbergen

Shane van Gisbergen the Heavy Favorite to Win in Mexico City
Christopher Bell

the Chalk DFS Play in Mexico City
Tyler Reddick

Has a Lot of Work To Do To Be Competitive in Mexico
AJ Allmendinger

Struggling to Find Speed in Mexico City
Chris Buescher

Says Car is "Bad Fast" Heading into Mexico City Race
Michael McDowell

Confident Heading into Viva Mexico 250
Giancarlo Stanton

Likely Returning Early Next Week
Spencer Strider

Registers 13 Strikeouts
Hunter Brown

s Records 12 Strikeouts
Emeka Egbuka

"the Talk" of Bucs Minicamp
Royce Lewis

to be Placed on Injured List
Byron Buxton

Exits Early on Saturday
Evander Kane

Drops to Fourth Line Saturday
Kasperi Kapanen

Won't Play on Saturday
Calvin Pickard

Starts Game 5 for Oilers
Jaxson Dart

Working as No. 2 QB During Offseason Workouts
Xavier Gipson

Roster Spot Could be in Jeopardy
Josh Reynolds

the Front-Runner for WR2 Duties
Garrett Wilson

Stock Up This Offseason
Breece Hall

Motivated Going into 2025 Season
Brandon Aiyuk

Making Good Progress From Knee Injury
Keon Coleman

Inconsistent at Minicamp
Mitchell Trubisky

Not a Lock for Backup Job
Dalton Kincaid

Adds Strength and Bulk
James Cook

a Full Participant in Mandatory Minicamp
Tyrese Haliburton

Struggles in Friday's Loss to OKC
Jacob Misiorowski

Expected to Make Next Start
Chet Holmgren

Dominates the Glass in Game 4
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Leads the Way in Game 4
Jalen Williams

Has a Quality Showing on Friday Night
Charlie Morton

Continues Good Work With 10 Strikeouts
James Wood

Homers, Drives in Four
Agustín Ramírez

Agustin Ramirez Homers Twice to Snap Skid
Isaac Paredes

Astros Hopeful Isaac Paredes Can Avoid the Injured List
Royce Lewis

Dealing With Hamstring Strain
Kodai Senga

Diagnosed With Grade 1 Hamstring Strain
Gleyber Torres

Goes Deep Twice on Friday
Anthony Richardson

Should be Fine for Training Camp
Russell Westbrook

to Decline Player Option
Kevin Durant

Trade Could Happen in the "Next Few Days"
Cam Akers

Joining Saints
Michael Mayer

to Get More Involved
Aaron Rodgers

DK Metcalf Building Chemistry with Aaron Rodgers
Colston Loveland

Likely to be Primary Tight End
Joaquin Buckley

Set For Main Event
Kamaru Usman

An Underdog At UFC Atlanta
Miranda Maverick

Set For Co-Main Event
Rose Namajunas

Looks To Bounce Back
Andre Petroski

Looks To Extend His Win Streak To Four
Edmen Shahbazyan

A Favorite At UFC Atlanta
Raoni Barcelos

Set To Take On Former Champion
Cody Garbrandt

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Looks For His Third UFC Win
Cody Brundage

Looks To Win Back-To-Back Fights
Alonzo Menifield

Opens Up UFC Atlanta Main Card
Oumar Sy

Looks To Remain Undefeated
Connor Hellebuyck

Wins Vezina And Hart Trophies
Aleksander Barkov

Records Two Power-Play Assists Thursday
Sam Reinhart

Collects Three Points in Thursday's Loss
Matthew Tkachuk

Notches Three Points in Losing Effort
Calvin Pickard

Joins Exclusive List with Thursday's Win
Mattias Ekholm

Logs Two Assists in Comeback Victory
Leon Draisaitl

Delivers Victory in Overtime Thursday
Myles Turner

Playing Through Illness
Reed Sheppard

Will Play in the NBA Summer League
Kevin Durant

Deal Could Come Sooner Rather Than Later
Dorian Finney-Smith

Undergoes Ankle Surgery
Anze Kopitar

Wins Third Lady Byng Trophy
Sergei Bobrovsky

Heading Out for Win No. 15
John Klingberg

Won't Play in Game 4 Against Panthers
Viktor Arvidsson

Sits Out Game 4 Against Panthers
Stuart Skinner

Remains in Oilers Crease Thursday
Jalen Williams

Leads Thunder in Scoring Wednesday
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Settles for 24 Points in Game 3 Loss
Pascal Siakam

Does Everything for Pacers Wednesday Night
Tyrese Haliburton

Gets Close to Triple-Double in Game 3 Win
Bennedict Mathurin

Leads All Scorers with 27 Points Wednesday
Brandin Podziemski

Has Second Offseason Surgery
Jaylen Brown

Undergoes Successful Knee Procedure
Matt McCarty

Comes Off Season-Best Showing at RBC Canadian Open
Justin Thomas

Desperate to Continue Good 2025 Season
Jon Rahm

Seeks Revenge at U.S. Open
Tom Kim

Aiming for Improvement in U.S. Open
PGA

Sungjae Im Expects Solid Performance at Oakmont
Brian Harman

Aims to Rebound From the Memorial
Tony Finau

has Been Up and Down at U.S. Open
Patrick Cantlay

Hoping This is the Year at Oakmont
Akshay Bhatia

Improving in Time for U.S. Open
Xander Schauffele

Primed for Another Major Championship Run
Cameron Young

May Struggle at U.S. Open
Collin Morikawa

Eyeing Third Major Championship Title
Matt Fitzpatrick

Seeks to Avenge Oakmont Collapse
Jordan Spieth

Can Contend at Oakmont
Shane Lowry

a Strong Value Play at U.S. Open
Brooks Koepka

Seeks Another Major Win at Oakmont
Viktor Hovland

Still Can Improve at U.S. Open
Michael Kim

a Boom-or-Bust Value Play at U.S. Open
Russell Henley

Looking to Play the Weekend at Oakmont
Tyrrell Hatton

a Safe Option at U.S. Open
Bryson DeChambeau

Eyeing Third U.S. Open Title
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF