Thunder Dan's NFL Prop Bets for Week 15: Top Player Props Betting Picks

Dan Palyo's top NFL betting picks and best bets for Week 15 of the 2022 season. His favorite NFL betting picks for NFL player props bets.

Week 15 is set to kick off today with three Saturday games and I wanted to spread out some of my favorite prop picks for both Saturday's and Sunday's games this week. Let's keep the good times rolling and cash some bets this week, shall we?

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In this article, I'll be providing my favorite NFL betting picks for week 15 of the 2022 NFL season. The odds on these bets vary from book to book and are constantly changing. I primarily use FanDuel and DraftKings sportsbooks, but I would strongly encourage you to shop for the best odds at whatever books you use daily. I would also advise checking back later in the week as I may add bets depending on odds changing or specific props becoming available after I first post.

Thunder Dan's Best Bets: 2022 NFL Season

• Last Week's Props: 5-5
• Season-to-Date Props: 50-52

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NFL Betting Picks: Player Props for Week 15

Matt Ryan OVER 255.5 passing yards (-115 DK)

Matty Ice and the Colts are pretty much drawing dead, but I expect them to move the ball and score some points this week against the Vikings, as their defense continues to give up the most passing yards (287.2) per game to opponents. We have hit this prop with guys like Jared Goff and Mike White in recent weeks, and there’s no reason to think Ryan can’t get there as he’s averaged 261 per game in his 11 starts this year.

Miles Sanders OVER 68.5 rushing yards (-115 DK)

Sanders crushed his prop for us last week and some of you might be hesitant to trust him two weeks in a row, I get it. But this is one of the better spots we’ve seen for a back this season. The Eagles are big favorites and their offensive line has been dominant, opening huge roles for Sanders as he’s had two 140-yard games in his last three with the one low output being against the top-ranked Tennessee run defense. Chicago allows 146 yards per game on the ground and has yielded 160 per contest over their last three.

J.K. Dobbins OVER 48.5 rushing yards (-120 DK)

Dobbins went for 120 yards last week on only 15 totes and I would expect the Ravens to lean on the run game quite a bit here again this week against a bad Browns defensive front, especially with Huntley under center. This number just feels really low, even if Gus Edwards does get some of the carries, too.

Isiah Pacheco OVER 84.5 receiving + receiving yards (-115 DK)

Pacheco’s rushing-only prop is 68.5 yards, and I like that one, too, but I am going after his total scrimmage yards prop here as he’s been catching a few balls out of the backfield since becoming the starter, too. This matchup against Houston is excellent and I think Houston hangs around long enough to force the Chiefs into playing their starters late into the game. It’s a great game script either way for Pacheco and these KC backs as Houston gives up the most rushing yards per game in the NFL.

Mike Williams OVER 64.5 receiving yards (-115 DK)

The big man is back and has looked great for the Chargers since returning from an injury that hampered him from weeks 8 to 13. He caught 6 passes for 116 yards last week against Miami and has one of the best matchups on the board this week against a pass-funnel Titans defense that has allowed big plays down the field to opposing receivers. I like big Mike to have a big week and crush this number.

Anytime Touchdown Scorers

Josh Jacobs (-145)

Derrick Henry (-210)

Jacobs has a crazy 95% carry share inside the 10-yard line and Henry isn’t all that far behind at 72%. Both guys should find paydirt this week, I think parlaying them together gives us a decent payout here.

2-leg parlay = (+138 DK)

Receptions

Jerry Jeudy over 4.5 (-140)

David Njoku over 3.5 (-150)

Jeudy caught 8 balls last week with Sutton out, and while it’s Brett Rypien under center this week and not Russ, I think he’s still a safe bet to catch four or more passes with his elevated target rate.

Njoku caught 7 balls in his first full game with Deshaun Watson as the Cleveland QB and I expect the Browns to air it out a bit today with the Ravens posing a tough matchup for them in the run game.

I hope you find my picks helpful and profitable! Thanks for checking out my picks and content here at RotoBaller!

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