BALLER MOVE: Target in drafts ~pick 142
CURRENT ADP: ~160 overall
ANALYSIS: There's a lot to like about Minnesota Twins starting pitcher Bailey Ober, especially after a strong 2023 campaign. He finished with a 3.50 ERA, a 1.067 WHIP, 146 strikeouts, and 29 walks across 26 starts. Ober continues to pitch well when given opportunities in the majors, and that shouldn't change in 2024.
The right-hander has a career 3.63 ERA with a 1.107 WHIP in three seasons in the majors. Ober's strikeout numbers aren't over the top, as he ranked middle of the pack last season, but his low walk rate and ERA make him an intriguing option in roto leagues.
The metrics also back up Ober's strong 2023 numbers. Last year, his expected ERA (3.63), expected batting average against (.226), chase rate (33.5%), and walk rate (5%) all ranked in the top half of the league. The 6-foot-9 pitcher is currently going outside the top 150 in drafts this season, which seems like a bargain.
Aside from the one mistake to Castellanos, Bailey Ober looked fantastic today:
3 IP, 7 K, 0 BB, 1 ER, 1 H.
Showcased a relatively new arsenal and recorded 11 whiffs. pic.twitter.com/Snnpxr5aIZ
— Alex Fast (@AlexFast8) March 2, 2024
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