👉 TAP TO SAVE 30% WITH CODE NEW
X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

#1 Expert Projections
Save 30% Now
Import Your Leagues
Top-Rated Accuracy
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

Enough Already: Third-Year NBA Players To Give Up On

Promise. It's become a bad word in sports at this point, because we so often use it to justify why we're still holding out hope for certain players who just haven't put it all together yet.

At some point, you have to admit that promise isn't going to be fulfilled. A player's third season is a good time to make that acknowledgment, so let's spend some time doing that.

Below, I'll be looking at third-year NBA players who aren't living up to the hype. Don't spend a valuable fantasy pick on them in the hopes that they'll suddenly figure out professional basketball.

Featured Promo: New Novig users get a $25 purchase match (50% discount up to $25) on your first Novig deposit, and 6 free months of RotoBaller's "Big-4" Premium Pass (NBA, NFL, MLB, NHL) which includes exclusive tools for Betting, Props, DFS and more! CLAIM IT NOW

 

Markelle Fultz (PG, Orlando Magic)

As a supporter of Markelle Fultz, it's tough to admit this, but we need to stop expecting Fultz to suddenly be fixed.

The first pick back in 2017, Fultz has dealt with mysterious shoulder issues that have completely robbed him of the shooting ability that made him a 41.3 percent three-point shooter in his one year at Washington. Instead, Fultz is a 4-for-15 from deep in his NBA career, and through two seasons he's been limited to just 33 total games.

The Sixers tried to figure something out with Fultz to open last season, inserting him into the starting lineup to see if he could get his shot back and if the rest of his game was still there, but things ultimately didn't work out. In 15 starts, Fultz averaged nine points per game to go along with 3.8 rebounds and 3.5 assists. He shot 41.2 percent from the field as a starter.

The biggest issue last year was Fultz shot well near the rim -- 64.8 percent -- and then bad everywhere else. He took 88 jump shots, sinking a paltry 29.5 percent of them, and was shut down after 19 games. The Sixers eventually dealt him to Orlando, and Fultz never appeared in a game for the Magic.

The third-year guard should get some run with Orlando this season, but it's hard to have high hopes for him. His shooting form is pretty much gone and no amount of offseason videos of him shooting in an empty gym are going to make me suddenly believe that his form is back. Without a viable jump shot, Fultz doesn't really have much of a place in the NBA because he's not big enough to not shoot the ball. Former teammate Ben Simmons is a good example of a non-shooting guard who can work, but Fultz isn't Simmons.

 

Josh Jackson (F, Memphis Grizzlies)

Josh Jackson is the second of the two guys on this list to not be on team that drafted them. Not being on the team that drafted you this early into your career isn't usually a good sign.

Also not a good sign: Being traded along with another player and two second-round picks for Jevon Carter and 2019 Kyle Korver.

Unlike Fultz, who still has some "well, we haven't really seen enough of him yet to make too many judgments" stuff going on, Jackson has played in 156 games so far in his career and has started in 64 of them.

Jackson averaged 11.5 points per game last season, but it was a really empty 11.5, and he shot 41.3 percent from the floor. Jackson also grabbed 4.4 rebounds and dished out 2.3 assists per contest. Those 2.3 assists were an improvement from his rookie year; his scoring and rebounding averages and his field goal percentage were all worse than they were during his first season, however. That's a third bad sign.

Maybe Memphis can be a fresh start for Jackson, but most early depth charts have him projected to be a fringe rotation guy. Could you really see Memphis playing him over Kyle Anderson, Jae Crowder, Dillon Brooks...I mean, can you even imagine him playing over Bruno Caboclo at this point? I can't. Jackson just doesn't offer enough.

 

Frank Ntilikina (PG, New York Knicks)

I debated which Knicks point guard belonged on this list, but I'm going to go with the one they didn't just trade for. Dennis Smith Jr. was acquired in the Kristaps Porzingis trade and while he hasn't been overly impressive yet in his NBA career, he's shown enough to be the likely starter at the point for New York.

Frank Ntilikina was selected in that same draft class, and he's shown the Knicks just enough for them to keep him on the team, but little enough for them to bring in Elfrid Payton and demote Ntilikina to the third point guard role, which essentially puts him on the outside looking in of the Knicks rotation.

As seems to be a trend so far on this list, Ntilikina has struggled as a shooter so far in his career, which has limited his output. He's also struggled to get on the floor, averaging 21 minutes per game last year in 43 appearances. A groin injury ended his season early, but even before that injury it looked like Ntilikina's place in the rotation was fading away.

Through two seasons, the French guard is averaging 5.9 points per game and shooting 35.4 percent from the field. He took 40 percent of his shot attempts last three from three-point range for some reason despite shooting just 28.7 percent on those shots. Something isn't clicking here and unless there are injuries, I highly doubt we see Ntilikina on the floor enough to make him fantasy relevant in even the deepest of leagues.

 

Malik Monk (G, Charlotte Hornets)

I really go back and forth on Malik Monk and what I think about him, but ultimately he was a 33 percent shooter from deep on 4.5 attempts per game who doesn't rebound or give you assists, steals, or blocks. He's never started an NBA game and his best months last season were at the beginning of the year.

You don't like when you see young players fall off as the season progresses, but after the All-Star break, Monk averaged just 5.2 points per game on 34 percent shooting in 19 appearances. His numbers dropped across the board over that sample and he played just 13.7 minutes per game.

I think there's still something to Malik Monk, but I'm not betting on that something panning out this season. Monk probably gets an increased workload just because the Hornets are going to be some combination of bad and shallow this year, but there's a much better chance we see Dwayne Bacon make a major leap as the team's two than that we see Monk make any major strides. His best case seems to be putting up some 2018-2019 Josh Jackson empty stat lines, which can definitely have some place on some fantasy rosters, but I struggle to see a scenario where he's more than that, and Jackson's season from last year might be asking for too much of a statistical leap.

The Hornets replaced Kemba Walker with Terry Rozier, so someone is going to have to take on a higher offensive workload. It might be Monk, but I don't see him excelling if that's the case.

More Fantasy Basketball Analysis




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

#1 Expert Projections
Save 30% Now
Import Your Leagues
Top-Rated Accuracy
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Xavier Legette

Trending Down Ahead of Year 3
Rashod Bateman

a Cut Candidate in All Dynasty Leagues?
Ja'Tavion Sanders

Can Ja'Tavion Sanders Break Through in the Panthers' Offense?
Jayden Reed

Can Jayden Reed Bounce Back as a WR3/Flex in 2026?
Travis Hunter

to be Full-Time Cornerback, Part-Time Wide Receiver in 2026
Anthony Edwards

Considered Questionable for Friday
Devin Booker

Will Sit Out Friday's Game
Nikola Jokić

Nikola Jokic Questionable for Friday
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Won't Face Nuggets Friday
Stephen Curry

Set to Play Friday
L.J. Cryer

Back in Action Thursday Night
Charles Bassey

Available Against Lakers
Gui Santos

Won't Play Thursday
Rudy Gobert

to Rest on Friday
Tari Eason

is Cleared to Play on Thursday
Kobe Brown

Won't Play on Thursday
Ben Sheppard

to Miss Third Straight Game
Jarace Walker

is Available on Thursday
Sam Hauser

Available Against Knicks
Collin Sexton

Active Against Wizards
Neemias Queta

Good to Go on Thursday
Derrick White

Cleared to Suit Up Against Knicks
Blake Coleman

Unavailable Thursday
Stephen Curry

Ruled Out Against Lakers on Thursday
Quinton Byfield

Cleared to Play Thursday
Thomas Chabot

Makes Surprise Return Thursday
Jaylen Brown

Out Thursday
Luke Hughes

to Miss Rest of Season
Stuart Skinner

Faces Devils Thursday
Joel Embiid

Undergoes Surgery for Appendicitis
Nazem Kadri

to "Miss Some Games" With Finger Injury
Seth Jones

to Miss Rest of Season Due to Broken Foot
Corbin Carroll

Dealing With Hip Injury, Not Expected to Miss Much Time
NFL

Jordyn Tyson to Hold Individual Workout on April 17
Brent Rooker

Exits Early on Thursday Due to Apparent Injury
NFL

No New Injury Issues for Francis Mauigoa
Travis Hunter

to be "Limited Participant" During Offseason Workouts
Carolina Panthers

Denzel Boston Visiting With Panthers on Thursday
Mark Andrews

Ready for More Opportunities in 2026
Tyrone Tracy Jr.

Part of a Muddled Giants Backfield Heading into 2026
Chimere Dike

Fantasy Value Potentially Limited by What He Offers in Return Game
Chase Brown

an Important Name to Monitor on Day 1 of the NFL Draft
Bijan Robinson

Could Just Be Entering His Prime
Jameson Williams

Consistency the Key to a True Jameson Williams Breakout
Jarace Walker

May Exit Pacers Lineup Again Thursday
Zach Benson

Scores Twice in Comeback Victory
Logan Thompson

Shuts Out the Leafs
Zach Eflin

Undergoes Successful Elbow Surgery, Will Miss Remainder of 2026
J.K. Dobbins

Broncos Prioritized Re-Signing J.K. Dobbins
NFL

Francis Mauigoa to Undergo Additional Imaging on a Back Issue
Kaleb McGary

Retires After Seven Years in the NFL
Jawaan Taylor

Signs with the Falcons
Andrei Kuzmenko

to Be Re-Evaluated in 7-8 Days
Mason Appleton

Won't Play Thursday
Tony DeAngelo

Expected to Return Thursday
John Klingberg

Rejoins Sharks Lineup Wednesday
Alex Lyon

Dealing With Lower-Body Injury
Oliver Ekman-Larsson

Back in Action Wednesday
Alex Ovechkin

Won't Decide Future Until Offseason
Cole Ragans

"Should be Good" for Next Start
Reynaldo López

Reynaldo Lopez Handed Seven-Game Suspension
Jorge Soler

Suspended Seven Games, Will Appeal
NFL

NFL Scouts See Plenty of Upside With Drew Allar
NFL

Ty Simpson to Fall into Second Round in NFL Draft?
Cole Ragans

Diagnosed With Thumb Contusion
Cole Ragans

Leaves Early on Wednesday After Being Hit in the Hand
Jacob deGrom

Expects to Make his Next Start
Konnor Griffin

Pirates Sign Konnor Griffin to Nine-Year Extension
Justus Annunen

Ends Predators' 120-Game Streak Without a Shutout
Trevor Zegras

Leads Flyers to Victory Tuesday
Kevin Bahl

Sustains Lower-Body Injury Against Stars
Michael Rasmussen

Likely to Miss Rest of Regular Season
Dmitry Kulikov

Done for the Season After Breaking Finger
Tyrrell Hatton

a Steady Option at The Masters
Justin Thomas

a High-Risk, High-Reward Option at The Masters
PGA

Sungjae Im a Volatile Option at the Masters
Nicolai Hojgaard

Carrying Momentum Into The Masters
Si Woo Kim

in Strong Form Heading to The Masters
Chris Gotterup

Ready to Make His Masters Debut
Patrick Reed

Brings Momentum to The Masters
Jon Rahm

Looks Poised for His Second Green Jacket
Jacob deGrom

Doesn't Have Structural Damage in his Knee
J.T. Realmuto

Leaves Game on Tuesday Due to Bruised Right Foot
Cody Ponce

to Have Knee Surgery, Expected to Miss Six Months
Alejandro Kirk

Facing Six-Week Absence
Jacob deGrom

to Undergo MRI on Tuesday
Mike Trout

Back in the Lineup on Tuesday
Hunter Brown

Diagnosed with Grade 2 Shoulder Strain
Adam Scott

Form Points to Him Competing at Masters
Jordan Spieth

Finding Consistency Heading to Masters
Hideki Matsuyama

Trending In Right Direction For Masters
Cade Horton

to Undergo Season-Ending Elbow Surgery
Tommy Fleetwood

a Contender if his Putter Cooperates at The Masters
Jacob deGrom

Pitches Through Knee Issue on Monday
Dalton Rushing

Smacks Two Homers in Rout of Blue Jays
Max Scherzer

Dealing With Forearm Tendinitis, Expected to Make his Next Start
Collin Morikawa

Vegas has Lost Confidence in Collin Morikawa Ahead of Masters Tournament
Ludvig Aberg

One of the Top Plays For This Week's Masters Tournament
Rory McIlroy

Set to Defend his Long-Awaited Masters Victory
Bryson DeChambeau

Looks to Finally Claim a Green Jacket
Patrick Cantlay

Needs Plenty to Go Right at Augusta
Harris English

Playing Solid Golf Heading to Masters
Sam Burns

Bouncing Back Nicely After Slow Start to 2026 Season
Corey Conners

Quietly Putting Together A Strong 2026 Season
Russell Henley

Looks to Bounce Back At Masters
Chris Duncan

Suffers Second-Round Submission Loss
Renato Moicano

Gets Back In The Win Column
Tabatha Ricci

Gets Outgrappled
Virna Jandiroba

Bounces Back
Brendson Ribeiro

Suffers First-Round Submission Loss
Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev

Earns First-Round Submission Win
Rafael Estevam

Suffers His First Loss
Ethyn Ewing

Dominates At UFC Vegas 115
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF