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Daily Fantasy NASCAR DFS Driver Rankings: Instacart 500

Let's get ready for some more NASCAR action! These daily fantasy NASCAR rankings for Sunday's Instacart 500 at Phoenix Raceway were determined by a combination of DraftKings and FanDuel prices, and the projected DFS points each driver is expected to earn in this week’s race.

Each week, we'll present you the weekly rankings, followed by some key analysis of those rankings.

Be sure to also check out all of our other weekly NASCAR DFS articles and analysis to help you set your optimal DFS lineups.

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Fantasy NASCAR Driver Rankings: Instacart 500

Driver Name DraftKings Rank FanDuel Rank
Kevin Harvick 1 1
Chase Elliott 2 2
Brad Keselowski 3 4
Joey Logano 4 3
Kyle Busch 5 6
Aric Almirola 6 8
Ryan Blaney 7 5
Martin Truex Jr. 8 10
Denny Hamlin 9 7
Kyle Larson 10 11
Alex Bowman 11 12
William Byron 12 9
Matt DiBenedetto 13 13
Cole Custer 14 17
Chase Briscoe 15 18
Christopher Bell 16 16
Bubba Wallace 17 14
Kurt Busch 18 15
Ross Chastain 19 20
Tyler Reddick 20 19
Ryan Newman 21 21
Erik Jones 22 24
Austin Dillon 23 23
Daniel Suarez 24 22
Chris Buescher 25 25
Anthony Alfredo 26 27
Michael McDowell 27 26
Ryan Preece 28 28
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 29 29
Corey LaJoie 30 30
Justin Haley 31 31
J.J. Yeley 32 33
James Davison 33 32
B.J. McLeod 34 34
Quin Houff 35 35
Timmy Hill 36 36
Josh Bilicki 37 37
Cody Ware 38 38

 

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NASCAR Rankings Analysis

As you can see from my rankings, I'm high on Kevin Harvick this week.

The driver of the No. 4 car is in an interesting position. Starting 18th gives him some nice place differential upside, plus he has nine -- yes, NINE -- wins at this track.

But ranking Harvick first is also me ignoring some bad signs for the veteran driver. He's won here a lot, but not since the first 2018 race. He hasn't led a lap in three of the last four Phoenix races, and he's been fine in 2021, leading 17 laps at Daytona. but then not leading a lap since and finishing a lap down at Vegas last week. Harvick's not as dominant as he was during the 2020 regular season, but he's still my top-ranked driver because this is Phoenix, and Harvick knows how to win at Phoenix. He's just not quite as safe a play as usual.

If you're looking for someone who can be a dominator this week, I look to Brad Keselowski. The downside is obvious as he starts from the pole, but he finished second here in the second race last year and led 82 laps in the first race. His career results at Phoenix have been middling, with just a 47.8 percent top-10 rate, but he's run better in the recent past and has the ability to lead laps early on.

Kyle Larson is interesting, as he could also jump out front early on, but I just don't trust him quite as much as I trust Brad K.

In terms of some lesser-hyped guys, I'm a big Chase Briscoe fan this week. Has the rookie's Cup career been good so far? No. But he starts 26th and has top 10s in all four of his Xfinity starts here, including leading 41 of 206 laps in the season finale last year. He was also fourth in his only Truck Series start at this track back in 2017. This is the week that Briscoe finally gets things moving with his first top 15 finish.

I don't love Kurt Busch in this one. 12th is a fine starting spot, but Busch has three finishes of 20th or worse here since 2017, and while he was sixth here last year, I just think his pricing makes him someone I won't go super heavy on.

Deep value guy this week? Anthony Alfredo is low in my rankings, but he's someone I could see myself being wrong on.

And as always, Corey LaJoie and back in the rankings are fades. Maybe you chaos play LaJoie. Maybe James Davison outlasts some people and gets points via his 38th place starting spot. But I don't really want to bet on those things. I think B.J. McLeod is driving a car that has some decent upside, but I'd need him starting 35th or worse to even start considering him. He starts 30th.

NASCAR DFS News and Driver Outlooks

More Fantasy NASCAR Analysis



The Keys to Weekly NASCAR Success

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Jordan McAbee anchors the team with his exclusive NASCAR DFS and betting picks, DFS projections and algorithm-predicted finishing order! Jordan had a 60+ unit betting profit in 2024 NASCAR, and a 25% average annual profit since 2018. He won the FSWA Racing Writer Of The Year award in 2023, and has been nominated for DFS Writer Of The Year in 2024.

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