👉 TAP TO SAVE 50% WITH CODE SPRING
X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


Fantasy Deep Dive Week 6: Domantas Sabonis

Indiana Pacers big Domantas Sabonis was questionable with an ankle injury heading into Friday's meeting with the Spurs. He finished with 19 points and 16 rebounds while starting in place of the more-injured Myles Turner.

But even aside from that game, Sabonis is making a case for extended minutes and a place in fantasy starting lineups even if he's best served coming off the bench for the Pacers. The guy who was thought of as a throw-in in the Paul George trade has averaged 14.5 points and 9.7 rebounds per game in November and his 3.7 assists per game can be a welcome addition to fantasy lineups for owners looking for assists from a big.

Let's take a dive into some of Sabonis's advanced stats and film and talk about why he's a rising fantasy asset.

Featured Promo: New Novig users get a $25 purchase match (50% discount up to $25) on your first Novig deposit, and 6 free months of RotoBaller's "Big-4" Premium Pass (NBA, NFL, MLB, NHL) which includes exclusive tools for Betting, Props, DFS and more! CLAIM IT NOW

 

Domantas Sabonis: Deep Dive

Background Information

Remember when the Indiana Pacers were supposed to be bad last year after they traded Paul George, and then they weren't? Refueling the team with Sabonis and Victor Oladipo was a shot in the arm for the Pacers, who currently sit as a top four team in the East.

Sabonis is a big piece of that success this year. Despite being the backup to starting center Myles Turner, Sabonis is averaging 26.3 minutes per game over the past month. That's enough time on the floor to ensure that he can make an impact, and at this point he appears to be one of the safest bench players for fantasy owners to start.

Turner and Sabonis have shared the floor for 84 minutes this year, and while the Pacers offense has struggled to an offensive rating of 92.2 with the duo on, they've fared well on the defensive end with an 89.7 defensive rating. Still, Sabonis has shined his brightest without Turner on the floor, as he's scoring 11.5 points in 20 minutes per game without Turner.

Sabonis is also an impressive passer. Tony East of BBall Index wrote a great breakdown of Sabonis as a passer, and I don't want to repeat too much of what East had to say except to note that Sabonis makes more passes per game that any Pacer. The ball is constantly moving around when Sabonis is on the floor, and he's one of the best passing bigs in the league. He's also the perfect big for the modern NBA; East notes that "72 percent of Domantas Sabonis’ assists are the best kind of assists: ones that lead to baskets either at the rim or from three." Sabonis doesn't take many threes himself, but his ability to get the ball to shooters outside the arc helps make up for that.

 

Game Tape

Here is the Sabonis shot chart from Friday's meeting with the Spurs.

Lots of shots in the paint, including three of them right at the basket! But one thing you also notice here is that Sabonis takes four of those dreaded mid-range shots, which is obviously a sign that he should not be playing in the NBA in 2018. (I'm kidding, by the way...mid-range shots are less efficient than threes and lay-ups, but they also can be a useful tool, especially for a big man whose ability to hit from there helps stretch the defense out some. (Not as much stretching as threes would create, but still some.))

Alright, let's look at some of Sabonis's plays from Friday. (Videos courtesy of NBA.com)

Here's the first basket for Sabonis. Sets a screen out on the wing, and when Bojan Bogdanovic curls around that screen and catches the pass from Darren Collison, Sabonis rolls toward the basket along with Bogdanovic, putting him in a good position to get the pass and finish the layup. Remember: Sabonis wasn't at 100 percent for this game, but you can't tell it right here as he completes his end of the play.

Little later in the game, same kind of situation. Sabonis sets the pick up top, then becomes the roll man as he heads towards the basket. Sabonis can finish at the rim, though last season he ranked in just the 37th percentile in points per possession as the roll man in the pick-and-roll, so there's still work that can be done.

Here's Sabonis getting the put-back off the Tyreke Evans miss. Sabonis is just 35th in offensive rebounds per game this season after ranking 29th last season, but of guys playing fewer than 25 minutes per game this year, he ranks seventh (or eighth if you count JaMychal Green, who has played in just six games). He does a good job on the offensive boards for the amount of playing time he has, though expecting him to suddenly grab a lot more of them out of nowhere feels unrealistic.

How about some mid-range?

Freeze the above video at the four second mark and just look at how open Sabonis is. I'm getting flashbacks here to Juwan Howard and Luis Scola when they were Rockets and I watched a lot of them, where they get to the top of the free throw line or somewhere close to that and through some actions, they get a pretty open chance to take that shot. Sabonis takes around 10 percent of his shots from outside of 10 feet and with the closest defender six or more feet away; he's hitting 42.9 percent on those shots. If the defense gives them to him, he should take them.

One more shot from Sabonis. Love his awareness here, as he's right down there at the basket but when the defense collapses in, he sneaks out to hit an open shot from just inside the free throw line. Sabonis seems to just, like, get open space around him a lot more than he should.

Here is an assist, and then after this sentence is another assist.

Sabonis makes good use of the hand-off out near the three-point line as a way of getting his teammates the ball in a good position to succeed. Sabonis is one of the best playmaking bigs in the NBA, and that's a trait that should be of good use to fantasy owners.

 

The Fantasy Impact

Domantas Sabonis is a very good NBA player. Not a shock -- look at who his dad is -- but it's something that can be easily forgotten since he plays on a Pacers team that far too many people don't pay attention to and he's mainly used as a bench piece.

Sabonis is a good shooter when he's open, a good rebounder (I didn't include any rebounding videos aside from the offensive board, but he's put up good numbers in that category), and a great passer for his position.

There's some worry for fantasy owners because, yes, he isn't a starter. Some slight minute fluctuations due to that shouldn't impact his value too much, but there is the danger that the game flow leads to a sub-20 minute night, as he's had two of those this season. But he's had more 30 minute nights, and the Pacers like Sabonis a lot. He'll be on the court 25-ish minutes most nights, more than enough time for him to help your fantasy team in plenty of categories. He's shooting 69.3 percent from the field and 71.6 percent from the free throw line. Maybe you'd like more blocks from someone that you play at center, but he does enough other things on the floor to make up for some lackluster production there.

More Fantasy Basketball Analysis




REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Mike Evans

a Risky Upside Buy for Contending Dynasty Managers
Justin Herbert

Is Justin Herbert Entering His True Dynasty Prime?
Oronde Gadsden

Can Talent Overcome Situation for Oronde Gadsden II?
David Njoku

a Short-Term Dynasty Buy
Devin Neal

a Dynasty Hold Until the Depth Chart Ahead of Him Settles
Ricky Pearsall

Is Ricky Pearsall a Dynasty Breakout Candidate?
Tank Dell

Is Tank Dell a Player to Target in Dynasty Leagues?
NBA

Warriors Prioritize Depth Around Returning Steve Kerr
Sean Tucker

Is Sean Tucker an Undervalued Dynasty Trade Target?
Donovan Mitchell

Remains Cleveland's Top Priority
Puka Nacua

Is Puka Nacua the WR1 in Dynasty Leagues?
Adou Thiero

Remains a Lakers Development Project
Jalen McMillan

to Play All Three Receiver Positions?
NBA

76ers Hire Mike Gansey as President of Basketball Operations
NBA

Chicago Bulls Explore Kevin Young as Coaching Candidate
Kyrie Irving

Reports He's Nearing Full Strength in ACL Recovery
Lane Hutson

Posts a Power-Play Assist in Game 5 Loss
Cole Caufield

Nets a Power-Play Goal in Season-Ending Loss
Seth Jarvis

Closes Out East Finals With Multi-Point Game
Logan Stankoven

Notches Three Points in Big Game 5 Win
Taylor Hall

Racks Up Three Points in Series-Clinching Win
Frederik Andersen

Remains Stellar as Hurricanes Clinch Finals Berth
Jacob Gonzalez

is Heading to the Big Leagues
Munetaka Murakami

Exits with Hamstring Tightness
Mitchell Robinson

Plans to Play in Game 1 After Finger Surgery
Ajay Mitchell

Ruled Out for Game 7
Jalen Williams

Unavailable in Decisive Game 7
NBA

Magic Finalizing Hire of Sean Sweeney as Head Coach
Eury Pérez

Eury Perez is Placed on 15-Day Injured List
Alec Pierce

Dynasty Hype May Be Creating a Sell-High Opportunity
Drake London

Quarterback Uncertainty Creating a Buy-Low Window for Drake London?
Davante Adams

: Dynasty Sell-High Candidate Entering Age-34 Season
Rhamondre Stevenson

Dynasty Outlook Clouded by Crowded New England Backfield
Bo Nix

Is Bo Nix Currently Undervalued in Dynasty Formats?
Rico Dowdle

Dynasty Value Fading Ahead of First Season in Pittsburgh?
Deiveson Figueiredo

Set For UFC Macau Main Event
MMA

Yadong Song Returns At UFC Macau
Alonzo Menifield

An Underdog At UFC Macau
Zhang Mingyang

Set For UFC Macau Co-Main Event
Tallison Teixeira

Looks To Win Back-To-Back Fights
Sergei Pavlovich

A Favorite At UFC Macau
Cameron Smotherman

Looks To Bounce Back
Kai Asakura

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
CFB

Faizon Brandon In Position to Start Week 1
CFB

Dane Weber Commits to Cal
CFB

Joey McGuire Attempts to Add Texas to Schedule
CFB

Mike Leach on 2027 College Football Hall of Fame Ballot
CFB

Maryland, Baylor Schedule Home-and-Home
Cooper Kupp

Is Cooper Kupp Still Roster-Worthy in Dynasty Formats?
CFB

Taron Dickens Decommits From North Carolina
Christian McCaffrey

Should Dynasty Managers Be Looking to Sell High on Christian McCaffrey?
Braelon Allen

Does Braelon Allen Still Carry Dynasty Buy-Low Appeal Following Jets' Offseason Moves?
Kyler Murray

Offers Clear Dynasty Buy-Low Appeal After Offseason Change of Scenery
Rachaad White

: Prime Dynasty Buy-Low Candidate Ahead of Possible Bounce-Back Campaign
Jalen Williams

Limited in Game 6 Return
Jared McCain

Provides Bench Spark in Game 6 Loss
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Posts Lowest-Scoring Night of His MVP Season
De'Aaron Fox

Struggles From the Field Thursday
Stephon Castle

Controls the Spurs Offense in Game 6 Win
Dylan Harper

Finds His Rhythm Thursday
Victor Wembanyama

Drops 28 to Force a Winner-Take-All Game 7
Jalen Williams

is Active for Game 6
Thomas Sorber

is Optimistic About Playing in Summer League
NBA

Terry Rozier Gets Hit with New Charges
NBA

NBA Approves New Anti-Tanking Rules
MLB

MLB Proposes Hard Salary Cap as Part of Next CBA
Kenley Jansen

Tigers Place Kenley Jansen on Injured List With Pelvic Inflammation
Teoscar Hernández

Teoscar Hernandez Heading to Injured List With Hamstring Strain
MON

Lane Hutson Struggles in Game 4 Loss
CAR

Logan Stankoven Nets Eighth Postseason Goal
CAR

Sebastian Aho Pots Game-Winner on Power Play
CAR

Nikolaj Ehlers Tallies Two Helpers in Impressive Road Win
CAR

Shayne Gostisbehere Records Two Assists in Game 4 Win
CAR

Frederik Andersen Establishes Hurricanes New Postseason Shutout Record
Yordan Alvarez

Continues Homer Barrage With Two More Long Balls on Wednesday
Cristopher Sánchez

Cristopher Sanchez Makes History With Seven More Shutout Innings Against Padres
Teoscar Hernández

Teoscar Hernandez Lifted From Wednesday's Game Early With Hamstring Strain
Kenley Jansen

Exits Relief Appearance on Wednesday With Groin Injury
Eury Pérez

Eury Perez Pulled Early on Wednesday With Hamstring Issue
CFB

Drew Mestemaker a Top Big 12 Quarterback Right Away?
PGA

Sungjae Im Remains Boom-or-Bust at Colonial
PGA

Michael Thorbjornsen Trending in Wrong Direction Entering Colonial
Russell Henley

a Top Option at Colonial
Harry Hall

Hoping Putter Carries Him at Colonial
Rickie Fowler

Looks to Regain Momentum at Colonial
Pierceson Coody

Looking to Stay Hot at Colonial
Martin Necas

Collects an Assist in Game 4 Loss to Golden Knights
Gabriel Landeskog

Scores Only Avalanche Goal in Season-Ending Loss
Carter Hart

Finishes Series-Clincher With 20 Saves
Dylan Coghlan

Continues Unlikely Success Story
Cole Smith

Scores Series-Clincher Tuesday Night
Mark Stone

Nets Another Goal as Golden Knights Finish Off Avalanche
Ludvig Aberg

Looking to Exchange Momentum for a Victory in Fort Worth
Stephan Jaeger

Trending Upward as PGA Heads to Fort Worth
Max Homa

Comes Off Awful Putting Performance at PGA Championship
Tony Finau

Faces Different Test at the Colonial
Robert MacIntyre

Seeks Better Beginning in Fort Worth
Tom Hoge

Ups and Downs Could Continue at Colonial
Brian Harman

Not Having the Best Golf Season in 2026
Austin Eckroat

Struggling Too Often Heading to Charles Schwab Challenge
Zach Bauchou

Tries to Keep Momentum Rolling at Colonial
Keegan Bradley

Looking to Rebound at Colonial
Claude Giroux

Planning to Return for 20th NHL Campaign
Carter Hart

Aiming for Sixth Consecutive Win Tuesday
Evgeni Malkin

Inks New One-Year Deal With Penguins
Ben Griffin

Looking to Repeat This Week at Colonial
Rasmus Hojgaard

a Player to Avoid at Charles Schwab Challenge
Hideki Matsuyama

Needs Solid Driving Week at Charles Schwab Challenge
Justin Thomas

Trending Well Ahead of Charles Schwab Challenge
Akshay Bhatia

Lacking Driving Prowess Needed at Colonial Country Club
CFB

DJ Lagway Looking to Rebound at Baylor
CFB

Josh Hoover Tasked With Leading Indiana Back to the Playoffs
CFB

Braylon Staley the Next 1,000-Yard Tennessee Receiver?
CFB

Ahmad Hardy's Return Timeline Remains Unclear
Gage Jump

Athletics to Promote Top Pitching Prospect Gage Jump to Major Leagues
Tatsuya Imai

Two Relievers Combine to No-Hit the Rangers on Monday
Dylan Cease

Heading to Injured List With Hamstring Injury
Daniel Suarez

Wins at Charlotte in Rain-Shortened Coca-Cola 600
Christopher Bell

Finishes as the Runner-Up in the Coca-Cola 600 at Charlotte
Denny Hamlin

Falls Short of Winning and Places Third at Charlotte
Tyler Reddick

Places Fourth After Leading Laps at Charlotte
Kyle Larson

Strong and Consistent Day Ends in Fifth at Charlotte
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF