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Free NBA betting picks, odds, predictions for the Kings vs. Warriors on 4/30/2023. Our best bets and top NBA picks for moneylines, over/unders and more.
Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Golden State Warriors vs. Sacramento Kings, another article in our weekly series of free NBA betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free NBA betting breakdown article is for Sunday, April 30th.
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Today's Betting Overview - Warriors @ Kings
The Warriors take on the Kings on Sunday, April 30th at Golden 1 Center, Sacramento. RotoBaller provides free handicapping picks and odds for all NBA games throughout the 2022-2023 season.
- Matchup: Golden State Warriors (44-38) vs. Sacramento Kings (48-34)
- Date: Sunday, April 30th
- Time: 3:30 PM ET
- Venue: Golden 1 Center
Today's NBA Sportsbook Odds - Warriors @ Kings
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Warriors & Kings Key Injuries
Warriors
- Andre Iguodala (Out) Wrist
- Patrick Baldwin Jr. (Out) Toe
- Ryan Rollins (Out) Foot
Kings
- Matthew Dellavedova (Out) Finger
Golden State Warriors - NBA Betting Analysis
In Golden State's most recent game, Stephen Curry led the team in scoring with 29 points, but the Warriors fell to the Kings by a score of 118-99 to the Kings. Going into the game, Golden State was 7.0 point favorites, adding an ATS loss to their resume.
Now, the Warriors' overall record sits at 44-38, placing them 6th in the Western Conference. The team's current record at home is 33-8 and 11-30 on the road. Golden State's record against the spread is below .500 at 41-46.
The Warriors come into today's matchup as one of the top scoring teams in the league at 118.9 points per game (4th). However, their production has slowed down of late, averaging just 113 points per game over their last five contests. A key to the team's offensive success is their ability to push the pace while not sacrificing efficiency. This year, the Warriors are 3rd in possessions per game, while also hitting 38.5% of their three-point field goal attempts. Currently, Golden State's overall effective field goal percentage of 57.1% is 5th in the NBA.
The Warriors will look to step up their defensive effort in today's game, as they currently sit at 21st in the NBA for points allowed per game (105.5). Although the team has held up well on the defensive glass (12th) and forcing turnovers, at an average of 15.7 per game, they still have mediocre overall numbers. Opponents have hit 33.9% of their three-point shots and 43.9% of their overall field goal attempts against the Warriors.
Sacramento Kings - NBA Betting Analysis
The Kings enter today's game looking to build some momentum after a 118-99 win over the Warriors. Malik Monk and his 28 led the way for the Kings. Sacramento was the 7.0 point underdog heading into the game, giving them an ATS win.
With the win, the team has moved to 48-34, placing them 3rd in the Western Conference. So far this season, they have gone 23-18 at home and 25-16 on the road. This season, Sacramento's ATS record sits at 48-39.
With an average of 120.7 points per game, the Kings are ranked 2nd in the NBA in scoring. Despite this, their recent performance has been below average, scoring just 114 points per game in their last five contests. Sacramento has utilized their pace effectively this season, with an average of 101.7 possessions per game, which ranks 3rd in the league. Their fast-paced style has offset their three-point field goal percentage of 36.9% (15th). The Kings are 8th in the NBA for free-throw attempts and have a shooting percentage of 79.0%.
Defensively, the Kings enter today's game having allowed an average of 105.5 points per game, placing them 21st in the league. One problem for the unit has been their inability to generate turnovers, ranking 26th at 13.1 per game. This year, opponents have hit 43.9% of their field goal attempts and 33.9% of their shots from beyond the arc. However, Sacramento has held up well on the boards, ranking 12th in the NBA in defensive rebounds per game.
Today's NBA Betting Pick - Warriors vs. Kings
Today's matchup will be the 10th game of the season between the Warriors and Kings. So far, the Warriors have the leg up in the series 6-4. Looking back to the last game between the teams, they combined for 217 points which was below the over/under line of 236.5. The Warriors went into the game as the 7.0 point favorites but lost the game straight-up by a score of 118-99, giving the Kings both a straight-up and ATS win.
In the Warriors' previous five games as the favorite, they have a straight up record of 1-4 while going 1-4 against the spread. Across their last three road games, they are 1-2 ATS and 1-2 straight up. Their previous ten games have an over/under mark of 5-5 with an average of 236 points per contest.
Across Sacramento's last five games at home, they have an ATS mark of 3-2 while going 1-4 straight-up. As the favorite, the Kings are 1-2 straight up on an average scoring differential of 3 points per game. This has led to an ATS mark of 1-2. Their previous ten games have ended in an average of 223 points per game and an over/under mark of 3-7.
Recommended ATS Betting Pick: GS +1.5
Recommended OU Betting Pick: Under 229.0
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