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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Houston Texans vs. Miami Dolphins, another article in our weekly series of free NFL betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free NFL betting breakdown article is for Sunday, November 27th, 2022.
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Today's Betting Overview - Texans @ Dolphins
The Texans take on the Dolphins on Sunday, November 27th at Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens. RotoBaller provides free handicapping picks and odds for all NFL games throughout the 2022 season.
- Matchup: Houston Texans (1-8-1) vs. Miami Dolphins (7-3)
- Date: Sunday, November 27th, 2022
- Time: 1:00 PM ET
- Venue: Hard Rock Stadium
Today's NFL Sportsbook Odds - Texans @ Dolphins
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Houston Texans - NFL Betting Analysis
Heading into week 12, the Texans will look to get back in the win column, as they are coming off a 23-10 loss to the Washington Commanders. In terms of betting, Houston not only lost the game but failed to cover the spread as 3.0-point underdogs. Together, the two teams combined score remained below the over-under betting line of 41. The Texans were not able to make a comeback in last week's game, as they trailed Washington by a score of 20-3 heading into the final quarter. Through 10 games, the Texans have an ATS record of 4-5-1. So far, they have an over-under record of 4-6. This week's betting total of 46.0 is slightly higher than the line in their previous games.
As the Texans prepare to take on Miami, they are ranked 30th in points per game at 15.9. Look for the team to put together one of their better offensive performances against a Dolphins defense, giving up 24.1 points per game. Although the Texans come into the game ranked just 26th in pass yards per game, they will benefit from facing a Miami secondary that is vulnerable through the air. We expect Houston to have an above-average performance in the passing attack. The Texans would benefit from placing a bigger emphasis on the passing game vs the run, as Miami's defense has held up better vs the pass.
Miami Dolphins - NFL Betting Analysis
Miami is looking to tack on another victory, as they defeated Cleveland Browns by a score of 39-17 in 10. Besides winning straight up, the Dolphins also came home with an ATS win as the -3.5 point favorites. With their combined 49 points, the two teams exceeded the betting over-under number of 49. On their way to picking up a 22-point win, Miami held a 20-point lead heading into the 4th quarter at 30-10. Through 10 games, the Dolphins have an ATS record of 5-5. So far, they have an over-under record of 5-5. This week's betting total of 46.0 is right in line with their previous games.
Heading into this week's matchup, the Dolphins' offense is averaging 25.2 points per game, placing them 6th in the NFL. Look for the team to put together another strong offensive performance, as they are facing a Texans defense that is ranked 17th in points per game. This season, Miami has been one of the better passing teams in the league, averaging 293.8 yards per game through the air. Although the Texans' defense has been able to limit opposing teams in the passing game, Miami should still be able to continue to generate big plays through the pass. So far, the Dolphins are just 27th in rush attempts per game, leading to an average of 97.7 yards per game.
Today's NFL Betting Pick - Texans vs. Dolphins
When looking back at the recent matchups between Houston and Miami, the Texans put together a record of 3-2. The over-under record in these games sits at 2-3, with the average scoring total coming in at 47.4 points. This season, the Dolphins will look to grab another win over Houston, as they won last year's meeting by a score of 17-9. Miami covered the spread as -4.0 point favorites. Heading into the game, the over-under line was set at 45.0 points.
The Houston Texans have gone 1-2 vs the spread in these games. On average, the Texans have averaged 26.0 points per game in the past 5 head-to-head matchups, compared to Miami at 21.4.
Across their previous 3 regular season games, the Texans have a straight-up record of just 0-3. Like their straight-up record, Houston struggled vs the spread, going 1-2. Over these games, they put together an over-under record of 1-2.
Although Houston has a straight-up record of 1-2 in their last 3 road games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 1-2. The team averaged 16.33 points per game in these games.
Through their last 3 games, the Dolphins have a record of 3-0. In addition, their ATS record over this stretch is 2-1 while posting a 3-0 over-under mark.
In their last 3 home games, Miami has averaged 23.67 points per game while allowing 17.0. The team's record in this stretch was 2-1 while going 1-2.
Recommended ATS Betting Pick: Dolphins -13.0
Recommended OU Betting Pick: Under 46.0
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