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Free NBA betting picks, odds, and predictions for the Warriors vs. Kings on 4/28/2023. Our best bets and top NBA picks for money lines, over/unders, and more.
Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Sacramento Kings vs. Golden State Warriors, another article in our weekly series of free NBA betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free NBA betting breakdown article is for Friday, April 28th.
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Today's Betting Overview - Kings @ Warriors
The Kings take on the Warriors on Friday, April 28th at Chase Center, San Francisco. RotoBaller provides free handicapping picks and odds for all NBA games throughout the 2022-2023 season.
- Matchup: Sacramento Kings (48-34) vs. Golden State Warriors (44-38)
- Date: Friday, April 28th
- Time: 8:00 PM ET
- Venue: Chase Center
Today's NBA Sportsbook Odds - Kings @ Warriors
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Kings & Warriors Key Injuries
Kings
- Matthew Dellavedova (Out) Finger
Warriors
- Andre Iguodala (Out) Wrist
- Patrick Baldwin Jr. (Doubtful) Toe
- Ryan Rollins (Out) Foot
Sacramento Kings - NBA Betting Analysis
The Kings enter today's game having lost three straight, including a 123-116 loss to the Warriors. De'Aaron Fox led the team in scoring with 24 points on 36.0% shooting. Going into the game, oddsmakers had Sacramento as the 2.0-point underdog, resulting in an ATS loss for the team.
Now, the Kings' overall record sits at 48-34, placing them 3rd in the Western Conference. The team's current record at home is 23-18 and 25-16 on the road. This season, Sacramento's ATS record sits at 47-39.
The Kings come into today's matchup as one of the top-scoring teams in the league at 120.7 points per game (3rd). However, their production has slowed down of late, averaging just 115 points per game over their last five contests. Sacramento has used pace to its advantage this season, averaging 100.6 possessions per game, which is the 2nd most in the league. This up-tempo style has made up for a three-point field goal percentage of 36.9% (15th). In terms of getting to the free-throw line, the Kings are 8th in the NBA in attempts while connecting at a rate of 79.0%.
The Kings will look to step up their defensive effort in today's game, as they currently sit at 25th in the NBA for points allowed per game (115.8). Although the team has held up well on the defensive glass (12th) and forcing turnovers, at an average of 13.1 per game, they still have mediocre overall numbers. Opponents have hit 37.1% of their three-point shots and 48.1% of their overall field goal attempts against the Kings.
Golden State Warriors - NBA Betting Analysis
After taking down the Kings by a score of 123-116, the Warriors are riding a three-game win streak. Stephen Curry led the way in scoring with 31 points. Not only did Golden State win the game, but they also covered the spread as 2.0-point favorites.
With the win, the team has moved to 44-38, placing them 6th in the Western Conference. So far this season, they have gone 33-8 at home and 11-30 on the road. Golden State's record against the spread is below .500 at 41-45.
So far this season, the Warriors' offense has been one of the top units in the NBA, sitting 4th in the league with an average of 118.9 points per game. In their last five games, Golden State is averaging 118 points per contest. The key to the Warriors' offensive success is in their balance of pace and efficiency. This season, they are ranked 3rd in the league in pace, while also hitting 38.5% of their three-point shots. Currently, the team's effective field goal percentage of 57.1% is ranked 4th in the NBA.
Defensively, the Warriors enter today's game having allowed an average of 115.8 points per game, placing them 25th in the league. One problem for the unit has been their inability to generate turnovers, ranking 39th at 15.7 per game. This year, opponents have hit 48.1% of their field goal attempts and 37.1% of their shots from beyond the arc. However, Golden State has held up well on the boards, ranking 12th in the NBA in defensive rebounds per game.
Today's NBA Betting Pick - Kings vs. Warriors
The Warriors currently have the leg up in this year's season series against the Kings. Across nine games, the Warriors have a record of 6-3. The last head-to-head showdown between the teams ended in a 123-116 win for the Warriors. However, the Kings covered the spread as the 2.0-point underdogs. The over/under line going into the game was 234.0, which they surpassed.
In the Kings' previous five games as the favorite, they have a straight-up record of 1-4 while going 2-3 against the spread. Across their last three road games, they are 1-2 ATS and 0-3 straight up. Their previous ten games have an over/under mark of 4-6 with an average of 225 points per contest.
Across Golden State's last five games at home, they have an ATS mark of 3-2 while going 3-2 straight-up. As the favorite, the Warriors are 3-0 straight up on an average scoring differential of -7 points per game. This has led to an ATS mark of 2-1. Their previous ten games have ended in an average of 239 points per game and an over/under mark of 6-4.
Recommended ATS Betting Pick: SAC +7.5
Recommended OU Betting Pick: Under 235.0
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