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DFS Prop Picks for Monkey Knife Fight - Super Bowl

Scott Cullen provides his NFL DFS prop picks for the Super Bowl slate on Monkey Knife Fight. Make your DFS picks with his fantasy football advice.

When the Rams and Patriots get it on, it’s a fascinating matchup, with a 41-year-old superstar quarterback going against a 24-year-old up-and-comer. The Patriots have the track record, and Tom Brady is looking for his sixth championship ring, so it’s natural to side with a team that has been there and done that many times already.

The Rams escaped from New Orleans with a win in the NFC Championship Game, and they have a rising star coach in Sean McVay, but this is a team that doesn’t have a playoff track record, so who knows if they are going to be up to the challenge?

For all of the talk about star quarterbacks and big-name stars on that side of the ball, perhaps the Rams’ best chance for success in the big game is if their defensive tackle tandem of Aaron Donald and Ndamukong Suh can make a difference at the line of scrimmage. The challenge that any team seems to find is that, even if Tom Brady isn’t especially mobile, he gets rid of the ball so quickly that he was sacked on just 3.7% of his passes this season, his second-lowest rate since 2009.

In any case, the Patriots are 2.5-point favorites and here are some angles to consider when making your picks this week on Monkey Knife Fight. Click here to learn more about how Monkey Knife Fight works.

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New England Patriots @ Los Angeles Rams

OVER/UNDERS

View Contest

Tom Brady OVER 281.5 PASSING YARDS – TB12 has thrown for 282 or more yards in nine of 18 games this season, which doesn’t give much insight at all into his chances of doing it, but he’s also surpassed that threshold in 11 straight playoff games. What’s one more?

Jared Goff UNDER 286.5 PASSING YARDS – He was more productive early in the season and needed a late charge in an OT win against the Saints to go over this number (finishing with 297 passing yards), but Goff had been held to 286 or fewer passing yards in five of his previous six contests.

Julian Edelman UNDER 94.5 RECEIVING YARDS – Brady’s security blanket has gone over that total in both playoff games but would have been under in the previous six games. His playoff track record is strong, too, with six of the past eight games going for at least 95 yards, so this gets close to toss-up territory. With an expectation of the Patriots leading, maybe they won’t need to pass as much, and that makes the under more appealing.

Julian Edelman OVER 6.5 RECEPTIONS – In 14 games this season, including playoffs, Edelman has had at least seven catches seven times, which means seven times he has had six or fewer. For the tie-breaker, we go to the playoff track record, where Edelman has had seven or more catches in 10 of his past 11 postseason games. Over it is.

Brandin Cooks UNDER 6.5 RECEPTIONS – Even though Cooks went for seven receptions at New Orleans, that ended a streak of six straight games in which he had six or fewer receptions. This isn’t so much a pick against Cooks as it is the likelihood that the Rams will feed him the ball enough because, generally, they do not.

Rob Gronkowski UNDER 78.5 RECEIVING YARDS – Always a wildcard, Gronk did go for 79 yards against Kansas City, the fourth time all season that he would have hit the over on this number. Can he pull it together for one more big game? That’s entirely possible. At the same time, he was a non-factor in the second half of the season, held under 60 receiving yards in seven of eight games prior to the AFC Championship Game.

Robert Woods UNDER 76.5 RECEIVING YARDS – A steady contributor in the Rams offense, Woods has been held under 75 receiving yards in nine of his past 11 games, a bit of a shift from early in the season, as he started the year with more than 77 receiving yards in six of his first seven games.

Sony Michel UNDER 99.5 RUSHING YARDS – The rookie has become a big part of the Patriots’ offense, going over 100 rushing yards in three of the past four games, and racking up a career high 29 carries against Kansas City in the AFC Championship Game. This isn’t so much a pick against Michel as much as it is recognizing how difficult it is to expect 100 rushing yards in a game.

Rob Gronkowski OVER 5.5 RECEPTIONS – Gronk has gone for six or more catches just four times all season, but one of those times was against Kansas City. This does feel like hedging, somewhat, against the under on receiving yards.

Enter Contest!

 

RAPID FIRE FORMAT

View Contest

Julian Edelman -16.5 receiving yards vs. Rob Gronkowski – Look, it’s possible that Gronkowski pulls it all together and has a big game. He’s immensely talented. At the same time, it’s almost guaranteed that Edelman will be a major part of the New England passing game.

Robert Woods +1.5 receptions vs. Brandin Cooks – While Woods’ production has tailed off throughout the season, it’s not like Cooks was going off week after week either. It could be a fairly even split in terms of targets, so getting a +1.5 along with Woods tilts the pick in his direction.

Sony Michel -34.5 rushing yards vs. C.J. AndersonTodd Gurley’s health has opened the door for Anderson to play a featured role for the Rams and if Anderson keeps getting the reps, he has a chance to put up big numbers – he’s rushed for 466 yards in the past four games – but the uncertainty over Gurley’s role makes it safer to take Michel.

James White -0.5 receptions vs. Chris Hogan – Considering how much the Saints used Alvin Kamara (11 receptions for 96 yards on 13 targets) in the passing game against the Rams, it would come as little surprise if the Patriots saw fit to get their receiving back involved in much the same way. White isn’t Kamara, but he’s a reliable receiver out of the backfield and that should give him an edge on Hogan, who has had five or more catches in two of the past three games, but also two of the past 11 games.

Todd Gurley -4.5 rushing yards vs. Rex Burkhead – Obviously there is uncertainty when it comes to Gurley’s workload, especially after four carries for 10 yards in the NFC Championship Game, but his upside is significantly higher than Burkhead’s, so play that upside.

Enter Contest!

 




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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Travis Etienne Jr.

Needs to Bounce Back in 2025
Wan'Dale Robinson

Wants More Downfield Opportunities this Season
Quinshon Judkins

Arrested on Saturday for Battery and Domestic Violence
Terry McLaurin

Could be a Holdout at Training Camp
Roger McCreary

a Candidate for a Contract Extension?
Max Fried

Exits Start With Blister
Mike Evans

Buccaneers Could Have Difficult Time Retaining Mike Evans
Charles Cross

Could Sign Extension Before Training Camp
Xavier Restrepo

One to Watch Going into Training Camp
Calvin Ridley

Appears Re-Energized
Mark Andrews

Still a Key Piece in Ravens Offense
Ndamukong Suh

Officially Announces his Retirement
Jaylen Waddle

Motivated After Disappointing Season
Tre Harris

Still Unsigned
Hunter Dobbins

to Miss Rest of Season With Torn ACL
Nolan Arenado

Held Out of Lineup on Saturday
Alexandre Sarr

Plays Well in Summer League Loss to Phoenix
Yang Hansen

Looks Good on Friday Night
Carlos Correa

Sitting on Saturday
Austin Riley

Placed on 10-Day Injured List
Nolan Arenado

Exits Friday's Contest With Sprained Finger
Jake Burger

Expects to Play on Saturday
Erik Karlsson

Open to Move Away From Pittsburgh
Zach Hyman

Hopes to be Ready for Start of Next Season
SJ

Jeff Skinner Joins Sharks on One-Year Contract
Wyatt Langford

Records Four-Hit Night
Cal Raleigh

Homers Twice, Drives in Five
Cody Bellinger

Swats Three Homers in Victory
Jake Burger

Leaves With Quad Discomfort on Friday
Carlos Correa

Exits Game With Mild Ankle Sprain
Edward Cabrera

Dealing with Posterior Elbow Discomfort
Austin Riley

Leaves Game Early on Friday With Abdominal Tightness
Kon Knueppel

Struggles in Summer League Win
Rafael Devers

Dealing With Back Inflammation
Walter Clayton Jr.

Plays Well on Friday Night
Cody Williams

Scores 21 Points in Summer League Loss
Kyle Filipowski

Leads the Way on Friday Night
Teoscar Hernández

Teoscar Hernandez Returning on Friday
Sauce Gardner

Wants to be Highest-Paid Cornerback
Rhamondre Stevenson

Heading into an Important Season
Minnesota Vikings

Josh Metellus, Vikings Have Mutual Interest in Extension
Tua Tagovailoa

2025 Could be Tua Tagovailoa's Last Season in Miami
Rashawn Slater

has "Full Confidence" a Deal Will Get Done
Byron Buxton

Returns on Friday
Isaiah Jackson

Signs Three-Year Extension
Jake Meyers

Placed on 10-Day Injured List With Calf Strain
Brandon Lowe

Placed on 10-Day Injured List With Oblique Tightness
Kodai Senga

Reinstated to Start on Friday
Alex Bregman

Officially Activated and Starting on Friday
Marvin Bagley III

Joining the Wizards
Herbert Jones

Signing Extension with Pelicans
Jacob Toppin

Returning to Hawks
Chicago Bears

Bears Extend General Manager Ryan Poles
Dalton Knecht

Avoids Serious Injury
MarShawn Lloyd

in a "Much Better Spot" Heading Into Training Camp
Javon Small

Signs Two-Way Deal
Dustin Hopkins

Browns Still Counting on Dustin Hopkins
Ryan Reaves

Traded to Sharks
Vladislav Kolyachonok

Moves to Dallas
Matt Dumba

Lands in Pittsburgh
Mackie Samoskevich

Re-Signs with Panthers on One-Year Deal
Josh Manson

Inks Two-Year Extension with Avalanche
EDM

Isaac Howard Signs Three-Year, Entry-Level Contract With Oilers
Tallison Teixeira

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Derrick Lewis

Set To Headline UFC Nashville
Gabriel Bonfim

Looks For His Third UFC Win
Stephen Thompson

Returns At UFC Nashville
Steve Garcia

Looks To Extend His Win Streak
Calvin Kattar

In Dire Need Of Victory
Morgan Charrière

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Nate Landwehr

Aims To Bounce Back
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Austen Lane Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Vitor Petrino

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Tuco Tokkos

Set To Open Up UFC Nashville Main Card
Junior Tafa

Set For Light-Heavyweight Bout
Jalen Williams

Signs Contract Extension With Thunder
Alijah Martin

Agrees to Two-Way Deal With Raptors
Tristan Vukcevic

Set to Return to Washington
Anfernee Simons

Celtics Are "Actively Trying to Trade" Anfernee Simons
NBA

Alex Ducas Heading to Australia
Dominick Barlow

Inks Two-Way Deal With 76ers
Jordan McLaughlin

Spurs Re-Sign Jordan McLaughlin to One-Year Deal
Dylan Harper

Out Thursday, Expected to Play Saturday
VJ Edgecombe

Diagnosed with a Sprained Thumb
Gary Woodland

Looking to Find Rhythm at Scottish Open
Aaron Rai

Brings Consistent Play to Scottish Open
Maverick McNealy

a Solid Value Play at Scottish Open
Aldrich Potgieter

Making Scottish Open Debut
Tom Kim

Looks to Rebound at Scottish Open
Brian Harman

a Safe Option at Scottish Open
Luke Clanton

a Sneaky Value Play at Scottish Open
Sam Burns

Looking to Stay Hot at Scottish Open
Nicolai Hojgaard

May Feel More at Home in Europe
Harry Hall

Showing Fine Form Heading to Scotland
Ryan Fox

Playing Well Since Early Spring Struggles
Max Greyserman

has Solid History at the Genesis Scottish Open
Harris English

Aims High for Scotland Next
Corey Conners

Primed for the Genesis Scottish Open
Daniel Brown

Attempts the Scottish Swing Again
Jacob Bridgeman

Needs Putter to Work at Genesis Scottish Open
Scottie Scheffler

Headlines Field at Genesis Scottish Open
Rory McIlroy

a Smart Play for Scottish Open
Adam Scott

Looking to Build on History at The Renaissance Club
NASCAR

Sepp Straka Not Likely to Find Momentum at Scottish Open
Justin Rose

Hopes Month Hiatus Helps Him Bounce Back at Scottish Open
NHL

Tyler Johnson Retires After 13 NHL Seasons
Jack McBain

Inks New Five-Year Deal with Mammoth
Cam York

Re-Signs with Flyers for Five Years
Jake Knapp

Fits the Mold for Success at The Renaissance Club
Ty Gibbs

Finishes Second at Chicago and Advances in In-Season Challenge
Alex Bowman

Defeats Bubba Wallace in In-Season Challenge, but Not Without Controversy
Alex Bowman

Bubba Wallace Wrecked by Alex Bowman Again, Putting Playoffs in Doubt
Michael McDowell

Throttle Failure Ends Michael McDowell's Chances to Win at Chicago
Austin Hill

Earns First NASCAR Cup Series Top Ten at Chicago
Tyler Reddick

Scores a Strong Third-Place Run at Chicago
Kyle Busch

Matches his Best Career Finish At Chicago on Sunday
Denny Hamlin

Fights his Way to a Top-5 Finish at Chicago
William Byron

has his Worst Weekend of the Season at Chicago
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