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The 2022-2023 NBA season is here, and our friends over at PrizePicks still have a TON of great props we can look to take advantage of. PrizePicks is a great DFS props site where you can choose to select plays in terms of fantasy points or single stats. The goal is to build a 2-player, 3-player, 4-player, or 5-player entry and then select whether or not you want to play for the power play or the flex play. On the power play, you will need to be correct on each of your selections to win, and on the flex play, you will have a little more wiggle room for a chance to win some money back.
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PrizePicks has two types of games. The first type of game is known as Fantasy Score, which consists of selecting various players and trying to determine if they will go over or under their projected fantasy points in a game. The second game is known as Single Stat. For NBA, Single Stat consists of points, rebounds, assists, three-pointers made, and free throws made, in which you determine if the player in question will go over or under their projected total. You can mix and match players from each type of game in your entry or select all of your plays from the same type of game. Once you have selected your players and props, you can choose the aforementioned flex play or power play option. Today, we will look at some single-stat scores for tonight, January 31.
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Single Stat NBA Totals - DFS Prop Picks
Editor's Note: Prize Picks prop totals are not always available first thing in the morning, so check back during the day as other props may be added during the day.
Evan Mobley OVER 13.5 Points - I'll start today's slate off with Evan Mobley's points prop. Mobley has hit this number in just three of his last five, but eight of his last ten. The matchup with Miami is a difficult one, no doubt, but I do feel like this number is a bit of a misprice. Mobley scored 15 points against back on November 20, and my model projects him for 17.64 points tonight, so we're getting solid value here.
Zach LaVine OVER 4.5 Rebounds - I'll take a look at Zach LaVine's rebounds prop next. We're getting some solid value here from an EV perspective, as this number is at -140 on sportsbooks as I'm typing this. Like Mobley, LaVine has hit this number in three of his last five and eight of his last ten. My model projects LaVine for 6.87 rebounds tonight, and I think he gets there pretty easily despite the Clippers ranking fifth in rebounds allowed to shooting guards this season.
Darius Garland OVER 7.0 Assists - I'll wrap things up with Darius Garland's assists prop. Another +EV play here as this number is 7.5 on most sportsbooks right now. Garland has cleared this number in four of his last five and eight of his last ten while averaging 9.6 rebounds over those ten games. He finished with seven assists in that November 20th game against the Heat, but my model projects him for 7.66 rebounds tonight. I like this number at seven but would be a bit weary of it should it rise to 7.5.
Other Recommendations - Mason Plumlee OVER 25.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists, Terry Rozier OVER 2.5 Three-Pointers Made, Jarrett Allen OVER 12.5 Points, Donovan Mitchell OVER 8.5 Rebounds + Assists
Overall recommendation for this play: FLEX
