1 month agoAfter an inexplicably subpar 2023, Chase Briscoe seems to have regained much of his speed in 2024 as his sixth-place qualifying run for this weekend's Bristol race gives him his fourth straight top-10 start, the longest such streak of his career. While Briscoe's speed percentile of 39.71 last year was not good, he was significantly faster on short tracks, as he had a speed percentile of 63.36 on that track type and he has become something of a short track specialist. He did win at Bristol in the 2020 Xfinity night race and came close in the 2022 Bristol Dirt Race when he spun Tyler Reddick and himself out on the last lap. With his increase in speed this year and his general strength on short tracks, he is drastically undervalued for this race and is likelier to win than his 100-1 odds on DraftKings would indicate, although he is a very risky DFS play due to his high starting position.Source: Racing Reference
1 month agoAfter recording the third-fastest speed during Saturday's practice (126.922), Bubba Wallace followed it up by qualifying ninth in Sunday's Food City 500 at Bristol Motor Speedway. In the first two races of 2024, Wallace looked like a contender for the NASCAR championship, finishing fifth in both races. In the two races that followed, his results were much less impressive, as he failed to crack the top 15 during NASCAR's West Coast swing. While a return to the southeast should be welcome news to fans of 23XI, unfortunately, Bristol has not been one of Wallace's better tracks. Since 2022, the eight-year Cup veteran has led just six laps, has an average finish of 21.5 and an average DraftKings score of 15.50 when racing on Bristol's concrete. At a starting position that offers limited upside in terms of place differential, and given that he has struggled to lead laps at this track throughout his Cup career, it is difficult to see a path for the No. 23 to return value in DFS this weekend.
Source: Racing-Reference.info
1 month agoAfter finishing with just the 16th fastest practice time (15.385), Chase Elliott ended up qualifying fifth for Sunday's Food City 500 at Bristol Motor Speedway. Despite not having gone to victory lane since October 2022, and while it has been eight races since he has finished in theread more...
1 month agoOn Saturday evening, Ricky Stenhouse Jr. qualified 27th for the Food City 500 at Bristol Motor Speedway. Although Stenhouse did improve by 0.043 seconds from practice to qualifying, he was still much slower than most of the field. What makes this lack of speed even more concerning is that the issue doesn't appear to be unique to Stenhouse, as other Chevy's struggled during Saturday's qualifying too. Of the bottom ten cars, seven are Chevys, which suggests there may be an issue with the bowties this weekend at Thunder Valley. What is of further concern is that Stenhouse has also struggled to keep his car on this track, as he has crashed out in four of the last six races here and has averaged just 25.45 DraftKings points since the launch of the NextGen car. Between his lack of speed and his inability to handle this track, it is recommended that you limit your exposure to Ricky Stenhouse when building your DFS lineups this weekend.Source: Racing-Reference.info
1 month agoMichael McDowell will start seventh in Sunday's Food City 500 at Bristol Motor Speedway, marking the fourth time this season he will start in the top 10. Although McDowell has considerable experience on Bristol's concrete, the experiences have largely been negative. In his 24 starts, he has just two top 10s, eight DNFs, and an average finish of 27.9. With this said, while he does typically struggle at this track, his performances in the NextGen car have been promising. In 2022, he finished 11th after moving up seven spots, while in 2023 he finished sixth after recording 13 fastest laps. This recent success, combined with the fact he recorded the seventh-fastest speed during Saturday's practice, makes the No. 34 a strong bet to finish in the top five this weekend at Bristol.Source: Racing-Reference.info
1 month agoSpire Motorsports rookie Carson Hocevar will start 35th in Sunday's Food City 500 at Bristol Motor Speedway. Despite being his rookie season, Hocevar does have Cup experience at this track as he was given the opportunity to drive the No. 42 in place of the suspended Noah Gragsonread more...
1 month agoOn Saturday evening, Noah Gragson qualified 22nd for his Cup Series debut on Bristol's concrete for Sunday's Food City 500. While Sunday will mark Gragson's first non-dirt Cup start at "The Last Great Colosseum", he does have six Xfinity starts on this surface. In these six starts, he has two wins, four top 10s, and an average finish of 7.8. While there is a significant difference between the Cup cars and the Xfinity cars, these results cannot be ignored. Considering his past success, the fact that he had the 10th fastest time during Saturday's practice, and the that he has already appeared twice in the DraftKings optimal lineup in 2024, Noah Gragson looks like a core play in DFS this weekend, especially considering his salary is just $6,700 on DraftKings.Source: Racing-Reference.info
1 month agoAfter a disappointing practice session, Josh Berry bounced back by qualifying second for Sunday's Food City 500 at Bristol Speedway. To say that Berry's rookie season is off to a rough start is an understatement. In the first four races of 2024, he has yet to finish inread more...
1 month agoOn Saturday evening, A.J. Allmendinger qualified 30th for the Food City 500 at Bristol Motor Speedway. Sunday's race will be the second out of an estimated 12-15 Cup starts for Allmendinger in 2024. In his only other start this season, which came in the Daytona 500, he led nine laps and ended the day with an impressive sixth-place finish. Although he is primarily recognized as a road course specialist, the Kaulig Racing standout has had success at Bristol, mainly at the Xfinity level. In his three Xfinity starts at "The Last Great Colosseum," the 42-year-old has a win (2021), three top-10 finishes, and an average increase of +8 in place differential. At a salary of just $6,100 on DraftKings, on a track he has started to find success at, A.J. Allmendinger looks like a low-risk, value play this weekend in DFS.Source: Racing-Reference.info
1 month agoDaniel Suarez had a solid practice on Saturday for Trackhouse Racing. However, something was not right on the qualifying. From a practice standpoint, the No. 99 car was 11th fastest. After qualifying, Suarez ended up 28th. He was 0.4 seconds off the pace. The concern is Suarez did not really test his car much more than five laps. That 15.476 second average lap interval was not bad. However, no one truly knows how much that time would balloon out after 10, 15, or 20 laps. Sunday will be interesting from Bristol Motor Speedway for Suarez.Source: NASCAR.com
1 month agoZane Smith will start 16th on Sunday at Bristol Motor Speedway for the Food City 500. The Spire Motorsports Racing driver will begin the race two spots better than teammate Corey LaJoie for this week's race. That surprised some on Saturday evening. Anyway, Smith and the Spire cars were fast in practice (8th for LaJoie and 13th for Smith). Lap averages for the No. 71 Chevy did not trend too bad and all stayed under 16 seconds. Is that lightning fast? No. Is it effective? Yes, potentially. Source: NASCAR.com
1 month agoDaniel Hemric was not expecting much in qualifying on Saturday. He will start 20th on Sunday at Bristol. Hemric and the Kaulig Racing Chevy were pretty fast at times. Unfortunately, he was 24th in practice and his lap averages did not fall off till the 15-lap interval. The problem seemed to be as the laps ticked down, he started turning in more and more 16+ second laps. If the Chevy could be a hair faster in the corners, Hemric might have a pretty good car. He will start ten spots better than A.J. Allmendinger. That is a bit of a surprise for Sunday. Source: NASCAR.com
1 month agoAustin Cindric got one good lap in but a lot of his practice laps were slow. The Team Penske driver was 0.599 seconds off in practice. He could not qualify into the final group on Saturday and ended up 21st. With laps ticking off around 15-16 seconds, this race will go by pretty quick. Bristol Motor Speedway is a 0.533-mile track. Yes, 500 laps seem to race by. Cindric did not have much success in his two races on the concrete. He finished 20th and 32nd. Also he went negative on place differential. Cindric's lap averages in practice were 31st and around 16.5 to 16.6 seconds. That is not a good sign. Source: NASCAR.com
1 month agoAlex Bowman did not have the qualifying run expected of him. The Hendrick Motorsports car looked slow throughout practice and then worse during qualifying. Well, Bowman was 28th in practice a full 0.6 seconds off the lead time. He wound up 29th in qualifying. Bristol can be a place to gain positions but also lose laps too. An average lap is around 15.5-15.6 seconds. Going back to concrete from dirt may skew historical results a bit. However, Bowman had an average start of ninth the past three years. It could be a bit of a struggle on Sunday for the No. 48 Chevy. Source: NASCAR.com
2 months agoChristopher Bell just put the entire NASCAR Cup Series garage on notice with a statement win at Phoenix Raceway this past weekend. Bell's No. 20 Toyota was a rocketship during practice on Friday, and in the second half of the Shriners Children's 500 race on Sunday, the car was able to back up that speed by easily being the class of the field. Bell was able to maneuver through traffic with ease and won the race by 5.465 seconds over Chris Buescher. That dominant of a race car is noteworthy because the Cup Series Championship will be decided at Phoenix in November. If Bell is able to make the Final Four, he will most likely be the favorite to win it all. After his win, the Joe Gibbs Racing driver stated, "Man, this one feels really good... You don't get cars like that very often." This was Bell's seventh Cup Series win in his fifth full-time season.Source: NASCAR.com