If You Don't Think Ty Gibbs Will Lead at Charlotte, Don't Start Him
After a very slow start to the season, Ty Gibbs was trending upward for a while, particularly on the stretch from Martinsville to Talladega, none of which were very chaotic races. Gibbs seems to do best when there are long green flag runs and minimal chaos, so the fact that there are three guaranteed cautions instead of two may not help him. His speed has improved recently, but his luck has not as although he is starting 7th for his fifth consecutive top ten start, he fell from 6th-place starts at Texas and Kansas at 23rd and 28th after getting trapped by poor strategies. Gibbs did dominate portions of last year's race, leading 74 laps from the pole last year before finishing sixth, but he had positive momentum entering that race, which he really doesn't this time. There's definitely a chance he could lead a lot of laps and have value, but it's probably too small a chance to actually start him.
Source: Racing Reference
Source: Racing Reference
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