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The Baller Ranks: Weekly Top 101 Starting Pitcher Rankings

September is here and that means it's the official home stretch for our 2021 fantasy baseball season. Prospect call-ups are coming (welcome, Joe Ryan!) so be sure to keep your eyes on the transaction logs. Rest-of-season ranks start to turn into a streamer conversation in these final weeks, but we'll at least do one more run of my weekly Starting Pitcher Baller Ranks!

This google sheet accompanies the table below and adds relevant 5x5 stats, K%, BB%, BABIP, FIP, xFIP, SIERA, ERA-FIP, and CSW% from the second half of the season. Do note that I leave off most injured players, and removing those injured players can give an illusion that others have risen despite mediocre performances. I highly encourage you to click the linkCLICK IT!

As always, these Rest of Season ranks are geared towards traditional 5x5 leagues sans most injured SPs, lest a return is imminent. If 25% of the board is on the IL, then it isn't terribly actionable, and I'll intermittently weave in updates of where I'd throw them in if they were healthy. For now, let's dive into my Top 101 SPs and be sure we've got the best chance at the podium.

Be sure to check all of our fantasy baseball waiver wire pickups and weekly lineup resources:

 

Top 101 Starting Pitchers for Fantasy Baseball - Week 22

(+/-) Tier Player Rank EV $ $PV Trend Notes
0 1 Max Scherzer 1 9.6 43.0 42.0 1.0 ▲ >35% K rate for the month with elite ratios, No. 1
0 1 Walker Buehler 2 8.5 42.0 41.0 1.0 ▲ Scored 10th straight QS, only 8 ER in that span
0 1 Gerrit Cole 3 6.6 41.0 40.0 1.0 ▲ Crossed 200 K mark; 3 straight strong outings
0 1 Zack Wheeler 4 7.9 38.5 39.0 -0.5 ▼ Some bad luck ERA of late, peripherals still strong
0 1 Robbie Ray 5 14.2 38.0 37.5 0.5 ▲ Outstanding confidence on the bump, SP1 for '22
2 2 Corbin Burnes 6 11.0 35.0 30.5 4.5 ▲ Dashing all concerns about raised workload
2 2 Chris Sale 7 2.0 34.0 28.0 6.0 ▲
-2 2 Brandon Woodruff 8 2.9 33.5 35.5 -2.0 ▼
1 3 Lucas Giolito 9 3.5 27.5 27.5 0.0 ▬ Left PIT start w/ left hamstring tightness, IL coming?
2 3 Kevin Gausman 10 6.3 27.5 25.5 2.0 ▲
2 3 Luis Castillo 11 4.6 27.5 23.5 4.0 ▲ 8 QS in 9 starts since the All-Star break
2 3 Charlie Morton 12 7.7 25.5 23.0 2.5 ▲ Tough matchups continue, @LAD then @COL
2 3 Frankie Montas 13 10.9 23.5 21.0 2.5 ▲ Splitter! Throwing it over 2x as often w/ 2 strikes
N/A 3 Carlos Rodon 14 2.6 23.0 0.0 23.0 ▲ Picked up with a W in return, PIT on deck
1 4 Aaron Nola 15 6.3 21.0 20.0 1.0 ▲ Has been inefficient, inconsistent - still mid-SP2
1 4 Shohei Ohtani 16 4.6 20.0 19.5 0.5 ▲
1 4 Max Fried 17 10.2 19.5 19.0 0.5 ▲
1 4 Logan Webb 18 8.0 19.0 19.0 0.0 ▬ 7 consecutive QS, dominant showings; stock soaring
1 4 Joe Musgrove 19 6.0 19.0 19.0 0.0 ▬ CGSHO with 111 pitches, revenge gm vs. HOU next?
4 4 Julio Urias 20 6.6 19.0 15.0 4.0 ▲ 15 wins, deserving success -- ready for playoffs
4 4 Tyler Mahle 21 7.5 18.0 15.0 3.0 ▲
4 4 Sandy Alcantara 22 6.7 17.0 15.0 2.0 ▲
5 4 Adam Wainwright 23 12.8 17.0 12.5 4.5 ▲
-3 4 Yu Darvish 24 3.1 17.0 18.0 -1.0 ▼ Hasn't won since June, 6.65 ERA/2.75 SIERA in Aug.
-3 4 Lance McCullers Jr. 25 2.9 17.0 17.0 0.0 ▬
-3 4 Jose Berrios 26 5.9 15.5 15.0 0.5 ▲ Big 11-K rebound @DET after 3 shaky starts
2 5 Luis Garcia 27 3.6 13.0 12.5 0.5 ▲
-1 5 Alek Manoah 28 4.3 12.5 12.5 0.0 ▬
3 5 Framber Valdez 29 7.7 11.0 10.5 0.5 ▲
0 5 Hyun-Jin Ryu 30 2.8 11.0 11.5 -0.5 ▼ Only 1 QS in his last 5 turns; low Ks, fizzling ratios
0 5 Zack Greinke 31 3.0 11.0 11.0 0.0 ▬ Placed on COVID-IL, may only miss 1 turn
1 5 Kyle Hendricks 32 -0.4 10.0 10.0 0.0 ▬ Blown up twice in his last 4, but v. PIT next
1 5 Shane McClanahan 33 6.1 10.0 10.0 0.0 ▬
3 5 Marcus Stroman 34 5.7 9.0 9.0 0.0 ▬
3 5 Jameson Taillon 35 2.5 9.0 8.5 0.5 ▲
4 5 Dylan Cease 36 7.3 9.0 8.0 1.0 ▲ Double-digit Ks in 3 of last 6, KC next matchup
20 5 Blake Snell 37 6.5 9.0 4.5 4.5 ▲ OK, 2 10+ K gems in his last 4 going into Tuesday
4 5 Huascar Ynoa 38 2.1 8.5 8.0 0.5 ▲
4 6 Nathan Eovaldi 39 5.7 8.0 7.0 1.0 ▲
11 6 Marco Gonzales 40 6.4 8.0 5.5 2.5 ▲ Amazin' August, but .200 BABIP... @ARI next too!
-2 6 German Marquez 41 0.1 8.5 8.0 0.5 ▲ Tough stretch despite 3 of the 4 being road games
-7 6 Sean Manaea 42 -4.1 8.0 9.0 -1.0 ▼
-7 6 Tanner Houck 43 3.4 7.0 9.0 -2.0 ▼
0 6 Elieser Hernandez 44 -0.6 7.0 7.0 0.0 ▬
0 6 Edward Cabrera 45 -1.5 6.5 6.5 0.0 ▬
1 6 Josiah Gray 46 0.4 6.5 6.5 0.0 ▬
2 6 Cal Quantrill 47 8.6 6.5 6.0 0.5 ▲
N/A 6 Ian Anderson 48 0.7 6.0 0.0 6.0 ▲ Zero Ks in return is odd, gets Coors next
-1 6 Jordan Montgomery 49 3.1 6.0 6.0 0.0 ▬
0 7 Zach Thompson 50 1.3 5.5 5.5 0.0 ▬
1 7 Wade Miley 51 6.3 5.5 5.0 0.5 ▲
1 7 Sonny Gray 52 5.8 5.0 5.0 0.0 ▬
N/A 7 Trevor Rogers 53 #N/A 5.0 0.0 5.0 ▲ Could return early Sept. after two rehab starts
0 7 Tarik Skubal 54 5.5 5.0 5.0 0.0 ▬ Only 4 ER over 4 starts but then OAK hung 6 ER
0 7 John Means 55 3.5 5.0 5.0 0.0 ▬ Ramping up w/ back-to-back QS, but @NYY next
0 7 Zac Gallen 56 1.7 5.0 5.0 0.0 ▬
2 7 Kyle Freeland 57 7.6 4.5 4.0 0.5 ▲
13 7 Carlos Hernandez 58 5.4 4.0 2.5 1.5 ▲
N/A 8 Reynaldo Lopez 59 6.4 4.0 0.0 4.0 ▲ Stepping into Lynn's spot, 5 IP perfect relief earlier
0 8 Casey Mize 60 -2.0 4.0 4.0 0.0 ▬
-3 8 Tylor Megill 61 -0.4 4.0 4.0 0.0 ▬
1 8 Yusei Kikuchi 62 -1.8 4.0 3.5 0.5 ▲
1 8 Eduardo Rodriguez 63 5.3 3.5 3.5 0.0 ▬
1 8 James Kaprielian 64 0.5 3.5 3.5 0.0 ▬
7 8 Carlos Carrasco 65 0.1 3.5 2.5 1.0 ▲ Encouraging 7 IP, 2 ER start v. SF may signal turn
-4 8 Touki Toussaint 66 0.3 3.0 4.0 -1.0 ▼
3 8 Madison Bumgarner 67 4.4 3.0 2.5 0.5 ▲
6 9 Taijuan Walker 68 -0.7 2.5 2.5 0.0 ▬
6 9 Kyle Gibson 69 5.7 2.5 2.0 0.5 ▲
7 9 Vladimir Gutierrez 70 8.3 2.5 2.0 0.5 ▲ Continues converting great matchups
2 9 Mike Minor 71 -0.2 2.5 2.5 0.0 ▬
-4 9 Logan Gilbert 72 0.6 2.5 2.5 0.0 ▬
N/A 9 Chris Paddack 73 1.9 2.5 0.0 2.5 ▲ Returned w/ 1 ER in 4.2 IP, but HOU next big test
N/A 9 Corey Kluber 74 0.1 2.5 0.0 2.5 ▲ Left in too long for first start back, promising signs
6 10 Steven Matz 75 6.2 2.0 2.0 0.0 ▬
6 10 Daniel Lynch 76 3.8 2.0 1.5 0.5 ▲ 1 ER or fewer in 4 of last 5, 5 of last 7; BBs are rising
6 10 Nestor Cortes 77 1.2 2.0 1.5 0.5 ▲
6 10 Eli Morgan 78 3.9 2.0 1.5 0.5 ▲
6 10 Tyler Anderson 79 4.5 2.0 1.5 0.5 ▲
14 10 Bailey Ober 80 5.5 2.0 1.0 1.0 ▲ Only 4 ER over last 4 starts, 2.8% BB rate in August
-15 10 Miles Mikolas 81 0.9 2.0 3.0 -1.0 ▼
-2 10 Cole Irvin 82 0.5 1.5 2.0 -0.5 ▼
-7 10 Zach Plesac 83 -0.2 1.5 2.0 -0.5 ▼
-23 10 Austin Gomber 84 0.7 1.5 4.0 -2.5 ▼
-6 10 Nick Pivetta 85 1.6 1.5 2.0 -0.5 ▼
2 11 Chris Flexen 86 5.3 1.0 1.0 0.0 ▬ Solid ratios to hold steady, even if K rate below 20%
-1 11 David Price 87 2.3 1.0 1.0 0.0 ▬
-10 11 Jake Odorizzi 88 -2.3 1.0 2.0 -1.0 ▼
1 11 Luis Patino 89 -1.2 1.0 1.0 0.0 ▬
2 11 Griffin Jax 90 -3.6 1.0 1.0 0.0 ▬
4 11 Tyler Gilbert 91 3.8 1.0 1.0 0.0 ▬
5 11 Ryan Yarbrough 92 1.2 1.0 1.0 0.0 ▬
-26 12 Jon Gray 93 5.7 1.0 3.0 -2.0 ▼ Left start with forearm tightness, hmmm
4 12 J.A. Happ 94 2.5 1.0 1.0 0.0 ▬
4 12 Dallas Keuchel 95 -0.5 1.0 1.0 0.0 ▬
4 12 Jesus Luzardo 96 -1.1 1.0 1.0 0.0 ▬ 6 IP, 0 ER, 8 K v. CIN offers hope! Intrigue remains
-6 12 Reid Detmers 97 -1.5 1.0 1.0 0.0 ▬
N/A 12 Kwang-Hyun Kim 98 1.8 1.0 0.0 1.0 ▲
-12 12 Patrick Corbin 99 -1.4 1.0 1.0 0.0 ▬ Awful in 3 of last 4, only desperate streamers here
-4 12 Kris Bubic 100 -1.4 1.0 1.0 0.0 ▬
0 12 Jose Suarez 101 1.5 1.0 1.0 0.0 ▬


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