RADIO
We have made it to Week 4 of the NFL season, and we have a 12-game slate on tap. The Titans/Steelers game has been postponed due to COVID, so do not play that game. There are not as many clear cut values at some positions like week's past, but that can obviously change as more injury news is released, so be ready to adjust accordingly. For now, cash games look to be quite balanced, and there is a ton of value for that type of build.
When looking at the running backs and wide receivers on the slate, there are many ways to go. There are some really strong plays to pay up for as usual, but in cash games, there are some strong values in the mid-price ranges that can lead to a strong, balanced cash lineup. We have many high totals to target, and the people in the desert have figured out, we have a lot of scoring this year. There are a few most target games in those high total situations and then some to break down more. If you have any questions, do not hesitate to chat it up with me on Twitter @bdentrek.
This article will take a look at some of the value plays for each week of the NFL. However, when you look at value plays for GPP, you are swinging for the fences somewhat. Here I will be focusing on cash games and the necessity for slightly more safety as you are just looking to finish in the top half or so of the competition. Therefore, we are looking for cheaper players who should see a decent workload, pass attempts, targets, or carriers. Let's take a look at the cash value plays for Week 4 of the 2020 NFL season.
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Week 4 Quarterback Cash Game Value Plays
Ryan Fitzpatrick, MIA vs SEA | DK: $5,400, FD: $7,100
Fitzmagic, in a cash lineup, let's go!!!!! The Dolphins head into their Week 4 matchup vs the Seahawks as seven-point underdogs and a game total of nearly 55. There should be points aplenty, and the Dolphins should have to play catchup. In the last two weeks, Fitzpatrick has been the QB5 and QB12, and that would be excellent again this week. He will be facing a Seahawks Defense that is not the Legio of Boom anymore. They have been quite bad. On average this season, they are allowing nearly 440 passing yards per game, two touchdown passes, and over 33 fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks. Coming off back to back 25+ point weeks should not be difficult to duplicate for Fitzpatrick in this great matchup. He should be a cash lock this week.
Joe Burrow, CIN vs JAX | DK: $6,300, FD: $7,400
I guess I will keep writing up Burrow as a cash value as long as he is priced appropriately and throws the ball as much as he has this season. He has brought a great floor into each matchup and has backed that up by scoring at least 17 fantasy points in all three games and 20+ in each of his last two. He will be facing a Jaguars team that has allowed an average of 2.3 passing touchdowns per game this season and 23 fantasy points per game to the opposing quarterback. Burrow is averaging 47 pass attempts per game and is also not afraid to run the ball when he has too. The Bengals are three-point favorites and have an implied team total of 26, so expect Burrow to be quite active yet again.
Week 4 Running Back Cash Game Value Plays
James Robinson, JAX at CIN | DK: $6,500, FD: $6,600
Robinson was handed the starting running back reins after Week 1 and has run wild with them. In his two games as the full-time starter, Robinson has put up over 20 fantasy points and is in line for another strong week versus the Bengals. The Bengals Defense allows over 155 rushing yards, over a touchdown per game, and over 28 fantasy points per game to opposing running backs. They rank 25th in the NFL against running backs, and that will not likely change this week. Robinson has the ability to run with the rock but also is a solid pass-catching back. He will be inline for 15+ touches and likely will receive over 20 touches if this game is the back and forth game many expect it to be.
Kenyan Drake, AZ at CAR | DK: $6,000 FD: $7,000
Drake let many down last week in a great spot, but it will be hard to stay away in a matchup vs the Panthers this week. The Panthers allow 115 rushing yards per game this season but, more impressively, are allowing nearly 11 receptions and over two touchdowns per game to runnings backs. They rank 31st in the NFL to start the season vs the running back position allowing over 40 fantasy points per game. It goes back even farther as the Panthers ranked last in the NFL over their last nine games, allowing 2.1 rushing touchdowns per game and 144.1 rushing yards per game. Drake has at least 16 carries in each game and at least 18 touches in each game this season, making for a hard fade this week vs the Panthers.
Mike Davis, CAR vs AZ | DK: $5,700, FD: $6,300
Davis jumped into the Christian McCaffrey roll last week and did not disappoint, putting up 20+ fantasy points. Now, he heads into his Week 4 matchup vs the Cardinals looking to smash again. He is facing a Cardinals team that ranks 20th to start the season vs running backs allowing 25+ fantasy points per game. Davis has been targeted out of the backfield at least eight times in the last two games and also has five red-zone targets in his last three games. He brings massive upside and a strong floor in a matchup the Panthers should be behind in most of the game.
Week 4 Wide Receiver Cash Game Value Plays
Tyler Boyd, CIN vs JAX | DK: $6,100, FD: $6,000
Tyler Boyd rolls into Sunday's shootout flying high as one of Burrow's major receiving targets. Boyd has been targeted at least five times in all three games this season and eight times in the last two games. He has hauled in at least seven catches and scored at least 20 fantasy points in the last two games. The Bengals should be throwing a lot again this week in their matchup vs the Jaguars, and Boyd appears to be the new WR1 for Burrow. Enjoy the strong floor and GPP upside.
DeVante Parker, MIA vs SEA | DK: $5,700, FD: $6,500
Parker will look to eat on Sunday vs the Seahawks. He has five catches in back to back games and has managed double-digit fantasy production in both games. He goes up against a Seahawks defense that ranks last in the NFL to start the season vs the wide receiver position. They were just torched by the Cowboys and could be in line for another tough game Sunday. The Dolphins are not the Cowboys, but Fitzpatrick has no problem slinging it around. The Dolphins are touchdown dogs with a team total of 24. They will be playing catchup most of the game, and Parker should find his way to a ton of targets on Sunday.
Brandin Cooks, HOU vs MIN | DK: $4,500, FD: $5,300
It has been a very up and down start to the season for Cooks, but this may be the week he breaks out. The Texans have had a heck of a start to the season taking on the Chiefs, Ravens, and Steelers. Now they get a much better matchup, at home vs the Vikings. A Vikings Defense that ranks 29th on the season vs wide receivers, allowing nearly two touchdowns per game to opposing wide receivers. Even with the slow start, Cooks is receiving almost six targets per game and put up over 14 points in his home matchup vs the Ravens. Cooks and the Texans have a 29 point implied team total and should be in line for many targets and a really strong game at a great value on Sunday.
Week 4 Tight End Cash Game Value Plays
Dalton Schultz, DAL vs CLE | DK: $4,300, FD: $4,900
Schultz heads into Sunday's matchup vs the Browns with an extremely strong floor, a strong cash game floor. Since taking over as the Cowboys starter, he has at least six targets in each game with four or more catches in both. He will be facing a Cleveland defense that has been torched by the tight end position and is ranked 29th in the NFL vs the tight end position. Heck, they were torched by Drew Sample. The Bengals are allowing over seven targets and one touchdown per game to the tight end position. The Cowboys have an implied team total nearing 31 and will be scoring aplenty, meaning red-zone targets and many targets in general coming Schultz way on Sunday.
Logan Thomas, WAS vs BAL | DK: $3,500, FD: $4,900
Rinse and repeat. Thomas is a cash game tight end value yet again this week. Sure he has not had the results we would have hoped for, but he is 12th at the TE position in fantasy points, and if you believe in implied stats, he is 5th in implied points at the tight end position. It's a nice way saying he is running bad and/or his quarterback is not helping him at all. He has had the chance with at least seven targets in each game, and that is all we can ask for. He is facing a Ravens Defense tied with the Browns ranking 29th vs the tight end position. They are allowing seven catches and close to a touchdown per game to tight ends this season. The Washington Football Team is a 15 point underdog and will be throwing from behind all game, meaning more and more targets for Thomas. The floor is strong, and he is just one touchdown catch away from being massive cash game value.
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