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Free NFL betting picks, odds, predictions for the Buccaneers vs. Falcons in Week 5 (2022). Our best bets and top NFL picks for moneylines, over/unders and more.
Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Atlanta Falcons vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers, another article in our weekly series of free NFL betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free NFL betting breakdown article is for Sunday, October 9th, 2022.
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Today's Betting Overview - Falcons @ Buccaneers
The Falcons take on the Buccaneers on Sunday, October 9th at Raymond James Stadium, Tampa Bay. RotoBaller provides free handicapping picks and odds for all NFL games throughout the 2022 season.
- Matchup: Atlanta Falcons (2-2) vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-2)
- Date: Sunday, October 9th, 2022
- Time: 1:00 PM ET
- Venue: Raymond James Stadium
Today's NFL Sportsbook Odds - Falcons @ Buccaneers
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Atlanta Falcons - NFL Betting Analysis
Atlanta will look to add on another win, as they picked up a non-conference victory over the Cleveland Browns (23-20). In terms of betting, Atlanta picked up an ATS win, as they were the 1.0 point underdogs. The team's combined scoring of 43 points, fell below the posted betting line of 48. Atlanta went into the 4th quarter of the game trailing by 3 at 13-10, but still came back to win and cover the spread as underdogs. Through 4 games, the Falcons have an ATS record of 4-0. So far, they have an over-under record of 3-1. This week's betting total of 48.0 is slightly higher than the line in their previous games.
As the Falcons prepare to take on Tampa Bay, they have played well on offense, ranking 8th in points per game at 25.75. Even though they have a tough matchup against the league's 5th ranked defense, look for Atlanta to continue their strong offensive play. Even though the Falcons head into this week's game ranked 29th in pass yards per game and have a tough defensive matchup, we project them to have an above average performance in the passing game. A key matchup to watch through the game is if Atlanta will be able to run the ball with their usual effectiveness. Even though they are averaging 168.0 yards per game on the ground, look for them to struggle against a defense that can be tough to run against.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers - NFL Betting Analysis
This week, the Buccaneers will be looking to get back to winning ways, as they fell to the Kansas City Chiefs by a score of 41-31 in week 4. Leading into the matchup, the Buccaneers were -2.0 point favorites, resulting in both a straight up an ATS loss. In terms of the over-under, the teams combined for 72 points, which surpassed the betting line of 47. In the game, Tampa Bay trailed the Chiefs by a score of 38-24 heading into the 4th quarter. Through 4 games, the Buccaneers have an ATS record of 2-2. So far, they have an over-under record of 1-3. This week's betting total of 48.0 is slightly higher than the line in their previous games.
As the Buccaneers prepare to take on Atlanta, they are ranked 16th in points per game at 20.5. Look for the team to put together a strong offensive performance vs a Falcons defense giving up 25 points per game. Throughout the game, Tampa Bay should be able to move the ball through the air, as they are the 11th-ranked team in terms of passing yards. In addition, they are facing off against a defense that has been vulnerable in the secondary. On the ground, our projections show that the Buccaneers' offense will have its problems. Even though they have a decent matchup against Atlanta, look Tampa Bay to come up with fewer rush yards than their season average of 65.25.
Today's NFL Betting Pick - Falcons vs. Buccaneers
As of late, the Buccaneers have dominated the head-to-head matchups, winning each of the last 3 games. The over-under record in these games sits at 2-1, with the average scoring total coming in at 63.67 points. Last season, the Falcons and Buccaneers met up for 2 games, with Tampa Bay winning both matchups by scores of 30-17 and 48-25.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have gone 3-0 vs the spread in these games. The Falcons offense has averaged 23.0 points per game over the 3 most recent meetings with Tampa Bay, compared to the Buccaneers at 40.67.
Atlanta has put together a record of 2-1 over their past 3 games. In addition, their ATS record over this stretch is 3-0 while posting a 2-1 over-under mark.
Through their last 3 road games, Atlanta has an ATS record of just 2-0-1. However, their overall record was 1-2 while averaging 23.0 points per game.
Across their previous 3 regular season games, the Buccaneers have a straight up record of just 1-2. Like their straight up record, Tampa Bay struggled vs the spread, going 1-2. Over these games, they put together an over-under record of 1-2.
Although Tampa Bay has a straight up record of 0-3 in their last 3 home games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 0-3. The team averaged 23.33 points per game in these games.
Recommended ATS Betting Pick: Buccaneers -8.5
Recommended OU Betting Pick: Over 48.0
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