March 9, 2025
Shane van Gisbergen's season effectively lives or dies based on his road course performances to such an extent where his oval performances are something of an afterthought. He makes his first NASCAR Cup Series start at Phoenix today but he performed decently well here in the Xfinity Series, where he finished 6th and 12th in his two starts; he had a better average finish here than his veteran teammate A.J. Allmendinger. SVG starts 29th but his relative inexperience on non-drafting ovals in the Cup Series suggests that he still needs seat time before he has a lot of value on this track type, and it doesn't help that the Trackhouse Racing cars have very hit-or-miss speed on tracks less than 1.5 miles in length. The option tires may help him since he likely has more experience on them in Supercars, but he's probably not worth starting for DFS.
--Sean Wrona - RotoBallerSource: Racing Reference
March 9, 2025
Phoenix has been a pretty terrible track for Ricky Stenhouse Jr. He has only ever placed in the top 10 twice in 24 starts, with both coming in his relative glory days at Roush Fenway Racing in 2017. Since the move to the Next Gen chassis, he has never finished better than 19th and he tends to always finish right around where he starts. Since he is starting 22nd on Sunday, he will likely finish approximately there as well, as he did in both 2023 races and the 2024 winter race. Since he is neither likely to score many place-differential points or score any lap-leader points -- having only led two laps at the track in his career in addition to remaining very crash-prone -- he's pretty much worthless for DFS lineups on Sunday.
--Sean Wrona - RotoBallerSource: Racing Reference
March 9, 2025
Justin Haley seems to have lucked out that the Spire Motorsports cars are significantly faster than they were last season (and even faster than the Rick Ware cars he had last year), but it doesn't seem to have much to do with him. Carson Hocevar and Michael McDowell have looked faster all year, and Saturday was no exception, as he qualified a seemingly impressive eighth until you realize both of his teammates still outqualified him. Haley is good at finishing races, but he doesn't seem to have a very high ceiling. While he's certainly never had a car as fast as this one, and he is usually good at improving through the field, he has also only placed better than 24th once in 2022 and has never led a lap. Haley will likely finish significantly worse than he starts, and therefore is a very weak DFS option.
--Sean Wrona - RotoBallerSource: Racing Reference
March 9, 2025
After an improbable three straight 17th-place finishes to start the season, Riley Herbst qualified one spot worse than that at Phoenix, which was actually his best qualifying position on a non-drafting oval in his Cup Series career to date. However, don't expect him to extend his streak a fourth week as Herbst developed very lowly in the Xfinity Series, which likely suggests the same will hold true for him in Cup. The first three races on drafting ovals and a road course are the kind of quirky races where an unheralded underdog can place well just by avoiding crashes, but in a more run-of-the-mill race like at Phoenix, he's probably going to be much slower as he learns the ropes and will probably finish worse than he starts. Even though Herbst has a solid projected finish in theory, he's not a good DFS play.
--Sean Wrona - RotoBallerSource: Racing Reference
March 9, 2025
Zane Smith starts 26th at Phoenix and on paper is not expected to do much because his best career finish at the track is 29th. However, he has switched from Spire Motorsports to Front Row Motorsports for 2025 and FRM has arguably been better at the track lately than Spire was last year. Michael McDowell had top fifteens in three of his last four starts while Todd Gilliland posted top 20s in both races. Since Smith was substantially faster in the second half of 2024 than the first, it seems likely that his actual finish will be better than his projected finish at this track, especially since FRM is a Penske satellite and the Penske has obviously put far more emphasis into Phoenix than any other team after winning three straight titles here. He is a lowkey solid choice for place differential.
--Sean Wrona - RotoBallerSource: Racing Reference
March 9, 2025
Cody Ware qualified 35th for Sunday's race at Phoenix. Although Ware has finished better than he has started in every one of his Phoenix starts, except for the 2021 winter race where he crashed, there still isn't enough upside to actually consider him for DFS lineups. He has never finished better than 28th in a race here, nor has he finished less than four laps down. Although his DraftKings salary of $4,800 is the second-cheapest in the field, ahead of only debutant Katherine Legge, there's a reason for that, and he is best avoided.
--Sean Wrona - RotoBallerSource: Racing Reference
March 9, 2025
William Byron will definitely be a contender in the Shriners Children's 500 at Phoenix Raceway this weekend. The Hendrick Motorsports driver looked stout in practice on Saturday, ranking second-fastest in 30-lap average, and then Byron went out and followed that up by winning the pole in qualifying later that afternoon. As far as track record goes at Phoenix, Byron has been one of the best in the desert in the Next Gen era. Looking at the last five races here, he's finished sixth or better four times, and got a win in the spring race here two years ago. Byron has also led a combined 178 laps over the last four events at this track. As far as DFS contests go, Byron is a great candidate to grab early dominator points and he should be able to contend for the race win, too. At $10,000 on DraftKings, he has a hefty price tag, but has a good chance of making it into the optimal lineup despite that.
--Jordan McAbeeSource: Jayski
March
9,
2025
Fresh
off
of
back-to-back
wins
at
Atlanta
and
COTA,
Christopher
Bell
now
shifts
his
focus
to
Phoenix
Raceway,
a
track
where
he
absolutely
dominated
at
last
season.
Will
the
Joe
Gibbs
Racing
driver
be
able
to
grab
his
third
Cup
Series
read more...
March
9,
2025
If
we
were
to
tell
you
that
there
was
a
driver
who
hasn't
finished
worse
than
fifth
in
the
last
seven
races
at
Phoenix
Raceway,
a
normal
reaction
would
be,
"well
he
has
definitely
won
at
least
one
or
two
of
read more...
March 9, 2025
Don't let Kyle Larson's starting spot for this weekend's Shriners Children's 500 fool you. The No. 5 Chevrolet is still really strong this weekend. Larson hit the apron wrong during his qualifying lap on Saturday, and that is why he will start from back in 17th place when the green flag waves in Phoenix. If that wouldn't have happened, Larson likely would have had a top-five qualifying effort. As far as race speed goes, the No. 5 Chevrolet looks to be one of the best heading into the race, as Larson had the best 25- and 30-lap average during practice. Additionally, his track record at Phoenix is very strong, as "Yung Money" has finished fourth or better in three of the last four races at this track while posting top-10 results in 10 of the last 12. Larson is a strong all-around DFS option on Sunday, and you should definitely have plenty of him in your DraftKings lineups.
--Jordan McAbeeSource: Driver Averages
March 9, 2025
Don't forget about Chris Buescher ($8,400) when building your DraftKings lineups for this weekend's Shriners Children's 500 at Phoenix Raceway. Over the last three races at the track, Buescher has been one of the strongest competitors, with finishes of ninth, second, and fifth to his credit over that span. He also has results of 15th and 10th here at Phoenix back in 2023 and 2022, which were also with the Next Gen car. Looking at this weekend, Buescher qualified 13th, which is actually a little better than his "normal" in the desert. Additionally, the No. 17 looked pretty good in practice, ranking eighth-fastest in 10-lap average, ninth-fastest in 15-lap average, and 11th-fastest in 20-lap average. The Fords tend to be the best manufacturer when it comes to tire falloff on long runs, and Buescher's recent track record speaks for itself. In tournaments, Buescher looks to be an excellent pivot option on DraftKings heading into race day.
--Jordan McAbeeSource: ifantasyrace
March 9, 2025
Ross Chastain was a bit down on the speed chart in qualifying on Saturday for this weekend's Shriners Children's 500 at Phoenix Raceway, as the No. 1 Chevrolet will roll off the grid from 24th when the race goes green on Sunday. However, don't expect Chastain to ride around mid-pack all day. In terms of practice speeds, Ross looked solid during the pre-qualifying session, ranking inside the top 10 in 10-, 15-, 20-, 25-, and 30-lap average. As far as track history goes, Chastain has been one of the strongest at Phoenix in the Next Gen era, with four results of sixth or better in the six races, including a win in the fall 2023 race. He wound up finishing sixth in the spring race last season after starting 12th. At $8,800 on DraftKings this weekend, Chastain carries a relatively hefty price tag, but the Place Differential upside makes him a viable DFS option on Sunday.
--Jordan McAbeeSource: ifantasyrace
March 9, 2025
Alex Bowman will roll off the starting grid from 32nd place for Sunday's Shriners Children's 500 at Phoenix Raceway, but he should place much better than that when it's all said and done. Bowman, like his teammate Kyle Larson, clipped the apron in Turn 1 during his qualifying lap and ruined his time. And while Bowman may not be the strongest driver at Phoenix, he now becomes a very strong play in DFS on Sunday due to his place-differential upside (plus the fact that he is priced at just $7,800 on DraftKings). Over the last four races at this track, Bowman has ended up between ninth and 20th each time. Even if he's only able to pull off a 20th-place finish here on Sunday, that will equal 35 fantasy points for the Hendrick Motorsports driver thanks to place differential. Bowman is a strong core driver to build around in DFS on Sunday, especially in cash games.
--Jordan McAbeeSource: Steven Taranto X Account
March
9,
2025
Don't
sleep
on
Ryan
Preece
in
this
weekend's
Shriners
Children's
500
at
Phoenix
Raceway.
The
short,
flat
tracks
are
where
Preece
excels
at
the
most,
and
Roush-Fenway
Keselowski
Racing
has
found
some
speed
here
at
Phoenix
over
the
last
couple
of
read more...
March 9, 2025
Todd Gilliland is always a popular low-tier driver in the fantasy and betting world, and with him coming off of a top-10 finish at COTA last weekend, you may be looking to dip back into the Gilly Gang well again this weekend. That's probably not a bad idea. Gilliland has made six career Cup Series starts at Phoenix Raceway and has posted three top-20 finishes during that three-year span, including a 19th in his first-ever start here and a 17th-place finish in last year's spring race. Todd also ended up with a 20th-place result in the fall race last November. Looking at other flat tracks last season, Gilliland finished 16th at Gateway, 12th at Iowa, 12th at New Hampshire, and 21st and 17th in the two Richmond races. The No. 34 team struggled to find any meaningful speed in practice this weekend, but if they can make some adjustments and grab another top-20 finish on Sunday, Gilliland will be well worth the $5,600 price tag on DraftKings.
--Jordan McAbeeSource: ifantasyrace
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