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NASCAR Xfinity Series: DraftKings DFS Lineup Picks for Phoenix United Rentals 200 (3/11/23)

The NASCAR Xfinity Series heads to Phoenix Raceway on Saturday for the United Rentals 200. Who'll emerge victorious? You can also see our Phoenix United Rentals 500 DFS lineup picks for Sunday's Cup Series race!

We don't have much time between qualifying and the race plus I've been sick all week, so you don't get some long spiel here about the state of the Xfinity Series or anything. Austin Hill looks like a contender and, uhh...yeah, cars will be racing Saturday. Sorry—I'll write a better intro next week, dear readers.

Here at RotoBaller, we want to help you make informed decisions about your DFS lineups, which is why I'll be breaking down the slates for the Xfinity Series. Let's look at some NASCAR Xfinity DFS lineup picks for the NASCAR Xfinity Series United Rentals 200 on DraftKings. Be sure to also check out our NASCAR Premium Tools for Xfinity Series including our DFS Lineup Optimizer and powerful Research Station. This slate locks on 3/11/23 at 4:42 p.m. ET.

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Xfinity DFS Picks - DraftKings

Be sure to also check out all of our other weekly NASCAR DFS articles and analysis to help you set your optimal DFS lineups on DraftKings and FanDuel.

 

Kyle Busch

Starting 37th - $13,500

I was all ready to fade Busch this week because of his salary, but then he went and had mechanical issues that prevented him from turning a lap in qualifying. He starts 37th.

An 11-time Xfinity Series winner here, I see no reason to think Busch won't make his way past 36 other cars and wind up at the front of the field by the end of this thing. He hasn't really had to do that before here—2012 was the last time he started an Xfinity race here outside the top five—but that shouldn't really stop him. Busch is the best driver in this field.

 

Sammy Smith

Starting 11th - $8,400

Here's the thing: by playing Kyle Busch, you aren't going to really have the salary space for drivers like Cole Custer or Justin Allgaier who might lead a lot of early laps. That's really the biggest trade-off in playing someone as expensive as Busch: instead of getting to build a lineup with two top plays, you're limited really to just that one elite option.

That can be fine, though. Sammy Smith launches off 11th in the Joe Gibbs 18 car. He's $1,000 cheaper than teammate Ryan Truex but offers, IMO, virtually the same upside.

Despite being a rookie, Smith does have some Phoenix experience, as he led 79 of the 154 laps here in ARCA last season, finishing third behind Taylor Gray and Daniel Dye.

 

Parker Kligerman

Starting 38th - $7,800

One driver starts below Kyle Busch and it's Parker Kligerman in the 48 car for Big Machine Racing. Kligerman has run well this season, finishing 10th at Auto Club and then 11th at Las Vegas. With all the place differential upside that Kligerman has, he's a must-play in head-to-head games.

Kligerman's last Xfinity starts here were back in 2013, when he posted finishes of 19th and 12th, so that doesn't really tell us much about his ability 10 years later. In fact, he hasn't raced here at all since 2014, when he finished 42nd in a Cup Series race. That worries me some, but not too much, because the PD points available for Kligerman are too good to ignore.

 

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Like what you're reading? You can show your support for Justin by using promo code CARTER when purchasing a NASCAR Premium Pass. You get 10% off and full access to all of our Premium NASCAR articles, DFS tools, and Lineup Optimizer!

 

Connor Mosack

Starting 36th - $7,100

Fine, we'll play another sub-35th starting spot driver for place differential upside. It's a risky strategy, but when you're saving up money for Kyle Busch, risks have to be taken.

Mosack is in a Sam Hunt Racing car, which should be good, as Kaz Grala qualified 13th in the team's other car. Mosack's only run road courses during his Xfinity career, but he did run some ovals in ARCA last year, including a 10th-place run here at Phoenix, so he won't be completely lost out there.

 

Anthony Alfredo

Starting 25th - $6,800

Not a ton of speed this weekend from this 78 car, but I'm still playing him because of how he's run this season. Alfredo has three top 25 finishes in three races, including top 20 runs the last two races.

Alfredo really struggled here last season, finishing 37th and 35th in the Our Motorsports 23 car. That's...not ideal. But one issue this week is that there's just not a ton of safe plays in this price range, so you have to take some risks. Based on the past two weeks, I'm okay taking a risk on Alfredo.

 

Kyle Sieg

Starting 22nd - $6,000

Here's my most contrarian play of the week. Kyle Sieg's a fun, young driver, but he starts a little higher than I'd prefer.

But he's also got an average finish of 18.7 this season and he's got a good bit of experience at this track, making three Xfinity starts here already, with a best finish of 22nd. Can Sieg use that experience to fuel his best run ever at this track? I sure hope so! But considering how poorly Jeffrey Earnhardt has run this year plus the fact two other viable plays in this range, Parker Retzlaff and Josh Williams, start in the top 20, I think there's a potential edge here with Sieg.

NASCAR DFS News and Driver Outlooks

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Our NASCAR Premium Package for DFS and betting features several heavy hitters and proven winners.

Jordan McAbee anchors the team with his exclusive NASCAR DFS and betting picks, DFS projections and algorithm-predicted finishing order! Jordan had a 60+ unit betting profit in 2024 NASCAR, and a 25% average annual profit since 2018. He won the FSWA Racing Writer Of The Year award in 2023, and has been nominated for DFS Writer Of The Year in 2024.

Five-time NASCAR Racing Writer of the Year finalist and fantasy industry legend Scott "The King" Engel is also in the crew, bringing you his weekly strategies and lineup picks. Set your winning DFS lineups with our award-winning team. He has been nominated once again in 2024 for this award.

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