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RotoBaller PGA: One And Done Staff Picks - The Arnold Palmer Invitational

The PGA RotoBaller staff digs into their One and Done selections for The Arnold Palmer Invitational. Here are some under-the-radar plays and picks for this week's event.

Here at RotoBaller, we are always searching for ways to give our readers the best fantasy sports content possible. With that goal in mind, we are very proud to announce the weekly PGA “One and Done” column will be back for the sixth season.

For an in-depth breakdown of the top DraftKings and FanDuel plays, check out Joe Nicely's weekly Horse For The Course, which highlights the best fits for the week's course. And you can also find out who the smart money is on by checking out Spencer Aguiar's PGA DFS: Vegas Report every week.

Be sure to also read all of our other top-notch weekly PGA DFS and betting articles to help you win big!

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One and Done Selections - The Arnold Palmer Invitational

In this feature, our golf staff of Joe Nicely, Spencer Aguiar, Joe Idone, Matt Miller, Byron Lindeque, and our special guest will provide their weekly golf picks every Wednesday. The purpose of this article is to present you with alternative options to consider and hopefully make your selection a much easier process weekly. With that plan in mind, let's get started!

 

Joe Nicely - Rory McIlroy

Alternate - 

I don't suppose a ton of explanation is needed here, as McIlroy is one of the best golfers in the world at the moment and possesses an elite API track record. McIlroy has been downright dominant in the API, winning the prestigious event in 2018 and being squarely in the mix on multiple other occasions.

From a narrative perspective, this event sets up perfectly for McIlroy…not as much pressure as a major championship, but still a big-time event on a difficult golf course.

Yearly Earnings - $643,510
Yearly Cuts Made - 7/8

 

Joe Idone

Alternate - 

Pick to come!

Yearly Earnings - $1,607,694
Yearly Cuts Made - 6/8

 

Did you know RotoBaller has a Premium DFS PGA subscription?

Like what you read today? You can show your support for Spencer by using the promo code TEEOFF when purchasing a PGA Premium Pass. You get 10% off and full access to all of our Premium PGA articles, DFS tools, and Lineup Optimizer! You also get access to weekly betting picks from Spencer Aguiar, one of the top betting minds in the industry. Spencer is absolutely crushing out of the gate in 2022!

 

Spencer Aguiar - Scottie Scheffler

Alternate - Tommy Fleetwood

We play very few courses yearly where Scottie Scheffler's putting woes affect him less than they do here at Bay Hill. That is not to suggest that bleaching your eyes won't still be inside your pre-planned activity list on Sunday after the American inevitably loses 10 shots with his flat stick. However, more arduous scoring conditions and increased capacity for hitting a ton of greens in regulation will outweigh some putting returns when fewer putts must be made to find high-end success.

Next week's Players Championship is the only tournament to have a larger purse than the field gets this week. Now is not the time to leave bullets in the holster. Fire away.

Yearly Earnings - $1,155,049
Yearly Cuts Made - 8/8

 

Matt Miller - Rory McIlroy

This week I am going to use some star power and take Rory McIlroy as my One and Done pick. Rory’s track record at Bay Hill essentially speaks for itself when it comes to this week’s selection. In nine appearances at Bay Hill, Rory has finished outside the top 13 just once. He has one career win here and five additional top five finishes. To make it simple, Rory owns Bay Hill.
Given that it is an elevated event, I want to use a top player. On top of Rory’s track record at this course, he is also the top name in the field that I trust at the moment. He played well at PGA National last week and was really just let down by the putter. Also, given his major results in the past decade, I’m not exactly dying to save him for one this year in OAD.

Yearly Earnings - $1,890,173
Yearly Cuts Made - 7/8

 

Byron Lindeque - Viktor Hovland

Chris Kirk finished at -9 for the week while 2nd place was at -14. Through three rounds he had played three holes +7 with two doubles and a triple. The triple came from a greenside bunker that was skulled over the green into the water, sinking any chance of making some serious cash for us at a course he has played well at in the past. 

This week, we are seeking redemption with Viktor Hovland who will also be seeking his personal redemption at a venue that he finished 2nd at in 2022. The reason Hovland fares so well here is because of his elite ability to execute approach shots out of thick rough with long irons, ranking first in good shot % and third in strokes gained from 150+ out the rough. He is also one of only four golfers who have top-20 accuracy and distance off the tee, which is ultra important around here with the thick rough. 

He is also not necessarily the best around the greens, but at this venue, due to the thick nature of the rough he is chipping out of, he tends to find a little more success, gaining ARG in three of his five starts at Bay Hill. He also dresses like an extra from Emily In Paris, who just happens to be one of the most talented ball strikers on the planet. Very chic, if I do say so myself.

Yearly Earnings - $1,413,564
Yearly Cuts Made - 7/8

 

Mia The Model - Patrick Cantlay

Alternate - Adam Scott

Byron T20

 

TeeOff T20

 

Aggregated Results

***The top two selections are taken as the picks.

Randomization:

Let us know what you think of her chances this week!

Yearly Earnings -$1,779,839
Yearly Cuts Made - 7/8

 

Running Totals

Follow along here on the OAD Spreadsheet!

  Win More With RotoBaller

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Between all the incredible Premium PGA DFS and Betting content and tools we put out each week, and our Premium Slack Community where we chat with our subscribers before lineups lock, RotoBaller PGA subscribers are armed with the tools, analysis, and advice to win more.

Golf DFS News and Player Outlooks


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