Thunder Dan's NFL Betting Picks for Week 9: Spreads, Totals, Parlays, and Teasers

Dan Palyo's top NFL betting picks and best bets for Week 9 of the 2022 season. His favorite NFL betting picks for player spreads, money lines, parlays, teasers, and game totals.

Week 8 kicked my butt on totals and spreads, but player props came through in a big way to carry us to a +2 unit week, and maybe, just maybe we have a little momentum going this season?

Whether you like to bet game totals, sides, or player props, I have something in here for you, and try to cover a little bit of everything! This year, I started my own free sports betting newsletter, and the good people here at RotoBaller are allowing me to share my picks and data with you here in this space! You can access the free substack here and sign up for daily emails in addition to viewing the picks daily here on the RotoBaller website.

In this article, I'll be providing my favorite NFL betting picks for Week 9 of the 2022 NFL season. The odds on these bets vary from book to book and are constantly changing. I primarily use FanDuel and DraftKings sportsbooks, but I would strongly encourage you to shop for the best odds at whatever books you use daily. I would also advise checking back later in the week as I may add bets depending on odds changing or specific props becoming available after I first post.

Thunder Dan's Best Bets: 2022 NFL Season

• Last Week: 1-3
• Season ATS: 13-14
• Season O/U: 5-14
• Season Overall: 17-27

NFL Betting Picks: Spreads/MoneyLine

SEATTLE ML (+110 DK)

I DON’T UNDERSTAND WHY NO ONE RESPECTS THE SEAHAWKS! I am channeling my inner Will Ferrell here from the classic film “Zoolander” where he screams. “I feel like I’m taking crazy pills!”

The Seahawks just keep winning games and are beating some good teams, too. I know the Giants were a bit of a pretender, but they are still a good overall football team and Seattle just wore them down for four quarters before finally putting them away. This team has an above-average offense with a solid QB, an emerging star at running back, two really good wideouts, and a couple of solid tight ends.

Oh, and their defense has been the biggest reason they are winning here lately. They limited the Cardinals to just 9 points in the first matchup if you remember. Yes, I know Arizona has Hopkins back, but that team continues to underwhelm and this spread feels like people are still somehow viewing the Cardinals as better (or at least equal since home-field advantage is worth a few points) and that is just WRONG, WRONG, WRONG. Seattle has been better in every measurable metric and they’ve been winning us money. I’ll keep riding them until they let me down (note: please don’t let me down, Geno!)

JACKSONVILLE ML (+105 DK)

This is the one dog I feel a little less confident in but here goes nothing. What the hell happened to the Raiders last week? I have been asking myself that question and I finally had an epiphany yesterday.

They just suck and they’ve sucked all season, Dan, how did you not realize that? I mean I did bet the Saints in my teaser and shied away from the Raiders last week because I didn’t trust them, but I thought they would at least score some points!

The Raiders are FRAUDS and they finally got exposed. Consider that their two wins this year are against Denver and Houston and they allowed 20 points to both of those very bad offenses.

This defense is terrible, like one of the worst in the league BAD. And the offense, even while putting up points this year, has been a disappointment as it’s been mainly Josh Jacobs carrying them for large stretches with Derek Carr playing some mediocre football.

This Jags team may only have two wins, too, but they have some talent on offense and a pretty solid run defense that could force the Raiders to pass. And if nothing else, if I view both of these teams fairly equally, why not side with the home underdogs at better odds, right?

NFL Betting Picks: Totals

I am going with a slightly different approach this week and targeting some team totals instead of game totals.

ATL team total OVER 23.5 (-105 DK)

This Falcons offense has been one of the better surprise stories in the league this year. They aren’t flashy by any means, but Marcus Mariota has been able to keep the chains moving and they’ve run the ball well. They get a Charger defense this week that has allowed 27 points per game this year and have not been able to slow down opposing run games.

If Cordarrelle Patterson returns for Atlanta, it gives them yet another weapon here and I like the Falcons’ chances at 24 points in this spot at home where they have played better this year.

DET team total OVER 22.5 (-120 DK)

This offense looked unstoppable at times earlier in the year as they posted some big numbers and then they ran into a buzzsaw as they were shut down in a big way by New England and Dallas in back-to-back weeks.

They just traded T.J. Hockenson away, but the real story here for me is that D’Andre Swift is healthy and back to being awesome. He gives this offense an entirely different dimension that they don’t have with Jamaal Williams who is just your standard back.

Green Bay’s defense isn’t terrible, but they really struggle to stop the run and you’d have to think that Detroit tries to exploit that and feeds Swift/Williams. The public is backing the Packers and the over here (big surprise, right?) but I like the Lions to do some damage of their own. I am not picking them outright to win, but I am banking on their offense performing well and keeping it close as they did against Miami last week.

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NFL Betting Picks: Teasers and Parlays

You know the rules here, more teams = more risk. Never hesitate to leave a team out of a parlay that you don’t feel good about.

5-TEAM ML FAVORITES PARLAY: MIA/NE/PHI/BUF/MIN (+330 DK)

3-TEAM 6-POINT UNDERDOG TEASER: DET/SEA/TEN (+160 DK)

That takes the spreads to DET +10, SEA +8, and TEN +18.5

I hope you find my data and picks helpful and profitable! Thanks for checking out my picks and content here at RotoBaller!

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