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Examining the Average Draft Positions from the Fantasy Football Players Championship (FFPC) gives us a great snapshot of what high-stakes fantasy football players are thinking. The ADPs, which are housed in FantasyMojo.com’s deluxe shop of FFPC data, show you what some of the most competitive fantasy players in the world are thinking.
For this exercise, we consulted recent ADP from the Footballguys Championship format in the FFPC, which includes a starting lineup of 1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 2 FLEX, 1 K, and 1 Defense.
The FFPC format is PPR with 1.5 points for TE receptions.
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FFPC ADP Report: Player Values and Reactions
| OVERALL | PLAYER | POS | ADP |
| 1 | Christian McCaffrey (13) | RB1 | 1 (1.1) |
| 2 | Saquon Barkley (11) | RB2 | 2 (1.2) |
| 3 | Ezekiel Elliott (10) | RB3 | 3 (1.3) |
| 4 | Alvin Kamara (6) | RB4 | 4 (1.4) |
| 5 | Michael Thomas (6) | WR1 | 6 (1.6) |
| 6 | Dalvin Cook (7) | RB5 | 6 (1.6) |
| 7 | Clyde Edwards-Helaire (10) | RB6 | 8 (1.8) |
| 8 | Derrick Henry (7) | RB7 | 8 (1.8) |
| 9 | Travis Kelce (10) | TE1 | 9 (1.9) |
| 10 | Miles Sanders (9) | RB8 | 9 (1.9) |
| 11 | Joe Mixon (9) | RB9 | 12 (1.12) |
| 12 | Kenyan Drake (8) | RB10 | 13 (2.1) |
| 13 | Davante Adams (5) | WR2 | 13 (2.1) |
| 14 | George Kittle (11) | TE2 | 14 (2.2) |
| 15 | Josh Jacobs (6) | RB11 | 15 (2.3) |
| 16 | Tyreek Hill (10) | WR3 | 15 (2.3) |
| 17 | Austin Ekeler (10) | RB12 | 17 (2.5) |
| 18 | Julio Jones (10) | WR4 | 18 (2.6) |
| 19 | Nick Chubb (9) | RB13 | 19 (2.7) |
| 20 | DeAndre Hopkins (8) | WR5 | 20 (2.8) |
| 21 | Aaron Jones (5) | RB14 | 21 (2.9) |
| 22 | Chris Godwin (13) | WR6 | 21 (2.9) |
| 23 | James Conner (8) | RB15 | 26 (3.2) |
| 24 | Kenny Golladay (5) | WR7 | 26 (3.2) |
| 25 | Patrick Mahomes (10) | QB1 | 26 (3.2) |
| 26 | Lamar Jackson (8) | QB2 | 27 (3.3) |
| 27 | Mark Andrews (8) | TE3 | 29 (3.5) |
| 28 | Allen Robinson (11) | WR8 | 31 (3.7) |
| 29 | Mike Evans (13) | WR9 | 31 (3.7) |
| 30 | D.J. Moore (13) | WR10 | 31 (3.7) |
The current FFPC Top 30 in ADPs, via fantasymojo.com
Miles Sanders (Round 1, Pick 10, RB8): It appears high stakes Fantasy players are not dropping Sanders on their draft boards despite reports he is dealing with a lower-body injury. That is a smart approach. From all indications, Sanders’ injury is not a major concern. You should not bump prominent players down your board when their injuries do not affect them in the longer term. You are not drafting in the moment, you are drafting in the preseason. If you pass on Sanders now because of a temporary injury situation, you may regret it when he is possibly performing at a high level as soon as Week 2 or 3.
James Conner (3/2, RB15): The fantasy community seems to be warming up a bit more to Conner recently. Just two seasons ago, he totaled 1,470 yards from scrimmage, had 12 rushing TDs, and caught 55 passes. He is only 25 years old. Conner is a contract year and has the motivation to regain his better form and get paid. Don’t overlook him as a RB2 option, especially with Ben Roethlisberger returning to revive the Pittsburgh offense.
D.J. Moore (3/7, WR10): Savvy Fantasy players realize that Moore nearly reached 90 receptions and 1,200 yards last season despite the QB issues in Carolina. Now the Panthers can stabilize the offense with Teddy Bridgewater and that should translate to improved TD production for Moore. Carolina should throw frequently and more effectively, and Moore clearly is the team’s best WR. Drafting him as a possible back-end WR1 is not crazy at all.
Chris Carson (4/4, RB21): You can read my detailed fantasy scouting report on Carson here. If he can actually manage to stay healthy for a full season, he will play at an RB1 level. For those who wait until the fourth round to take their second running back, Carson is an ideal target. Just make sure you get Carlos Hyde in the later rounds as the essential fantasy insurance play.
Kareem Hunt (5/3, RB23): The fantasy buzz is increasing on Hunt, even though he rushed for 40 yards just one-time last season and topped 50 receiving yards once. If you can grab him as a flex that makes sense because he caught 37 passes in eight games. There is not a great amount of upside with Hunt, yet you can pretty much expect 10 to 14 PPR points from him very often.
Noah Fant (9/6, TE15): He has the potential to bust into TE1 territory in his second pro season. Drew Lock should look his frequently over a full campaign. Fant is a very promising upside play. He has incredible athletic ability and eventually projects to be one of the better TEs in Fantasy Football. He is a big matchup problem for any defense and can score from almost anywhere on the field. The breakout is coming, maybe as soon as this season.
Chris Herndon (10/7, TE18): Here is another possible breakthrough performer at the TE position. If you miss out on a premier player at TE, Fant and Herndon are nifty targets who could outperform expectations and emerge as weekly starters. Herndon showed many flashes of potential as a rookie in 2018 and the Jets are intending to make him an important factor in their passing game this year. He should be one of the top-scoring threats when the team gets closer to the goal line, and he already has a quality rapport with Sam Darnold for usage on important passing downs.
Damien Harris (10/11, RB47): How much longer will he remain a value in this sort of range? He is running with the first-team offense in camp and Sony Michel is dealing with a significant foot injury that is threatening his availability for the start of the season. Harris projects to be a possible lead RB type if given the opportunity, and working in an RPO offense can only help him stand out. He has the most potential upside of any RB on the roster and just needs a chance to show what he can do. Grab this tempting sleeper type any chance you get in this portion of the draft.
DeSean Jackson (11/8, WR51): This may turn out to be a totally wasted pick, even at the end of the 11th round. Jackson has been overrated since 2014. He has not caught more than four TD passes in any of the past five seasons. Jackson is now 33 years old and has even less appeal as a boom-or-bust downfield type. There are better sleeper and value targets remaining even by this point of the draft
Matthew Stafford (12/10, QB12): Experienced and high stakes players will often wait on a QB, and landing Stafford by this point of the draft is a nice payoff for patience. Stafford had 2,499 passing yards and 19 TDs passes in half of a season last year. Even if the Lions can incorporate more of a running game this season, Stafford could still be good for 4,300 passing yards and 30-plus TD tosses.
Bryce Love (13/9, RB57): Antonio Gibson is being drafted nearly four rounds earlier on average, but he is an overrated rookie who needs to learn a lot about the finer points of the game at the NFL level. Love just needs to show he is healthy and he could push for lead RB duties in Washington. Gibson will not get enough overall quality touches to make a significant impact.
Hunter Renfrow (18/10, WR80): Someone will have to step forward as a dependable target in the Las Vegas passing game, and Renfrow may be the best bet. He is being overlooked by fantasy players, but the Raiders regard him very highly internally. He could certainly become more dependable than incoming rookies or the already failed Tyrell Williams. Renfrow has deep sleeper appeal.
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