March 5, 2025
While Jacob Bridgeman had an outstanding performance at the Cognizant Classic this past week, the Arnold Palmer presents an entirely different test. With a 7,460-yard layout at Bay Hill, players will be tested on keeping the ball in the fairway and playing long irons. Bridgeman has struggled driving the ball this year, ranking 148th on tour. However, he makes up for this with his approach, putting, and scrambling abilities, where he ranks 70th, 15th, and 14th. He has also faired well at Par 5s, ranking 44th in Par 5 scoring average. With four of those at Bay Hill, it's not farfetched to assume he can post good scores on those holes. He's not a surefire start, but he's an interesting player in DFS formats this week.
--Jake Walker - RotoBallerSource: PGA Tour Stats Page
March 5, 2025
Joe Highsmith has shown excellent form the past two events. The American golfer sealed the deal on Sunday at PGA National taking home the Cognizant Classic with a four round score of 265. That included back-to-back rounds of 64. Other than the second round of 72, Highsmith was on the greens with regularity and made putts early and often. The back nine helped the golfer gain on the field as he went -4 on Saturday and Sunday. Bay Hill represents a step further up for the young Highsmith. No one quite knows what to expect including the sport betting sites. Highsmith stands as a +12000 longshot on DraftKings. He projected at higher prices on DFS sites as well.
--Chris Wassel - RotoBallerSource: PGATour.com
March 5, 2025
Max Greyserman has put together a solid showing in 2025. He has made the cut in every event he's finished, has four top-25 finishes, and has finished 11th or better twice, most recently in last week's Cognizant Classic. This week, the most defining factor at the Arnold Palmer Invitational will be precision off the tee and precise long iron play. Greyserman is below average at gaining strokes off the tee with a -0.087 mark, which ranks 116th on tour. Additionally, his approaches from 150-175 yards rank 138th, and 175-200 rank 91st, respectively. His putting is above average at 0.215 strokes gained, ranking 69th, and could play well on the bermuda grass. Nonetheless, the driving inconsistencies make him hard to trust this week in DFS.
--Jake Walker - RotoBallerSource: PGA Tour Stats Page
March 5, 2025
Davis Thompson has been very inconsistent thus far in 2025. Coming into this week, Thompson has failed to crack a 36th-place finish in every event besides the Genesis Invitational, where he finished T-13. He failed to make the cut in the most recent event, the Cognizant Classic. The main focus for players to succeed this week at Bay Hill is precision off the tee and long iron approach shots with a 7,460-yard layout. On top of that, winds are projected to reach 20 mph. While Thompson is 11th in strokes gained off the tee, his approach to the green ranks a below-average 146th on tour, and his 142nd ranking in strokes gained putting. It's best to steer away from him this week in DFS formats.
--Jake Walker - RotoBallerSource: PGA Tour Stats Page
March 5, 2025
Tony Finau has been playing some very good golf over the past two events. The American golfer struck back at Pebble Beach ending up T-13. At The Genesis Invitational, Finau had a bad day with his putter, shot making, and wound up shooting a 76. After that, he was arguably the best golfer on the course. His final round 68 vaulted him into the Top 5 and placed him in the conversation at the Arnold Palmer Invitational. Off the tee is troubling with Finau. Driving the ball well and very accurate helps at Bay Hill. Finau ranks 142nd at driving distance (296.5 yards) and only 86th in driving accuracy (59.09%). A slower start and faster finish would surprise few here. Finau might be a weekend DFS choice at Bay Hill.
--Chris Wassel - RotoBallerSource: PGATour.com
March 5, 2025
Cam Davis has an interesting 2025 heading into the Arnold Palmer Invitational to consider. The Australian golfer has three results inside the Top 20 and even a Top 5. However, he missed two cuts and missed badly at The Genesis Invitational a few weeks back. Davis won twice on the PGA Tour (both times at the Rocket Mortgage Classic). Davis has two nice things going for him in 2025. Strokes gained to putting and approach to the green have been good (Approach ranks 21st at 0.588). Overall, Davis ranks 30th in the entire metric. However, the course fit and comparable courses see Davis come in outside the Top 10 or 15 in most every case. His birdie average and Par 5 scoring average are third and second early this year though. Davis may be worth a look at +750 for a Top 10 if the weather holds.
--Chris Wassel - RotoBallerSource: PGATour.com
March 5, 2025
Sam Burns has finished inside the top 50 in every event so far this 2025 season. The American golfer has not won since the 2023 WGC Match Play. Despite his five wins on the PGA Tour, Burns almost feels forgotten. Bay Hill may be a golf course that allows him to linger but not truly contend again. The problem is Burns ranks 87th in par-five scoring average. The Arnold Palmer has a few of those. Also, his moving-day scoring average of 71 ranks 133rd. That makes his final rounds more difficult due to playing catch-up. His birdie average is 4.75, which comes in 19th. Burns could be a decent DFS option if one is willing to risk the price. Odds to win the tournament are around plus-5,000 on DraftKings, though. Maybe a top-20 finish at plus-140 is a decent wager.
--Chris Wassel - RotoBallerSource: PGATour.com
March 5, 2025
Coming off a tied-for second-place finish at the Cognizant Classic this past weekend, J.J. Spaun could be destined for more success at this week's Arnold Palmer Invitational. Spaun has seen consistency this year with three top-15 finishes and making the cut in every event he's completed. With Bay Hill measuring at 7,460 yards, players must excel off the tee and hit long iron approach shots. While he ranks 97th in strokes gained off the tee, he makes up for it with his 0.911 strokes gained approach to green, which ranks ninth on tour. His approach from 150-175 yards ranks 28th and 175-200 43rd, distances that make up about 35.5% of all approach shots at the course. Spaun can be an interesting play this week after showcasing that he can putt well on Bermuda grass at last week's event.
--Jake Walker - RotoBallerSource: PGA Tour Stats Page
March 5, 2025
Byeong Hun An continues to watch his 2025 season trend in the wrong direction. The South Korean golfer missed consecutive cuts and ranks 150th or worse in three major categories (strokes gained). The putter is not working, drives are not staying on the fairway, and the confidence is not there. Hun A does not set up too well for the Arnold Palmer. That 75-79 at the Genesis Invitational appeared to make him tentative in Florida last week. Bay Hill is always a formidable test and Hun An will be in a 72-player field with many of the top names. Fading him from DFS and betting considerations could prove wise especially if the golf course sees any inclement weather.
--Chris Wassel - RotoBallerSource: PGATour.com
March
5,
2025
Cameron
Young
has
been
the
definition
of
boom-or-bust
this
season,
posting
finishes
of
T8
and
T12,
but
also
struggling
with
a
72nd-place
finish
and
three
missed
cuts
in
his
first
six
events.
He
now
turns
his
attention
to
the
Arnold
Palmer
read more...
March 5, 2025
Justin Thomas has come close to victory multiple times this season, recording three top-10 finishes in his last four starts. He now turns his attention to the Arnold Palmer Invitational, where he has competed three times, posting finishes of T49 (2015), T21 (2023), and T12 (2024). To continue his success at Bay Hill, Thomas will need to be elite off the tee and on approach, as the course ranks among the toughest in both areas. While Thomas has struggled off the tee this year, losing 1.212 strokes and ranking 86th in total driving, he has more than made up for it with his approach play, gaining 1.045 strokes per round — the fifth-best mark on tour. In what are expected to be tough scoring conditions, avoiding bogeys will also be key, and Thomas ranks eighth in this category. It's only a matter of time before he breaks through for a win, and at his $9,400 price tag on DraftKings, fantasy managers can play him confidently.
--Dakota Legg - RotoBallerSource: PGA Tour
March 5, 2025
After a T3 finish at the Genesis Invitational, Scottie Scheffler has now gone three straight events without being at the top of the leaderboard. This marks his longest drought since this time last year, when he secured his first win of the season at the 2024 Arnold Palmer Invitational. To repeat that success, Scheffler will need to be elite off the tee and on approach, two areas where he's consistently excelled. Scheffler hasn't lost strokes off the tee in a tour event since Pebble Beach in February of 2024, and he ranks seventh in strokes gained on approach, gaining 0.960 strokes per round. He also ranks in the 98th percentile for proximity from 150-200 yards, a distance that accounts for 35.5% of all approach shots at Bay Hill. In his four trips to the course, he has won twice and posted a T4 and T15. Fantasy managers should continue to play Scheffler confidently in their DFS lineups.
--Dakota Legg - RotoBallerSource: PGA Tour
March
5,
2025
After
posting
three
top-15
finishes
in
his
first
four
events
of
the
year,
Taylor
Pendrith
has
since
recorded
a
T50
at
the
Genesis
Invitational
and
a
missed
cut
at
last
week's
Cognizant
Classic.
A
major
issue
has
been
his
short
game,
read more...
March 5, 2025
Hideki Matsuyama has recorded back-to-back top-25 finishes at the Genesis Invitational and Phoenix Open and now sets his sights on the Arnold Palmer Invitational, where he will compete for the 11th time. In previous appearances, he's made nine cuts and posted five top-25 finishes, including a T12 last year. To succeed at Bay Hill, Matsuyama will need to be efficient off the tee and with his approach play, as the course ranks among the toughest for both. Known for his elite iron play, he ranks 17th in strokes gained on approach and in the 98th percentile for proximity from 150-200 yards, a distance that accounts for 35.5% of all approach shots here. He also ranks in the 95th percentile for proximity from 200-plus yards. Matsuyama's main issue remains his off-the-tee play, where he's lost 1.679 strokes this year and ranks 175th in total driving. Fantasy managers can confidently play Matsuyama at his $9,300 price tag, and he'll likely be in contention on Sunday if he can improve his first-shot performance.
--Dakota Legg - RotoBallerSource: PGA Tour
March
4,
2025
After
recording
a
T7
finish
at
Pebble
Beach,
Tom
Kim
followed
up
with
consecutive
T44
finishes
at
the
Genesis
Invitational
and
the
Phoenix
Open.
He
now
looks
ahead
to
the
Arnold
Palmer
Invitational,
an
event
he
has
played
twice,
with
finishes
read more...
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