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Free NFL betting picks, odds, predictions for the Chiefs vs. Bills in Week 6 (2022). Our best bets and top NFL picks for moneylines, over/unders and more.
Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Buffalo Bills vs. Kansas City Chiefs, another article in our weekly series of free NFL betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free NFL betting breakdown article is for Sunday, October 16th, 2022.
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Today's Betting Overview - Bills @ Chiefs
The Bills take on the Chiefs on Sunday, October 16th at Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City. RotoBaller provides free handicapping picks and odds for all NFL games throughout the 2022 season.
- Matchup: Buffalo Bills (4-1) vs. Kansas City Chiefs (4-1)
- Date: Sunday, October 16th, 2022
- Time: 4:25 PM ET
- Venue: Arrowhead Stadium
Today's NFL Sportsbook Odds - Bills @ Chiefs
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Buffalo Bills - NFL Betting Analysis
Buffalo are looking to tack on another victory, as they defeated Pittsburgh Steelers by a score of 38-3. Not only did Buffalo walk away with the win, but they also covered the spread as -14.0 point favorites. The two teams combined point total of 41 remained below the betting line of 44. On their way to picking up a 35-point win, Buffalo held a 28 point lead heading into the 4th quarter at 31-3. Through 5 games, the Bills have an ATS record of 3-2. So far, they have an over-under record of 1-4. This week's betting total of 54.0 is slightly higher than the line in their previous games.
As the Bills prepare to take on Kansas City, they have played well on offense, ranking 2nd in points per game at 30.4. Look for the team to put together another strong offensive performance, as they are facing a Chiefs defense giving up 25 points per game. Throughout the game, Buffalo should be able to move the ball through the air, as they are the 1st ranked team in terms of passing yards. In addition, they are facing off against a defense that has been vulnerable in the secondary. On the ground, Buffalo figure to have their fair share of problems as they come into the game as the 14th-ranked team in rush yards per game. In addition, they are facing a defense that has done a good job stopping the run.
Kansas City Chiefs - NFL Betting Analysis
The Chiefs head into week 6, looking for another win, as they picked up 1 point victory over the Las Vegas Raiders (30-29). Even though Kansas City picked up the win, they failed to cover the spread as -7.0 point favorites. Going into the game, the over-under total was set at 51 points, which the teams surpassed. In their win over Las Vegas, the Chiefs held a 4 point lead heading into the 4th quarter at 24-20. However, their 1 point win was not enough to cover the point spread. Through 5 games, the Chiefs have an ATS record of 2-3. So far, they have an over-under record of 3-2. This week's betting total of 54.0 is slightly higher than the line in their previous games.
Heading into this week's matchup, the Chiefs' offense is averaging 31.8 points per game, placing them 1st in the NFL. Even though they have a tough matchup against the league's 1st ranked defense, look for Kansas City to continue their strong offensive play. This season, Kansas City has been one of the better passing teams in the league, averaging 267.2 yards per game through the air. Although the Bills' defense has been able to limit opposing teams in the passing game, Kansas City should still be able to continue to generate big plays through the pass. On the ground, Kansas City figures to have its fair share of problems as they come into the game as the 18th ranked team in rush yards per game. In addition, they are facing a defense that has done a good job stopping the run.
Today's NFL Betting Pick - Bills vs. Chiefs
Over the last 5 matchups between Buffalo and Kansas City, the Chiefs have won 3 of the last 5 games. The over-under record in these games sits at 3-2, with the average scoring total coming in at 53.4 points. Last season, the Bills and Chiefs played 1 game vs each other, with Buffalo winning by a score of 38-20. The Bills entered as 2.5-point underdogs. The over-under line for the game was 56.5 points.
The Kansas City Chiefs have gone 3-2-0 vs the spread in these games. The Bills offense has averaged 26.2 points per game over the 5 most recent meetings with Kansas City, compared to the Chiefs at 27.2.
Over their last 3 regular season games, the Bills have gone 2-1 straight up. The team has also been excellent vs the spread, going 1-2. Their over-under record in these games was 0-3
When looking at their past 3 road matchups, Buffalo has an ATS record of 1-2 while averaging 24.33 per game. The team went 2-1 overall in these games.
Kansas City has put together a record of 2-1 over their past 3 games. The team has also been excellent vs the spread, going 1-2. Their over-under record in these games was 2-1
Kansas City has played well in their previous 3 home games, going 2-1 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 27.0 points per game while allowing 26.67. The team's also performed well vs the spread at 0-3.
Recommended ATS Betting Pick: Bills -2.5
Recommended OU Betting Pick: Under 54.0
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