👉 TAP TO SAVE 50% WITH CODE SPRING
X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


Fantasy Deep Dive Week 6: Domantas Sabonis

Indiana Pacers big Domantas Sabonis was questionable with an ankle injury heading into Friday's meeting with the Spurs. He finished with 19 points and 16 rebounds while starting in place of the more-injured Myles Turner.

But even aside from that game, Sabonis is making a case for extended minutes and a place in fantasy starting lineups even if he's best served coming off the bench for the Pacers. The guy who was thought of as a throw-in in the Paul George trade has averaged 14.5 points and 9.7 rebounds per game in November and his 3.7 assists per game can be a welcome addition to fantasy lineups for owners looking for assists from a big.

Let's take a dive into some of Sabonis's advanced stats and film and talk about why he's a rising fantasy asset.

Featured Promo: New Novig users get a $25 purchase match (50% discount up to $25) on your first Novig deposit, and 6 free months of RotoBaller's "Big-4" Premium Pass (NBA, NFL, MLB, NHL) which includes exclusive tools for Betting, Props, DFS and more! CLAIM IT NOW

 

Domantas Sabonis: Deep Dive

Background Information

Remember when the Indiana Pacers were supposed to be bad last year after they traded Paul George, and then they weren't? Refueling the team with Sabonis and Victor Oladipo was a shot in the arm for the Pacers, who currently sit as a top four team in the East.

Sabonis is a big piece of that success this year. Despite being the backup to starting center Myles Turner, Sabonis is averaging 26.3 minutes per game over the past month. That's enough time on the floor to ensure that he can make an impact, and at this point he appears to be one of the safest bench players for fantasy owners to start.

Turner and Sabonis have shared the floor for 84 minutes this year, and while the Pacers offense has struggled to an offensive rating of 92.2 with the duo on, they've fared well on the defensive end with an 89.7 defensive rating. Still, Sabonis has shined his brightest without Turner on the floor, as he's scoring 11.5 points in 20 minutes per game without Turner.

Sabonis is also an impressive passer. Tony East of BBall Index wrote a great breakdown of Sabonis as a passer, and I don't want to repeat too much of what East had to say except to note that Sabonis makes more passes per game that any Pacer. The ball is constantly moving around when Sabonis is on the floor, and he's one of the best passing bigs in the league. He's also the perfect big for the modern NBA; East notes that "72 percent of Domantas Sabonis’ assists are the best kind of assists: ones that lead to baskets either at the rim or from three." Sabonis doesn't take many threes himself, but his ability to get the ball to shooters outside the arc helps make up for that.

 

Game Tape

Here is the Sabonis shot chart from Friday's meeting with the Spurs.

Lots of shots in the paint, including three of them right at the basket! But one thing you also notice here is that Sabonis takes four of those dreaded mid-range shots, which is obviously a sign that he should not be playing in the NBA in 2018. (I'm kidding, by the way...mid-range shots are less efficient than threes and lay-ups, but they also can be a useful tool, especially for a big man whose ability to hit from there helps stretch the defense out some. (Not as much stretching as threes would create, but still some.))

Alright, let's look at some of Sabonis's plays from Friday. (Videos courtesy of NBA.com)

Here's the first basket for Sabonis. Sets a screen out on the wing, and when Bojan Bogdanovic curls around that screen and catches the pass from Darren Collison, Sabonis rolls toward the basket along with Bogdanovic, putting him in a good position to get the pass and finish the layup. Remember: Sabonis wasn't at 100 percent for this game, but you can't tell it right here as he completes his end of the play.

Little later in the game, same kind of situation. Sabonis sets the pick up top, then becomes the roll man as he heads towards the basket. Sabonis can finish at the rim, though last season he ranked in just the 37th percentile in points per possession as the roll man in the pick-and-roll, so there's still work that can be done.

Here's Sabonis getting the put-back off the Tyreke Evans miss. Sabonis is just 35th in offensive rebounds per game this season after ranking 29th last season, but of guys playing fewer than 25 minutes per game this year, he ranks seventh (or eighth if you count JaMychal Green, who has played in just six games). He does a good job on the offensive boards for the amount of playing time he has, though expecting him to suddenly grab a lot more of them out of nowhere feels unrealistic.

How about some mid-range?

Freeze the above video at the four second mark and just look at how open Sabonis is. I'm getting flashbacks here to Juwan Howard and Luis Scola when they were Rockets and I watched a lot of them, where they get to the top of the free throw line or somewhere close to that and through some actions, they get a pretty open chance to take that shot. Sabonis takes around 10 percent of his shots from outside of 10 feet and with the closest defender six or more feet away; he's hitting 42.9 percent on those shots. If the defense gives them to him, he should take them.

One more shot from Sabonis. Love his awareness here, as he's right down there at the basket but when the defense collapses in, he sneaks out to hit an open shot from just inside the free throw line. Sabonis seems to just, like, get open space around him a lot more than he should.

Here is an assist, and then after this sentence is another assist.

Sabonis makes good use of the hand-off out near the three-point line as a way of getting his teammates the ball in a good position to succeed. Sabonis is one of the best playmaking bigs in the NBA, and that's a trait that should be of good use to fantasy owners.

 

The Fantasy Impact

Domantas Sabonis is a very good NBA player. Not a shock -- look at who his dad is -- but it's something that can be easily forgotten since he plays on a Pacers team that far too many people don't pay attention to and he's mainly used as a bench piece.

Sabonis is a good shooter when he's open, a good rebounder (I didn't include any rebounding videos aside from the offensive board, but he's put up good numbers in that category), and a great passer for his position.

There's some worry for fantasy owners because, yes, he isn't a starter. Some slight minute fluctuations due to that shouldn't impact his value too much, but there is the danger that the game flow leads to a sub-20 minute night, as he's had two of those this season. But he's had more 30 minute nights, and the Pacers like Sabonis a lot. He'll be on the court 25-ish minutes most nights, more than enough time for him to help your fantasy team in plenty of categories. He's shooting 69.3 percent from the field and 71.6 percent from the free throw line. Maybe you'd like more blocks from someone that you play at center, but he does enough other things on the floor to make up for some lackluster production there.

More Fantasy Basketball Analysis




REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Ben Griffin

Looking to Repeat This Week at Colonial
Rasmus Hojgaard

a Player to Avoid at Charles Schwab Challenge
Hideki Matsuyama

Needs Solid Driving Week at Charles Schwab Challenge
Justin Thomas

Trending Well Ahead of Charles Schwab Challenge
Akshay Bhatia

Lacking Driving Prowess Needed at Colonial Country Club
NFL

NFL Unlikely to Expand to 18 Regular-Season Games by 2027
Sahith Theegala

Searching For Swing at Charles Schwab Challenge
Lamar Jackson

in Attendance at OTAs This Week
Bucky Irving

Expected Back in the Summer or Fall
CFB

DJ Lagway Looking to Rebound at Baylor
CFB

Josh Hoover Tasked With Leading Indiana Back to the Playoffs
CFB

Braylon Staley the Next 1,000-Yard Tennessee Receiver?
Jalen Tolbert

Does Jalen Tolbert Have Short-Term Dynasty Appeal?
CFB

Ahmad Hardy's Return Timeline Remains Unclear
Travis Etienne Jr.

Is Travis Etienne Jr. Still a Dynasty RB1 Following Change of Scenery?
Breece Hall

Extension Solidifies His Dynasty Outlook
Devin Singletary

Faces a Difficult Path to Relevance
Jordan Whittington

Does Jordan Whittington Have Any Dynasty Value Left?
Caleb Williams

Bears Want Caleb Williams to "Do Less"
Xavier Worthy

Has Xavier Worthy Become a Post-Hype Dynasty Sleeper?
DeMario Douglas

A Playing-Time Blockage Could Make DeMario Douglas a Dynasty Drop Candidate
Elijah Sarratt

Can Elijah Sarratt Emerge From the Middle Rounds of Dynasty Rookie Drafts?
Antonio Williams

a Borderline First-Round Pick in Dynasty Rookie Drafts
Joe Flacco

a Low-Cost Dynasty Handcuff with Immense Upside
Evan Mobley

Finishes Season-Ending Loss With 15 Points
James Harden

Wants to Stay in Cleveland
Donovan Mitchell

Remains Committed to Cavaliers
Mikal Bridges

Cools Off in Game 4 Against Cavaliers
OG Anunoby

Active on Both Ends in Blowout Win
Karl-Anthony Towns

Leads Knicks in Scoring During Series-Clincher
Jalen Brunson

Named Eastern Conference Finals MVP
Ivan Demidov

Contributes an Assist in Losing Effort
Lane Hutson

Records Power-Play Goal in Game 3 Loss
Frederik Andersen

Enjoys Another Easy Night at the Office in Game 3
Shayne Gostisbehere

Scores First Postseason Goal
Taylor Hall

Ends Four-Game Goal Drought
Andrei Svechnikov

Scores Game 3 Winner in Overtime
Gage Jump

Athletics to Promote Top Pitching Prospect Gage Jump to Major Leagues
Dont'e Thornton Jr.

Falling Out of Favor Already in Dynasty Formats?
Roman Wilson

Worth Holding in Dynasty Leagues After Offseason Additions?
Luke McCaffrey

a Cut Candidate in Dynasty Leagues
Roman Hemby

Does Roman Hemby Have a Chance to Make Raiders Roster?
NFL

Eric McAlister Worth Drafting in Rookie-Only Dynasty Leagues?
Caleb Lohner

Impresses Sean Payton During Offseason Program
Tatsuya Imai

Two Relievers Combine to No-Hit the Rangers on Monday
Dennis Schröder

Dennis Schroder is Ruled Out for Game 4 on Monday
Michael Porter Jr.

Nets Could Trade Michael Porter Jr.
Ajay Mitchell

is Ruled Out for Game 5
Jalen Williams

is Tagged as Questionable for Game 5
Valeri Nichushkin

Nathan MacKinnon, Valeri Nichushkin Uncertain for Game 4
Oliver Kapanen

Sitting as Healthy Scratch Monday
Max Domi

Out Indefinitely Due to Offseason Surgery Complications
Tanner Koziol

a Long-Shot Dynasty Tight End?
Dylan Cease

Heading to Injured List With Hamstring Injury
Daniel Suarez

Wins at Charlotte in Rain-Shortened Coca-Cola 600
Christopher Bell

Finishes as the Runner-Up in the Coca-Cola 600 at Charlotte
Denny Hamlin

Falls Short of Winning and Places Third at Charlotte
Tyler Reddick

Places Fourth After Leading Laps at Charlotte
Kyle Larson

Strong and Consistent Day Ends in Fifth at Charlotte
Devon Toews

Logs Two Assists In Game 3 Defeat
Brett Howden

Nets 10th Postseason Goal
Mitchell Marner

Delivers Two Assists in Comeback Victory
Mark Stone

Returns With Multi-Point Effort
Valeri Nichushkin

Exits Early Sunday
Nathan MacKinnon

Hurt in Game 3 Loss
Isaiah Hartenstein

Provides Steady Production in Defeat
Chet Holmgren

Has a Quiet Offensive Night on Sunday
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Held Under 20 Points in Game 4
Stephon Castle

Hands Out Six Assists in Game 4 Win
Devin Vassell

Tallies 13 Points in Game 4 Win
De'Aaron Fox

Records Double-Double as Spurs Even Series
Victor Wembanyama

Sets Tone Early as Spurs Force a Pivotal Game 5
Jamal Murray

Earns First Career All-NBA Selection
Kevin Durant

Becomes First Player to Make All-NBA Team With Five Franchises
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Victor Wembanyama Lead All-NBA First Team
Taylor Hall

Enjoying Life in Carolina
Mark Stone

Returns to Action Sunday
Cale Makar

Rejoins Avalanche Lineup Sunday
Dylan Cease

Removed From Sunday's Start With Hamstring Discomfort
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

Exits Sunday's Game Early with Elbow Contusion
MLB

Reds-Cardinals Game Postponed on Sunday
Edward Cabrera

Cubs Place Edward Cabrera on the 15-Day Injured List
Denny Hamlin

the Favorite to Win at Charlotte
Tyler Reddick

on Pole for Coca-Cola 600
Christopher Bell

Could Break Out of Slump
Kyle Larson

May have A Solid Day at Charlotte
Ryan Blaney

Is A DFS Risk for Charlotte Lineups
William Byron

Could have A Great DFS Performance at Charlotte
Chase Briscoe

Is A Solid Tournament Option for Charlotte DFS Lineups
Ty Gibbs

May not be Worth his Salary for Charlotte DFS Lineups
Chris Buescher

May be a Sneaky Tournament Option for Charlotte Lineups
NASCAR

Bubba Wallace Has Favorable Upside for Charlotte DFS Lineups
Ross Chastain

Is A Strong Addition for DFS Lineups at Charlotte
Austin Dillon

Should Fantasy Managers Roster Austin Dillon for Charlotte DFS Lineups?
Chase Elliott

Should Be Strong at Charlotte
Carson Hocevar

Confident for Coca-Cola 600
Corey Heim

a Chalk DFS Pick at Charlotte
Michael McDowell

Is Michael McDowell A Tournament Option for Charlotte Lineups?
Phillip Danault

Extends Point Streak to Three Games
Josh Anderson

Nets Two Goals in Painful Loss
Jalen Chatfield

Delivers Two Assists in Crucial Win
MLB

Orioles-Tigers Game Postponed on Saturday
MLB

Rays-Yankees Postponed on Saturday
Mickey Moniak

Heads to Injured List With Ankle Sprain
Jackson Merrill

has Sore Ribs, Expected to Avoid Injured List
CFB

Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele Looking to Take Sophomore Leap
CFB

Jadan Baugh Primed to Lead Florida Offense in 2026
CFB

LSU Hires Ed Orgeron As Special Assistant
CFB

North Carolina and South Carolina Cancel Home-And-Home Series
CFB

Confidence High in Mississippi State's Kamario Taylor
MLB

Reds-Cardinals Game Postponed on Friday
Trevor Story

has Hernia Surgery, Expected to Miss 6-10 Weeks
Roman Anthony

Dealing With Sprained Ligament in his Finger
Ronald Acuña Jr.

Ronald Acuna Jr. Exits Early, X-Rays Come Back Negative
Robby Snelling

Will Undergo Tommy John Surgery
Jackson Merrill

Tweaks his Back on Wednesday, Pulled Early
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF