RADIO
Isaiah Hodgins is a 2023 fantasy football draft sleeper at wide receiver and an ADP draft value. Target Hodgins as an undervalued WR in fantasy football drafts.
BALLER MOVE: Target Around ~172 Overall
CURRENT ADP: ~230
ANALYSIS: The Giants traded for Darren Waller, who is expected to become Daniel Jones’ top target, pushing both Darius Slayton and Isaiah Hodgins down the depth chart.
However, the rest of their offseason additions are just average players. Moreover, none of them are true outside receivers like Slayton and Hodgins, which ensures their roles and playing time will remain secure.
| Player | TS % | TPG | RPG | RYPG | AYPG | aDot | YPRR | TPRR |
| D. Slayton | 19.6% | 6.2 | 3.6 | 54.3 | 72.9 | 12.3 | 1.60 | 18% |
| I. Hodgins | 18.2% | 5.8 | 4.4 | 46.4 | 50.7 | 9.0 | 1.45 | 18% |
| 17-Game Pace (Slayton) | 19.6% | 105.4 | 61.2 | 923.1 | 1,239.3 | 12.3 | 1.60 | 18% |
| 17-Game Pace (Hodgins) | 18.2% | 98.6 | 74.8 | 788.8 | 861.9 | 9.0 | 1.45 | 18% |
The table above displays statistics from Weeks 11 to 20 last year. Week 11 was the first week Hodgins played more than 50% of the snaps with the Giants. As you can see from their 17-game pace stats, both players offer excellent value in the 15th and 17th rounds, even with the addition of Waller.
From Weeks 11 to 17, Hodgins had four games where he finished as a top-24 WR. The best part is both of them are free.
While it's easy to assume that the addition of Waller and others will diminish the value of Hodgins, we should also anticipate more passing volume and a more effective passing attack in 2023. This will be the second year under Brian Daboll, and fantasy managers should expect further improvement.
Last season, the Giants attempted just 30.5 passes per game, ranking 25th in the NFL. With the talent upgrade among the team's pass-catchers, we can anticipate an increase in pass attempts in 2023. This will help offset the additional volume Waller will receive.
If the Giants' offense and Daniel Jones take another step forward this season as they did in 2022 and either Slayton or Hodgins separates themselves from the other receivers, either one of them could reach WR3 territory. This possibility makes Hodgins an extremely attractive sleeper pick in the 16th round.
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