BALLER MOVE: Target in drafts ~pick 195
CURRENT ADP: ~203 overall
ANALYSIS: Seattle Mariners right-hander Bryan Woo was drafted in 2021 and logged just 282 IP in the minors before being thrust into action last season. The former sixth-round pick pitched admirably despite the lack of seasoning, ending the season 4-5 with a 4.21 ERA (4.13 SIERA), 1.21 WHIP, and 16.7% K-BB% over 18 starts (87 2/3 IP).
He posted very strong K% numbers in the minors, which carried over to the majors (25.1%), but the righty had just average BB% numbers (8.4%) and a poor HR/FB% (13.4%). Woo was particularly vulnerable against left-handed batters last season, allowing them to slash .283/.389/.539. He's got an 85th-percentile FB run value per Baseball Savant, but the secondary pitches need work. Pitching+ and Stuff+ both checked in at better than 70th percentile nevertheless.
With an ADP of 203, he's being drafted a little bit later than his RotoBaller rank of 195. ATC projections call for a 7-8 record with a 3.94 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, and 17.9% K-BB% in 25 starts (133 IP). Woo won't crush your ERA or WHIP and will provide a steady source of Ks at the end of drafts. If he develops faster than expected, especially with his secondary pitches, then he could even provide additional value with where he's being drafted.
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