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Welcome, RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Denver Nuggets vs. Phoenix Suns, another article in our weekly series of free NBA betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free NBA betting breakdown article is for Thursday, April 6th.
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Today's Betting Overview - Nuggets @ Suns
The Nuggets take on the Suns on Thursday, April 6th at Footprint Center, Phoenix. RotoBaller provides free handicapping picks and odds for all NBA games throughout the 2022-2023 season.
- Matchup: Denver Nuggets (52-27) vs. Phoenix Suns (44-35)
- Date: Thursday, April 6th
- Time: 10:00 PM ET
- Venue: Footprint Center
Today's NBA Sportsbook Odds - Nuggets @ Suns
- Caesars Sportsbook NBA Odds
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Nuggets
- Nikola Jokic (Questionable) Calf
- Jamal Murray (Questionable) Thumb
- Zeke Nnaji (Questionable) Knee
- Collin Gillespie (Out) Lower Leg
Suns
- NONE
Denver Nuggets - NBA Betting Analysis
In Denver's most recent game, Michael Porter Jr. led the team in scoring with 23 points, but the Nuggets fell to the Rockets by a score of 124-103 to the Rockets. Going into the game, Denver was an 11.5-point favorite, adding an ATS loss to their resume.
Now, the Nuggets' overall record sits at 52-27, placing them 1st in the Western Conference. The team's current record at home is 33-7 and 19-20 on the road. This season, Denver's ATS record sits at 42-36.
The Nuggets come into today's matchup as one of the top-scoring teams in the league at 115.9 points per game (11th). However, their production has slowed down of late, averaging just 102 points per game over their last five contests. Throughout the season, the Nuggets have been one of the top three-point shooting teams in the league, hitting 38.1% of their looks from deep (5th). Their three-point shooting efficiency has made up for them ranking just 22nd in pace at 97.9 possessions per game. So far, their overall field goal percentage is 1st at 50.5%.
On defense, not only are the Nuggets one of the league's top units (8th) at 110.4 points allowed per game. But they have also done an excellent job on the boards and forcing turnovers. So far, Denver is averaging 13.8 turnovers per contest, good for 10th best in the NBA. In terms of defensive rebounding they enter today's game 1st.
Phoenix Suns - NBA Betting Analysis
After taking down the Spurs by a score of 115-94, the Suns are riding a six-game win streak. Devin Booker led the way in scoring with 27 points. Not only did Phoenix win the game, but they also covered the spread as 19.0-point favorites.
With the win, the team has moved to 44-35, placing them 4th in the Western Conference. So far this season, they have gone 27-12 at home and 17-23 on the road. The Suns have a 2-game win streak against the spread and have an overall ATS mark of 42-35.
In their last five games, the Suns have averaged 113 points per contest which is similar to their season average. Overall, Phoenix is ranked 17th in the league with a scoring average of 113.7 points per game. Phoenix's three-point shooting numbers have been impressive this year, ranking 7th in the NBA with a shooting percentage of 37.5%. However, their overall numbers have suffered from an average pace of 97.9 possessions per game, which is just 21st. Their current field goal percentage of 46.8% is 23rd in the league.
Defensively, the Suns are one of the top units in basketball in large part due to their ability to force turnovers. This season, Phoenix is generating an average of 13.0 turnovers per game which is 12th in the NBA. They have also done an excellent job cleaning up the boards, ranking 1st in the league. Overall, they are allowing 110.4 points per game (8th) while allowing teams to hit 34.4% of their three-point attempts.
Today's NBA Betting Pick - Nuggets vs. Suns
Today's matchup will be the 3rd game of the season between the Nuggets and Suns. So far, the Nuggets have the leg up in the series 2-1. In the most recent game between the two teams, the Nuggets won by a score of 128-125 but did not cover as 4.0-point favorites. The over/under line going into the game was 230.0 points which the teams exceeded.
In the Nuggets' previous five games as the favorite, they have a straight-up record of 2-3 while going 3-2 against the spread. Across their last three road games, they are 2-1 ATS and 1-2 straight up. Their previous ten games have an over/under mark of 0-10 with an average of 221 points per contest.
Across Phoenix's last five games at home, they have an ATS mark of 2-3 while going 2-3 straight-up. As the favorite, the Suns are 3-0 straight up on an average scoring differential of -8 points per game. This has led to an ATS mark of 2-1. Their previous ten games have ended in an average of 231 points per game and an over/under mark of 6-4.
Recommended ATS Betting Pick: PHO -7
Recommended OU Betting Pick: Under 225.0
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