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Austin Dillon has had a knack for pulling off inexplicable wins at times, particularly on plate tracks after wrecking the leader, but don't count on history repeating itself in Sunday's Daytona 500. For one thing, it seems like lately he only runs well when Justin Alexander is his crew chief, and he has been replaced by Richard Boswell for this season. Secondly, the Chevies did not seem to have the speed of either the Toyotas or the Fords in the Duel races, as Dillon faded from fourth to seventh in his Duel race, although he did outperform his pre-race-favorite teammate Kyle Busch. That relegated Dillon to a 15th-place starting position. He might be worth a small bet on the win at 40-1, but he is probably starting too highly to have much DFS value, and at $6,900, he is probably overvalued based on his recent performance.--Sean Wrona - RotoBaller
Source: Racing Reference
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