Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!

Lost password? [X]

Receive free daily analysis:

NFL    NBA    MLB

Already have an account? Log in here.

[X]

Forgot Password


[X]

Dynasty Tight End Rankings Analysis (June)


We are closing in on the 2018 NFL season and training camp is right around the corner. As fantasy owners are gearing up for another exciting season, the Rotoballer staff continues to update our rankings for all formats. Kyle Richardson, Steven Halupka and yours truly have put together consensus rankings for dynasty leagues. Today, I’ll be breaking down our tight end tiers in this rankings analysis.

Tight ends aren't the most glamorous position in the fantasy world, but they are essential nonetheless. We've been fortunate enough to see some exciting young players drafted in the last couple of years, so the position may be experiencing a renaissance of sorts if those players are able to pan out.

To check out our Dynasty rankings at wide receiver, read Part One to examine tiers 1-3 and Part Two to learn about tiers 4-10. Now, on to the tight ends.

Editor's Note: Get any rest-of-season NFL Premium Pass for 50% off. Our exclusive DFS Tools, Lineup Optimizer and Premium DFS Research through the Super Bowl. Sign Up Now!

 

Dynasty Tiered Rankings - Tight End

Position Tier Position Rank Overall Rank Player Name
1 1 24 Travis Kelce
1 2 26 Rob Gronkowski
1 3 34 Zach Ertz
2 4 45 Evan Engram
2 5 64 David Njoku
2 6 71 Kyle Rudolph
3 7 102 Jimmy Graham
3 8 105 Trey Burton
3 9 107 Greg Olsen
3 10 108 Jordan Reed
3 11 110 O.J. Howard
4 12 123 Jack Doyle
4 13 141 Delanie Walker
4 14 144 George Kittle
4 15 146 Jared Cook
5 16 159 Gerald Everett
5 17 162 Cameron Brate
5 18 171 Ricky Seals-Jones
5 19 172 Hayden Hurst
5 20 180 Tyler Eifert
5 21 181 Charles Clay
5 22 183 Austin Hooper
5 23 186 Dallas Goedert
6 24 199 Mike Gesicki
6 25 201 Eric Ebron
6 26 218 Austin Seferian-Jenkins
6 27 221 Adam Shaheen
6 28 258 Mark Andrews
7 29 262 Jordan Akins
7 30 276 Jake Butt
7 31 291 Tyler Kroft
7 32 294 Vance McDonald
7 33 299 Ian Thomas
7 34 302 Jesse James
7 35 304 Jermaine Gresham
7 36 311 Chris Herndon IV
7 37 315 Vernon Davis
8 38 320 Tyler Higbee
8 39 331 Durham Smythe
8 40 332 Maxx Williams
8 41 333 Dalton Schultz
8 42 335 Stephen Anderson
8 43 336 Troy Fumagalli
8 44 338 Tyler Conklin
8 45 346 Benjamin Watson
8 46 354 Antonio Gates
8 47 355 Jaylen Samuels
8 48 356 Josh Hill
8 49 358 Ryan Izzo
8 50 366 Demetrius Harris

Tier 1

The top three tight ends are nearly universal across all league types and scoring formats. Dynasty presents a unique risk when it comes to The Gronk, however. Although he is always at the center of controversy, much of the noise we hear about him suddenly retiring early or getting traded is just that--noise. Gronk probably won't play til he's 40 like his quarterback, but you shouldn't make the mistake of looking five years down the road simply because it's a dynasty league. If Gronk gets you two or three more seasons of top-five TE production (do you really think Brady will play until he's 45?), he's still well worth holding onto.

Ertz shouldn't be adversely affected by Dallas Goedert right away, as it usually takes a couple of years for tight ends to develop as route runners. Be wary of his TD total dropping, though. Before scoring eight times in 2017, Ertz had never scored more than four times in his first four NFL seasons. The entire Eagles offense is due for regression in that sense, as Carson Wentz was overly efficient in his league-leading 7.5% touchdown percentage, much like Matt Ryan the year before. The Eagles' 38/9 pass/rush TD ratio should skew the other way at least a little.

Tier 2

It's no surprise to see Evan Engram at the top of the second tier. He won't be relied upon as much with Odell Beckham on the field, but he did show an ability to make plays down the field and has to be considered a budding star. Engram made 18 receptions of 15 yards or more, finishing with 11.3 yards per reception. Engram doesn't need to be taken over Kelce, Ertz, or Gronk just yet, however. His target total could regress a bit and we still can't say who will be quarterbacking the team past 2018.

The first relative surprise comes at the fifth spot, where second-year player David Njoku jumps ahead of established players like Kyle Rudolph and Jimmy Graham. Obviously, he has youth on his side and a ton of potential, but he didn't do much as a rookie and will now have more competition for targets. Plus, it should be noted that he is in Cleveland, which has finished 30th, 31st, and 32nd in points scored each of the last three seasons respectively. That said, Njoku finished with a higher PPOpportunity (1.58) than Engram (1.51), according to FFStatistics.com, and could rival his fellow second-year player's production if he develops chemistry with Baker Mayfield.

Tier 3

Trey Burton is going to be taken far earlier than he should in many redraft leagues, since the Bears are not going to be a pass-heavy offense and Adam Shaheen will be splitting duties with him. In dynasty, he's a safer pick since he's got a four-year, $32 million contract and a promising young QB to work with. He may not pay immediate dividends, but Burton is a pure pass-catching TE that could go from overvalued in the preseason to undervalued after the season.

O.J. Howard was the first tight end selected in the 2017 NFL Draft at 19th overall, but his fantasy stock leaves him 50 spots lower than Engram and Njoku. The presence of Cameron Brate is mainly to blame here, but the recent suspension/confirmation that Jameis Winston is a dumbass doesn't help things either. Howard carries risk, but he should still see enough action to make him startable in 12-team leagues.

Tier 4

Jared Cook could see plenty of targets in Oakland, but he is still a risky play. Over the last three years, Cook has just eight top-12 weekly finishes. By contrast, Jack Doyle has 13 and Delanie Walker has 29. Walker still suffers from ageism, although 33 isn't ancient for a tight end. Recently retired Jason Witten was productive up until age 36.

George Kittle is the player most likely to jump into the top-10 from this tier. While he won't be catching passes from his former college QB anymore, Jimmy Garoppolo has to be considered a massive upgrade. He scored his first and only 100-yard receiving game in Week 16, ending his rookie year on a high note.

Tier 5

Tyler Eifert ought to be far higher based on ability and production, except his chronic injuries represent a concern that hasn't disappeared. Back surgery is no joke and Eifert hasn't been cleared to play as of yet. He's also suffered injuries to his neck, elbow, and shoulder in the past. Tyler Kroft proved to be a capable red zone threat, which could make Eifert expendable at some point.

Ricky Seals-Jones wasn't drafted and didn't play tight end in college. The big-bodied receiver caught on with the Cardinals, who haven't had a stud at tight end since Jackie Smith back in the St. Louis days. Jermaine Gresham tore his Achilles last year and isn't expected to be ready for the season opener, so Seals-Jones has a fairly secure position as the starter. His value will be limited to the number of touchdowns he catches, but that could be said for nearly every TE at this point.

In dynasty formats, shouldn't rookies be valued far higher? No. Eric Ebron, Maxx Williams, Jace Amaro, Troy Niklas... the list of tight ends drafted in the first two rounds who were a waste of a roster spot goes on and on. Hayden Hurst and Dallas Goedert were tremendous college players and athletic enough to be impact players at the pro level, but it's still a 50/50 proposition. Goedert is stuck behind Ertz, while Hurst will be competing with Mark Andrews just to see the field. They should each be considered as a low-end TE2 with upside in dynasty, but nothing more.

Tier 6

Mike Gesicki tore up the Combine, ranking in the 95th percentile or higher in every tested category. So what? He joins a Dolphins team with no true competition at tight end (A.J. Derby doesn't count) and should get more action than any other rookie tight end. Big deal. He's going to play for a team that will fight to stay out of the dark, dank AFC East basement and has no identity on offense. Early reports indicate that he's been slow to pick up the playbook and has looked lost at times during OTAs. Ruh roh! Gesiciki looks the part of the next Travis Kelce, but don't fall in love with his metrics until you see him in action first.

Austin Seferian-Jenkins is becoming a popular sleeper in fantasy circles and rightfully so. ASJ looks to have turned his career around and was even able to put up some big games despite wearing a Jets uniform last year. Jacksonville is both the best and worst landing spot for him as a team that will be run-first (and second and third...), but also in need of a playmaker at TE and in the red zone. With A-Rob gone and a slew of undersized receivers on the roster, ASJ could carve out a role for himself. Consider buying low on him before training camp gets underway.

Tier 7 and above

Vernon Davis is 34 and should be a backup entering the season. He still is worth stashing because fragile Jordan Reed is sure to miss time at some point. Davis was leading the league in yards per reception halfway through the season and finished 17th at 15.1 Y/R. He still has elite athleticism at the position and shouldn't be ignored.

Ben Watson is another vet that could play a larger role than anticipated. Typically ignored in dynasty, Watson has a real chance to be a top-20 TE and streaming option throughout the 2018 season. The Saints chose not to draft or sign a high-profile free agent tight end, so Watson should be the main recipient of several short red zone targets. Back in 2015 with this same Saints team, he was targeted a whopping 110 times.

Chris Herndon is speedy, has great hands, and seems to have one of the easiest paths to immediate playing time among all rookies, but a recent DWI arrest clouds his outlook considerably. The Jets + fantasy production at tight end have never mixed anyway.

Dalton Schultz wasn't the fastest TE at the combine (4.75 40 time), but he could play more than anticipated. Rico Gathers is a popular sleeper, but he is coming off a lost season due to injury and is still completely unproven. If he struggles or gets reinjured, Schultz could be the beneficiary.

 

Updated Tiered Rankings and Analysis


Check out all of RotoBaller's fantasy football rankings. Staff rankings are updated regularly for all positions and include standard formats, PPR scoring, tiered rankings and dynasty leagues.




More Recent Articles

 

Fantasy Football Starts and Sits: Conference Championships Matchups Analysis

Welcome to our NFL Conference Championships matchups analysis and start/sit column for fantasy football. We'll be covering both of the AFC and NFC contests from the Sunday slate, helping you make the best decisions for your DFS contests this weekend. Be sure to check back regularly because this article will be updated as news comes in regarding injuries... Read More


Conference Championships Fantasy Football Staff Rankings

Below you will find all of RotoBaller's fantasy football weekly rankings, tiers, player news and stats for the 2019 NFL season. Our Ranking Wizard displays our staff's rankings for various league formats, all in one easy place. Here's what you'll find: Weekly PPR Rankings Weekly Half-PPR Rankings Weekly Standard Rankings Dynasty League Rankings     Fantasy... Read More


Running Back ADP Winners and Losers: 2019 Season Review

I've always believed that it is easier to lose a fantasy championship than to win it on draft day. It makes sense, a sure-fire player is expected to reward his owners with a lower risk-factor than the other way around and thus they're always drafter earlier. If they end up as a season-long dud, though,... Read More


Dynasty Players to Sell in 2020

Pierre Camus and Chris Mangano share their top sell candidates for dynasty football leagues in the 2020 fantasy football preseason. Like and subscribe to the RotoBaller channel on Youtube to get all our latest podcasts and catch us on iTunes and BlogTalkRadio as well! Be sure to also tune into RotoBaller Radio on SiriusXM (channel Sirius 210,... Read More


Biggest Surprises of 2019: Tight End

The 2019 NFL season was anything but predictable. I mean, the Tennessee Titans made the AFC title game! Andrew Luck retired right before the season! [Insert one of many, many other things here, because all lists need three items but I couldn't decide between all the possible third options.] One position where things at the... Read More


Wide Receiver ADP Winners and Losers: 2019 Season Review

I've always believed that it is easier to lose a fantasy championship than to win it on draft day. It makes sense, as sure-fire players are expected to reward his owners with a lower risk-factor than the other way around and thus they're always drafter earlier. If they put up a season-long dud, though, you'll... Read More


Biggest Busts of 2019: Quarterback

The 2019 NFL season is over, and it's time to look back on what happened. 2019 was a year where some quarterbacks -- Lamar Jackson, Josh Allen -- leaped up to the top of the fantasy charts, while other guys faded from where they were expected to perform. Today, I want to talk about three... Read More


Four and Out: Fantasy Outlooks for Divisional Round Losers

For the four teams that were eliminated in the Divisional Round of the NFL Playoffs, the offseason has begun. For many fantasy football owners, the days have already started counting down to next season. Owners in dynasty leagues have started to mull over their decisions.  How some guys perform in the playoffs can certainly alter... Read More


Quarterback ADP Winners and Losers: 2019 Season Review

I've always believed that it is easier to lose a fantasy championship than to win it on draft day. It makes sense, as sure-fire players are expected to reward their owners with a lower risk-factor than the other way around and thus they're always drafter earlier. If they put up a season-long dud, though, you'll... Read More


Biggest Busts of 2019: Wide Receivers

After a very interesting season of fantasy football action, many owners were left with a bitter taste in their mouth from a few of the “elite” NFL wide receivers. While Michael Thomas dominated and Julio Jones was his usual reliable self, not all was good if you played it safe by taking a receiver early.... Read More


Quarterback Risers and Fallers: 2019 Season Review

This article will examine the biggest risers and fallers at the quarterback position, which proved to be the most impactful in fantasy leagues as is often the case. Of the top-25 players in fantasy this season, 18 of them played the QB position and none of the 18 scored less than 280 fantasy points on... Read More


XFL Fantasy Football Rankings (Preseason)

As of this writing, there is exactly one month until XFL regular-season action begins. On February 8, the latest upstart professional league will kickoff (again) with spring football. It goes without saying that we hope it goes better than the first time, back in 2001, and lasts longer than the AAF. Before you settle in... Read More


Wide Receiver Risers and Fallers: 2019 Season Review

We continue our series covering the biggest risers and fallers of 2019 with the wide receiver position. I'll look at both 2018 and 2019 statistical outcomes from every player, contrast their performances, calculate differences in each category and come up with the most prominent names going forward. This past season, receivers didn't dominate in fantasy,... Read More


2020 Early Sleepers and Draft Targets: Running Back

It is going to be almost impossible to win your fantasy football league in 2020 without a strong set of running backs, even in today’s pass-happy NFL. While quarterbacks and wide receivers have gained importance in fantasy football in recent years, building your fantasy roster around your running back corps is still one of the... Read More


Top Rebound Candidates for 2020

Is it way too early to be thinking about fantasy football for the 2020 season? Yes. Are we going to do it anyway? You bet we are. While coaches, coordinators, players, and rookies will change some things, you're still going to be able to get an idea of where certain players are going to be... Read More