X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

Kyle Schwarber Rankings Debate: Comparing RotoBaller's Rankers

It's the fantasy baseball draft season. To us baseball nerds, few things are more exciting than arguing about player rankings. Today, we'll discuss and compare Kyle Schwarber's RotoBaller staff rankings. He was ranked No. 45 overall by Jeff Kahntroff, and No. 74 by Nick Mariano.

Throughout this series, we'll be using our February Staff Rankings to debate where to draft certain players. In cases where our writers had discrepancies, we've asked them to explain their rankings. These debates will provide us with some well-rounded analysis, and help identify undervalued/overvalued draft picks.

Editor's note: Check out our previous rankings debates on Jose RamirezTrea TurnerJ.D MartinezNelson Cruz, Jose AbreuBryce Harper, and Carlos Martinez.

 

2017 Draft Rankings Debate: Kyle Schwarber

Jeff Kahntroff's Rankings Analysis

His Overall Ranking: 45

Just as I used the example of the Pirates shopping Andrew McCutchen off a down year as a sign that they may not be believing in a major rebound, I feel the opposite with Schwarber: the Cubs have reportedly resisted many inquiries on him. They reportedly declined to discuss him for two and a half bargain years of Andrew Miller, but instead chose to deal a then top-20ish prospect (Gleyber Torres) and three others for half a season of Aroldis Chapman. To me, he meets the description of “you know it when you see it”; he has that “it” factor. The numbers back up the Cubs’ stance, as he has absolutely raked at every level despite only having four regular season at-bats beyond the age of 22:

A Ball (all levels): .344/.428/.634/1.061

AA: .320/.438/.579/1.017

AAA: .333/.403/.633

MLB: .242/.353/.479/.831

Schwarber has played 85 games (including the postseason) with a .261/21/60/53/4 line. Projecting those numbers to 145 games for 2017, we get .261/36/102/90/7. At 24, he should be improving. Yet, he could face league adjustments and wear down later in the season after barely playing last year. Balancing these competing factors, .270/30/95/80/5 seems reasonable to me.

It’s important to note that Nick and I don’t diverge that much on our rankings of Schwarber relative to the other top three catchers. While I have Schwarber first of four and he has Schwarber fourth of four, we both have them packed tightly together. I valued Schwarber and Posey at $23 and Lucroy and Sanchez at $22; Nick ranked all four within a 14-pick range. However, I have all four higher than Nick because I believe there is a ton of separation between these four and the rest of the catchers, and thus that they are highly valuable. But, because I have them ranked similarly, I would not reach for any of these four way ahead of the others; I’d seek the best value. If these four were grabbed too highly and I missed out, I would simply wait until the end of the draft for my catcher.

 

Nick Mariano's Rankings Analysis

His Overall Ranking: 74

First of all, while we have similar bunching with the top four catchers in 2017, we differ in where they should be pegged as a class. His C1 is Schwarber, while I have him at C4. That’s less about Schwarber being “bad” than it is about the other three simply being preferable, but we’ll keep this analysis local to Schwarbs.

Obviously, the Cubbies feel they have something special in Schwarber, and how could they not? He’s delivered at every level and then gave them a nice boost in 2015 even as he posted a 28.2% strikeout rate. He also posted a 42.3%/40.4%/17.3% flyball/groundball/line drive profile, which adds up to the mediocre .293 BABIP. We’re talking 5x5 leagues here, so that lovely OBP of his is irrelevant.

While I believe that Schwarber has the capability to be a solid asset with 30 homers well within reach, I just see the holes in his swing as too much of a liability. Since we’re not really assessing him for his average, we’ll pull up his ISO chart:

Now, it’s not a hard science that Schwarber hasn’t adjusted and learned how to effective hit the inside pitches, but we haven’t seen it. That inside streak of being 1-for-31 is not pretty. While comparing anything to Gary Sanchez's wild 2016 debut requires a grain of salt, one should note his plate coverage:

While this raises questions about Sanchez digging too low below the zone, the main takeaway is how capable he was at covering much of the strike zone with his power. Eight of those nine zone sections are at least lukewarm, it isn't as though he looked lost against a whole portion of the plate like Schwarber. All-in-all, fantasy owners who get Schwarber in 2017 will likely be happy with things, but I'm not prepared to elevate him into the top 50 until he can either step up his batting average or improve on his vulnerability to the inside pitch.




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

George Kittle

Highly Unlikely to Play in Week 17
Andrei Svechnikov

Extends Scoring Run With Three-Point Effort
Auston Matthews

Bags Three Points Saturday Night
Alex Laferriere

Records First Career Hat Trick
William Nylander

Sustains Lower-Body Injury Saturday
Zach Werenski

Unlikely to Play Sunday
Ashton Jeanty

With the No. 1 Pick on the Line, Ashton Jeanty Still Expected to Play
Jake Evans

to Miss 4-6 Weeks
George Kittle

is a Game-Time Decision for Week 17
J.J. Moser

Inks Eight-Year Extension
Ajay Mitchell

Cleared to Return Sunday
Bogdan Bogdanović

Bogdan Bogdanovic Ruled Out for Sunday
Kyshawn George

Iffy for Sunday
De'Anthony Melton

Sits Out First Leg of Back-to-Back
Jaxson Hayes

Unlikely to Play Sunday
Derrick Jones Jr.

to Return From Knee Injury Sunday
Jock Landale

in Danger of Missing Another Game Sunday
Vince Williams Jr.

Won't Play Sunday
Robert Williams III

Inactive on Sunday
Jerami Grant

to Sit Out Fifth Consecutive Game
Brandin Podziemski

Probable to Play Sunday
Jakob Poeltl

to Miss Another Game Sunday
RJ Barrett

Listed as Questionable for Sunday
Paul George

Probable for Meeting With Former Team
Joel Embiid

Won't Play on Sunday
Josh Hart

to Miss at Least Two More Games
Kevin Love

Resting on Saturday
Ace Bailey

Misses Saturday's Action
Mohamed Diawara

Starting on Saturday Night
Gary Trent Jr.

Sits Out Second Straight Game
Bam Adebayo

Ruled Out Again on Saturday
TreVeyon Henderson

Clears Concussion Protocol, Will Play in Week 17
Davante Adams

Downgraded to Doubtful for Week 17
Ryan McDonagh

Misses Saturday's Action
Jordan Kyrou

Jimmy Snuggerud Back for Blues Saturday
Tanner Jeannot

Misses First Game of the Season
Rasmus Dahlin

Won't Play on Saturday
Elias Pettersson

Ready to Return Saturday
Leo Carlsson

Available Against Kings
Jack Eichel

Still Out Saturday
Ilya Sorokin

Lands on Injured Reserve
Bo Horvat

Returns to Action Saturday
Kimani Vidal

Inactive on Saturday
George Kittle

Questionable to Face the Bears in Week 17
Maxx Crosby

Done for the Season
Calvin Austin III

Ruled Out with Hamstring Injury for Week 17
Harold Fannin Jr.

Expected to Play on Sunday
Jordan Love

Ruled Out with Concussion for Saturday's Contest
George Kittle

"Likely a Game-Time Decision" on Sunday Night
A.J. Brown

Returns to Practice on Friday
Josh Allen

Trending Toward Playing Vs. Philly
CFB

Michigan Targeting Kyle Whittingham as Next Head Coach
CFB

Texas Leading Rusher Quintrevion Wisner Set to Transfer
George Kittle

Remains Sidelined During Thursday's Practice
Malik Willis

Carrying Questionable Tag for Week 17 Tilt
Jordan Love

Questionable for Saturday's Contest
Lamar Jackson

Listed as Doubtful for Week 17
Amon-Ra St. Brown

to Suit Up on Christmas Day
Rome Odunze

"Increasing Unlikely to Play" in Week 17
Chris Rodriguez Jr.

Carries Questionable Tag on Thursday
Pete Fairbanks

Marlins Agree on One-Year Deal
Brooks Koepka

Leaving LIV Golf
Connor McDavid

Finishes Battle of Alberta With Five Assists
Karel Vejmelka

Battling Upper-Body Injury
Alexandre Texier

Suffers Upper-Body Injury Against Bruins
Alexander Nikishin

Dealing With Apparent Ankle Injury
Denver Barkey

Exits Early Tuesday
Ryan O'Hearn

Pirates Agree on Two-Year Deal
CFB

Jeff Brohm, Eli Drinkwitz "Names of Interest" for Michigan Head Coach
CFB

Byrum Brown Entering Transfer Portal
CFB

Bobby Petrino Joining Bill Belichick as North Carolina's Offensive Coordinator

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP