👉 TAP TO SAVE 50% WITH CODE SPRING
X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

#1 Expert Projections
Save 50% Now
Import Your Leagues
Props Tool
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
24x7 News and Alerts

Enough Already: Third-Year NBA Players To Give Up On

Promise. It's become a bad word in sports at this point, because we so often use it to justify why we're still holding out hope for certain players who just haven't put it all together yet.

At some point, you have to admit that promise isn't going to be fulfilled. A player's third season is a good time to make that acknowledgment, so let's spend some time doing that.

Below, I'll be looking at third-year NBA players who aren't living up to the hype. Don't spend a valuable fantasy pick on them in the hopes that they'll suddenly figure out professional basketball.

Featured Promo: New Novig users get a $25 purchase match (50% discount up to $25) on your first Novig deposit, and 6 free months of RotoBaller's "Big-4" Premium Pass (NBA, NFL, MLB, NHL) which includes exclusive tools for Betting, Props, DFS and more! CLAIM IT NOW

 

Markelle Fultz (PG, Orlando Magic)

As a supporter of Markelle Fultz, it's tough to admit this, but we need to stop expecting Fultz to suddenly be fixed.

The first pick back in 2017, Fultz has dealt with mysterious shoulder issues that have completely robbed him of the shooting ability that made him a 41.3 percent three-point shooter in his one year at Washington. Instead, Fultz is a 4-for-15 from deep in his NBA career, and through two seasons he's been limited to just 33 total games.

The Sixers tried to figure something out with Fultz to open last season, inserting him into the starting lineup to see if he could get his shot back and if the rest of his game was still there, but things ultimately didn't work out. In 15 starts, Fultz averaged nine points per game to go along with 3.8 rebounds and 3.5 assists. He shot 41.2 percent from the field as a starter.

The biggest issue last year was Fultz shot well near the rim -- 64.8 percent -- and then bad everywhere else. He took 88 jump shots, sinking a paltry 29.5 percent of them, and was shut down after 19 games. The Sixers eventually dealt him to Orlando, and Fultz never appeared in a game for the Magic.

The third-year guard should get some run with Orlando this season, but it's hard to have high hopes for him. His shooting form is pretty much gone and no amount of offseason videos of him shooting in an empty gym are going to make me suddenly believe that his form is back. Without a viable jump shot, Fultz doesn't really have much of a place in the NBA because he's not big enough to not shoot the ball. Former teammate Ben Simmons is a good example of a non-shooting guard who can work, but Fultz isn't Simmons.

 

Josh Jackson (F, Memphis Grizzlies)

Josh Jackson is the second of the two guys on this list to not be on team that drafted them. Not being on the team that drafted you this early into your career isn't usually a good sign.

Also not a good sign: Being traded along with another player and two second-round picks for Jevon Carter and 2019 Kyle Korver.

Unlike Fultz, who still has some "well, we haven't really seen enough of him yet to make too many judgments" stuff going on, Jackson has played in 156 games so far in his career and has started in 64 of them.

Jackson averaged 11.5 points per game last season, but it was a really empty 11.5, and he shot 41.3 percent from the floor. Jackson also grabbed 4.4 rebounds and dished out 2.3 assists per contest. Those 2.3 assists were an improvement from his rookie year; his scoring and rebounding averages and his field goal percentage were all worse than they were during his first season, however. That's a third bad sign.

Maybe Memphis can be a fresh start for Jackson, but most early depth charts have him projected to be a fringe rotation guy. Could you really see Memphis playing him over Kyle Anderson, Jae Crowder, Dillon Brooks...I mean, can you even imagine him playing over Bruno Caboclo at this point? I can't. Jackson just doesn't offer enough.

 

Frank Ntilikina (PG, New York Knicks)

I debated which Knicks point guard belonged on this list, but I'm going to go with the one they didn't just trade for. Dennis Smith Jr. was acquired in the Kristaps Porzingis trade and while he hasn't been overly impressive yet in his NBA career, he's shown enough to be the likely starter at the point for New York.

Frank Ntilikina was selected in that same draft class, and he's shown the Knicks just enough for them to keep him on the team, but little enough for them to bring in Elfrid Payton and demote Ntilikina to the third point guard role, which essentially puts him on the outside looking in of the Knicks rotation.

As seems to be a trend so far on this list, Ntilikina has struggled as a shooter so far in his career, which has limited his output. He's also struggled to get on the floor, averaging 21 minutes per game last year in 43 appearances. A groin injury ended his season early, but even before that injury it looked like Ntilikina's place in the rotation was fading away.

Through two seasons, the French guard is averaging 5.9 points per game and shooting 35.4 percent from the field. He took 40 percent of his shot attempts last three from three-point range for some reason despite shooting just 28.7 percent on those shots. Something isn't clicking here and unless there are injuries, I highly doubt we see Ntilikina on the floor enough to make him fantasy relevant in even the deepest of leagues.

 

Malik Monk (G, Charlotte Hornets)

I really go back and forth on Malik Monk and what I think about him, but ultimately he was a 33 percent shooter from deep on 4.5 attempts per game who doesn't rebound or give you assists, steals, or blocks. He's never started an NBA game and his best months last season were at the beginning of the year.

You don't like when you see young players fall off as the season progresses, but after the All-Star break, Monk averaged just 5.2 points per game on 34 percent shooting in 19 appearances. His numbers dropped across the board over that sample and he played just 13.7 minutes per game.

I think there's still something to Malik Monk, but I'm not betting on that something panning out this season. Monk probably gets an increased workload just because the Hornets are going to be some combination of bad and shallow this year, but there's a much better chance we see Dwayne Bacon make a major leap as the team's two than that we see Monk make any major strides. His best case seems to be putting up some 2018-2019 Josh Jackson empty stat lines, which can definitely have some place on some fantasy rosters, but I struggle to see a scenario where he's more than that, and Jackson's season from last year might be asking for too much of a statistical leap.

The Hornets replaced Kemba Walker with Terry Rozier, so someone is going to have to take on a higher offensive workload. It might be Monk, but I don't see him excelling if that's the case.

More Fantasy Basketball Analysis




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

#1 Expert Projections
Save 50% Now
Import Your Leagues
Props Tool
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Barrett Hayton

Close to Returning
Charle-Edouard D'Astous

a Game-Time Call Wednesday
Brandon Aiyuk

Decision Could Come in Late May
Bryce Young

Panthers Pick Up Bryce Young's Fifth-Year Option
MLB

Orioles-Astros Game Postponed Due to Inclement Weather on Wednesday
Gary Woodland

Riding Momentum Into Cadillac Championship
Jordan Spieth

Brings Boom-or-Bust Potential to Cadillac Championship
Adam Scott

Looks Poised for Another Strong Finish at Doral
Maverick McNealy

Needs Approach Game to Click at Doral
George Springer

Being Activated From Injured List, Won't Start on Wednesday
Wyatt Langford

Expected to be Activated on Saturday
Garrett Crochet

Goes on Injured List With Shoulder Inflammation
CFB

Jameson Williams Files Lawsuit Against NCAA, SEC, Big Ten
Junior Caminero

Back in Wednesday's Lineup After Injury Scare
Harry Hall

Volatility Continues at Cadillac Championship
Tommy Fleetwood

Looks to Rebound at Trump National Doral
Pierceson Coody

a Risky Value Play at Cadillac Championship
Deebo Samuel Sr.

Will Deebo Samuel Sr. Find a New Team Before Training Camps Open?
Jalen Johnson

Collects Second Playoff Double-Double
Akshay Bhatia

Offers Upside with Risk at Cadillac Championship
Elic Ayomanor

Dynasty Stock Way Down After NFL Draft
Jalen Brunson

Pours 39 Points on Hawks in Game 5
Darius Slayton

Dynasty Value Fading After Busy Giants Offseason
Jaylen Brown

Struggles From the Field in Game 5
Jayson Tatum

Picks Up Another Double-Double
David Njoku

With the NFL Draft Over, David Njoku Could Soon Find a Team
Tyrese Maxey

Records Double-Double With Rebounds
Tyler Warren

a Major Offseason Winner
Joel Embiid

Tallies 33 Points as 76ers Stave Off Elimination
Victor Wembanyama

Posts Second Straight Double-Double
Connor McDavid

Extends Multi-Point Streak Tuesday
Justin Thomas

a Scary Proposition at Cadillac Championship
Nikolaj Ehlers

Hurricanes Hope to Have Nikolaj Ehlers Back for Second Round
Alexander Nikishin

Could Be Available in Round 2
Victor Hedman

Logs Full Practice
Scottie Scheffler

The Leading Favorite at Cadillac Championship
Noah Ostlund

Likely to Miss Time Due to Lower-Body Injury
Arttu Hyry

Unlikely to Play Thursday
Collin Morikawa

Still a Smash Play at Cadillac Championship
Jonas Brodin

Spotted Using Crutches After Game 5
Viktor Hovland

Showed at Augusta He Can Finish Well
Sepp Straka

Attempting to Finish Better in Miami
PGA

J.J Spaun Enduring Roller Coaster Start to 2026
Min Woo Lee

Seeks to Make Adjustments at Cadillac Championship
Max Homa

May Struggle at Old Doral This Weekend
Ben Griffin

Rebounds From Rough Stretch as Miami Looms
Shane Lowry

Searching For Answers at Cadillac Championship
Russell Wilson

Jets Host Russell Wilson for a Visit, Considering him as Backup Option
Russell Henley

Daunting Test at Doral Likely Not a Place For Russell Henley
Jonathon Brooks

Fully Cleared for Offseason Program
Christian Gonzalez

Patriots Exercise Christian Gonzalez's Fifth-Year Option
Tyler Allgeier

One of the Biggest Losers After NFL Draft
A.J. Brown

Eagles to Receive a First-Round Pick if They Trade A.J. Brown?
Justin Rose

Returns to Action After Finishing Third at Masters Tournament
Hideki Matsuyama

Has The Approach Game to Win at Cadillac Championship
Aaron Rodgers

Steelers Place Right-of-First-Refusal Tender on Aaron Rodgers
Jauan Jennings

Visiting With Vikings
Quentin Johnston

Chargers Exercise Fifth-Year Option on Quentin Johnston
Jahmyr Gibbs

Lions Picking Up Jahmyr Gibbs' Fifth-Year Option
Bo Nix

Undergoes Cleanup Procedure on his Ankle
Junior Caminero

Suffers Jaw Contusion on Tuesday, Considered Day-to-Day
Scottie Barnes

Leading Raptors' Comeback Effort in Round 1
Pete Fairbanks

Going on Injured List With Nerve Irritation
Tobias Harris

a Bright Spot for Pistons in Tough Series
Jalen Duren

Struggling in First-Round Matchup
Austin Reaves

Officially Listed as Questionable for Game 5
Kevin Durant

Officially Out Wednesday
Collin Gillespie

Wants to Stick With Suns
Jonathan Isaac

Expected to Remain Out Wednesday
Kevin Huerter

Iffy for Wednesday Night
Franz Wagner

Considered Questionable for Game 5
Austin Reaves

on Track to Return Wednesday
Spencer Strider

to Make Season Debut This Weekend
Kevin Durant

Unlikely to Play Wednesday
Joel Embiid

Cleared for Game 5
Roope Hintz

Likely to Miss Entire First-Round Series
Jason Zucker

Good to Go for Game 5
Josh Norris

Won't Play Tuesday
Colton Dach

Available Tuesday
Connor Ingram

Returns to Oilers Net for Game 5
Luis Robert Jr.

Out on Tuesday With Back Tightness
Jason Dickinson

Considered a Game-Time Decision for Tuesday's Action
Connor McDavid

a Game-Time Call Tuesday
Juan Soto

Dealing With Forearm Tightness, Serving as DH on Tuesday
Isaiah Likely

Remains Well-Positioned for Mid-Career Breakout Following NFL Draft
Jauan Jennings

' Dynasty Value Fading Following NFL Draft?
Luther Burden III

Poised for Breakout Season in Chicago?
CFB

Brendan Sorsby Facing Potential Permanent Loss of Eligibility
MarShawn Lloyd

Is MarShawn Lloyd a Dynasty Buy-Low Candidate Following NFL Draft?
Manny Machado

Departs Early With Undisclosed Injury on Monday
Philadelphia Phillies

Phillies Fire Manager Rob Thomson
Elmer Rodríguez

Yankees to Promote Top Pitching Prospect Elmer Rodriguez
Pete Fairbanks

Pulled on Monday With "Unusual Sensation" in his Thumb
Mikhail Sergachev

Has Three Assists in Overtime Loss
Brett Howden

Records Three Points in Vital Win
Rasmus Ristolainen

Registers Two Assists in Game 5 Loss
Arturs Silovs

Helps Penguins Survive for Second Time
Sidney Crosby

Delivers Two Assists in Elimination-Game Win
Paolo Banchero

Efficiency Woes Continue in Game 4
Julius Randle

Leads Timberwolves With 27 Points Monday
Giancarlo Stanton

Heading to Injured List With Calf Strain
Travis Bazzana

Guardians Calling Up Former First Overall Pick Travis Bazzana
Will Smith

Back in Action in Series Opener Against Marlins
Josh Naylor

Back in Starting Lineup on Monday
Carson Hocevar

Scores his First Career NASCAR Cup Series Victory at Talladega
Chris Buescher

Misses out on Winning at Talladega by Finishing Second
Alex Bowman

Earns First Top-Five Finish at Talladega Since Returning From Injury
Chase Elliott

Scores A Fourth-Place Finish at Talladega
Zane Smith

Nabs First Top-Five Finish of the 2026 Season at Talladega
CFB

Texas Tech Quarterback Brendan Sorsby Enters Rehab
Youssef Zalal

Suffers Unanimous-Decision Loss
Aljamain Sterling

Wins Back-To-Back Fights
Norma Dumont

Drops Decision At UFC Vegas 116
Joselyne Edwards

Scores Upset Win
Alexander Hernandez

Gets Dominated
Alexander Hernandez

Rafa Garcia Dominates Alexander Hernandez
Adrian Luna Martinetti

Unsuccessful In His UFC Debut
Davey Grant

Gets Back In The Win Column
Manny Machado

Clubs Two Homers, Starting to Turn Things Around?
Logan O'Hoppe

Placed on 10-Day Injured List Due to Left-Wrist Fracture
Denny Hamlin

Is Denny Hamlin Worth Rostering for Talladega?
NASCAR

Is Bubba Wallace Playable in Talladega DFS Lineups?
Josh Naylor

Absent on Sunday With Quad Tightness
Tyler Reddick

Stay Away From Tyler Reddick at Talladega
Ryan Blaney

Can Ryan Blaney Shake Off The Bad Luck at Talladega?
Austin Cindric

Could Contend For Another Talladega Win
Kyle Busch

an Easy DFS Pick at Talladega
Ricky Stenhouse Jr

. a High-Risk, High-Reward Pick at Talladega
Todd Gilliland

a Sleeper to Watch at Talladega
Brad Keselowski

Is Brad Keselowski Worth Rostering for Talladega Lineups?
Chase Briscoe

Could Chase Briscoe be A Sneaky Tournament Play for Talladega Lineups?
Christopher Bell

Should DFS Managers Trust Christopher Bell at Talladega?
Ty Gibbs

Is A DFS Risk for Talladega Lineups
Youssef Zalal

Set For UFC Vegas 116 Main Event
Aljamain Sterling

An Underdog At UFC Vegas 116
Joselyne Edwards

Set For UFC Vegas 116 Co-Main Event
Norma Dumont

Looks To Extend Her Win Streak
Alexander Hernandez

A Favorite At UFC Vegas 116
Rafa Garcia

Looks For His Third Consecutive Win
Adrian Luna Martinetti

Set For His UFC Debut
Davey Grant

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF