BALLER MOVE: Target in drafts ~pick 271
CURRENT ADP: ~298 overall
ANALYSIS: Kutter Crawford was a pleasant surprise in 2023, with a decent 4.04 ERA, 3.83 FIP, 1.11 WHIP, 25.5% strikeout rate, and 6.8% walk rate. His 284 ADP and previous numbers signal he can be a nice rotation cog, but there's a solid chance the 27-year-old becomes a fantasy stud this season.
As the 3.83 FIP indicates, Boston's abysmal defense did a number on Crawford's counting stats. A 24th-ranked Boston defense (-20 DRS in 2023) should make massive strides this season, with elite defenders Tyler O'Neill and Ceddanne Rafaela now entering the outfield rotation.
Additionally, a 104 Pitching+ grade, 3.25 xERA, and .208 xBA all indicate Crawford can make the leap in 2024. With his spot in the starting rotation secured -- even considering an 11th-hour Boras client signing -- Kutter Crawford should be in line for a breakout season.
Kutter Crawford hit 97 on the gun in his start today. He said he added 8-10 lbs and it’s only made him feel stronger.
Last year, his 4-seamer averaged 93.6.
Houck has apparently seen the biggest velo jump in camp (per Cora). Touched 97 yesterday as well.pic.twitter.com/uWNfKkSIeR
— Tyler Milliken ⚾️ (@tylermilliken_) March 4, 2024
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