Nick Mariano's 2020 Draft Sleepers List (Premium Content)

All other Premium Tools can be accessed on the premium dashboard. Sleeper has become a polarizing term in fantasy sports, becoming an SEO must for articles despite no real consensus on what it means. So let's get my definition out of the way first. Sleepers are not necessarily meant to be names that no one else […]

Nick Mariano's Auction Draft Strategies and Tips (Premium Content)

All other Premium Tools can be accessed on the premium dashboard. Congratulations to you and your leaguemates for electing to play in the vastly superior format that is auction-based fantasy baseball. I'm not here to wax poetic about basic how-to's, rather I want help you go from the foundation to the very top. Especially with […]

Nick Mariano's 2020 Early-Round Overvalued List (Premium Content)

All other Premium Tools can be accessed on the premium dashboard. Fantasy baseball drafts (and their articles) are almost all about finding the next superstar and unearthing talent late, but we can't forget that surrendering value by over-drafting can be just as crucial. In order to evaluate overvalued players here, we're going to utilize Average […]

Adam Eaton (OF, WAS) - Fantasy Baseball Draft Sleeper

BALLER MOVE: Draft target ~ 175 CURRENT ADP: ~200 overall ANALYSIS: After two injury-plagued seasons in 2017 and ‘18, Adam Eaton turned in 656 PAs over 151 games last season for a career-high 103 runs, 15 homers, and 15 steals. His average slipped to .279 after hitting .297 and .301 in the past two respective […]

Marcell Ozuna (OF, ATL) - Fantasy Baseball Draft Sleeper

BALLER MOVE: Draft target ~ 80 CURRENT ADP: ~95 overall ANALYSIS: Marcell Ozuna is a fresh face on a new squad in 2020; yet, his draft stock remains modest despite the upgrade in surroundings. After five years as a Marlin and two as a Cardinal, Ozuna is Atlanta’s likely cleanup hitter just as their youth […]

Byron Buxton (OF, MIN) - Fantasy Baseball Draft Sleeper

BALLER MOVE: Draft target ~ 100 CURRENT ADP: ~145 overall ANALYSIS: Look, the injury woes are baked into the projection here. “The market” may have additional trepidation, but 10 HR/14 SB in only 87 games (295 PAs) last year underscores Byron Buxton's potential. That's without even considering his place in a stacked Minnesota lineup. Systems […]

Khris Davis (UT, OAK) - Fantasy Baseball Draft Sleeper

BALLER MOVE: Draft target ~ 100 CURRENT ADP: ~180 overall ANALYSIS: Khrush Davis is being written off in 2020. Hindsight is likely to kick many asses as a result, given how Davis was on pace for his traditional 40-homer season in 2019 until a wrist injury suffered in the outfield derailed his campaign. He collided with […]

Matt Olson (1B, OAK) - Fantasy Baseball Undervalued Target

BALLER MOVE: Yahoo Only: Target ~ 50-60 CURRENT ADP: Yahoo ADP of 68 overall ANALYSIS: Price check on power? If I told you Matt Olson hit 36 homers with 91 RBI last season, you’d probably think that adds up with a fifth/sixth-round pick. If I told you he did so in just 127 games after suffering […]

Paul DeJong (SS, STL) - Fantasy Baseball Draft Sleeper

BALLER MOVE: Draft target ~175-185 CURRENT ADP: ~198 overall ANALYSIS: Paul DeJong had his first full MLB season in 2019, and it yielded 30 homers, 175 R+RBI, and nine steals for fortunate fantasy owners. You’re getting a nice speed contribution on top of stellar R+RBI stats given his position within the order at a spot […]

Josh Donaldson (3B, MIN) - Fantasy Baseball Draft Sleeper

BALLER MOVE: Draft target ~70-80 CURRENT ADP: ~88 overall ANALYSIS: Josh Donaldson is ready to feast within a monstrous Minnesota offense, and he comes with greater power numbers than a premium third-base target like Anthony Rendon. Of course, you trade roughly 50 points of batting average for the 70-pick discount on Donaldson, but the added […]

Charlie Morton (SP, TB) - Fantasy Baseball Draft Target

BALLER MOVE: Draft target ~40 CURRENT ADP: ~50 overall ANALYSIS: Morton’s price may rise as more top-end starting pitchers succumb to injury or potential COVID shutdown, but his current discount is nearly a full round in most formats. That’s plenty of room for profit given his elite turnaround since adding velocity at the end of […]

Man vs. Machine: Nick Mariano and ATC's Over/Undervalued Players

Welcome to Round 2 of Man vs. Machine, where one fantasy analyst goes toe-to-toe with one projection system for ranking supremacy. We here at RotoBaller are fortunate enough to have FantasyPros’ Most Accurate Fantasy Baseball Draft Ranker from both 2018 and 2019 on our roster in Nick Mariano and Ariel Cohen, respectively. Ariel also created […]

Finding Over/Undervalued Outfielders Using Expected Draft Values

A couple weeks ago, we introduced our Expected Draft Values and explained how they would help us identify both over and undervalued players of all types. Power, speed, power+speed, batting average+power, and so on, with pitchers as well. Today, we'll look at four outfielders and our site projections for them. Stay tuned over the next […]

Finding Over/Undervalued Shortstops Using Expected Draft Values

A couple weeks ago, we introduced our Expected Draft Values and explained how they would help us identify both over and undervalued players of all types. Power, speed, power+speed, batting average+power, and so on, with pitchers as well. Today, we'll look at four shortstops and our site projections for them. Stay tuned over the next […]

Finding Over/Undervalued Third Basemen Using Expected Draft Values

A couple weeks ago, we introduced our Expected Draft Values and explained how they would help us identify both over and undervalued players of all types. Power, speed, power+speed, batting average+power, and so on, with pitchers as well. Today, we'll look at four third basemen and our site projections for them. Stay tuned over the […]

Sean Doolittle (RP, WAS) - Fantasy Baseball Draft Sleepers

BALLER MOVE: Draft target ~140 CURRENT ADP: ~160 overall ANALYSIS: Doolittle had a tumultuous 2019, proving effective but suffering from overuse before rebounding in the playoffs. Doolittle had a 2.72 ERA with a 51/11 K/BB ratio over 43 innings through July 24, when he notched the save in each game of a doubleheader. That speaks […]

Yahoo ADP Comparison - Overpriced / Underpriced Players

Average Draft Position (ADP) is a must-have piece of information when it comes to drafting. While every league is different and may have a particularly aggressive or conservative group of owners when it comes to certain players, it’s the best tool we have when analyzing players’ value. Now, instead of just talking about total ADP […]

Finding Over/Undervalued Second Basemen Using Expected Draft Values

A couple weeks ago, we introduced our Expected Draft Values and explained how they would help us identify both over and undervalued players of all types. Power, speed, power+speed, batting average+power, and so on, with pitchers as well. Today, we'll look at four "power" hitters, as identified by our site projections. Stay tuned over the […]

Niko Goodrum (1B/2B/SS/OF, DET) - Fantasy Baseball Draft Sleeper

BALLER MOVE: Draft target ~260-270 CURRENT ADP: ~284 overall ANALYSIS: Niko Goodrum is on pace to start the year as Detroit’s everyday shortstop, but has insane versatility that allows him to fill in wherever needed. Goodrum delivered a 12 home run/12 stolen base season in just 112 games last year, with 15/15 available on the cheap […]

ESPN ADP Comparison - Overpriced / Underpriced Players

Average Draft Position (ADP) is a must-have piece of information when it comes to drafting. While every league is different and may have a particularly aggressive or conservative group of owners when it comes to certain players, it’s the best tool we have when analyzing players’ value. Now, instead of just talking about total ADP […]

Finding Over/Undervalued First Basemen Using Expected Draft Values

A couple weeks ago, we introduced our Expected Draft Values and explained how they would help us identify both over and undervalued players of all types. Power, speed, power+speed, batting average+power, and so on, with pitchers as well. Today, we'll look at four "power" hitters, as identified by our site projections. Stay tuned over the […]

Using Expected Draft Values to Find Over and Undervalued Speed Hitters

A couple weeks ago, we introduced our Expected Draft Values and explained how they would help us identify both over and undervalued players of all types. Power, speed, power+speed, batting average+power, and so on, with pitchers as well. Today, we'll look at four "speed" players as identified by our site projections. Stay tuned over the […]

Nelson Cruz (UT, MIN) - Fantasy Baseball Draft Sleeper

BALLER MOVE: Target ~40s CURRENT ADP: ~86 overall ANALYSIS: Many people let Nelson Cruz fall in drafts because he can only slot into the UTIL spot, but you can make DH-only work when it’s Cruz. His Statcast profile is painted red from wall to wall, with 99th percentile exit velocity and the best xSLG of […]

Finding Over/Undervalued Power Hitters Using Expected Draft Values

A couple weeks ago, we introduced our Expected Draft Values and explained how they would help us identify both over and undervalued players of all types. Power, speed, power+speed, batting average+power, and so on, with pitchers as well. Today, we'll look at four "power" hitters, as identified by our site projections. Stay tuned over the […]

Austin Hays (OF, BAL) - Fantasy Baseball Draft Sleepers

BALLER MOVE: Target ~240s CURRENT ADP: ~268 overall ANALYSIS: Austin Hays has been a name on fantasy players’ radars since he had a brief debut with the Orioles in 2017, but, despite the major league club not being relatively competitive, the organization chose to delay his call-up after injuries waylaid his ‘18 and ‘19 campaigns. […]

Dylan Cease (SP, CHW) - Fantasy Draft Sleeper

BALLER MOVE: Draft target ~250 (around Adrian Houser, Anthony DeSclafani, Sandy Alcantara) CURRENT ADP: ~283 overall ANALYSIS: The White Sox have a few young arms of intrigue in Cease, Michael Kopech and Reynaldo Lopez. However, Cease may have the most upside for 2020. He has elite stuff, with a curveball that seemed electric last season and, according to […]

Ian Happ (OF/2B, CHC) - Fantasy Baseball Sleeper

BALLER MOVE: Draft target ~280 CURRENT ADP: ~323 overall ANALYSIS: Ian Happ burst onto the scene in 2017, hitting 24 home runs in 115 games, and many people were ready to anoint him as a long-time legitimate fantasy asset. Then his swing-and-miss tendencies got the better of him in 2018,  he wound up in the […]

Introducing EDV - Expected Draft Values for Fantasy Baseball

Last March at RotoBaller, we kicked off a cool fantasy baseball research project, exploring what we're calling Expected Draft Values. This offseason, we’ve refined the approach and our research, and taken things a step forward. We're sharing this concept with the fantasy baseball world now, and hope it's as helpful to you as it's been […]

2020 RotoBaller Fantasy Baseball Mock Draft Reactions

Over the last couple weeks, RotoBaller's roster has grown with several new faces to join our esteemed veteran corps. We figured it would be nice to roll out the welcome wagon with a February fantasy baseball mock draft, putting six "RotoNewbs" with six RotoVets. It was a snake draft hosted on Fantrax, a traditional 5x5 format with […]

2020 Saves+Holds Rankings - Fantasy Baseball Mixed Leagues

To any reader who thinks they don't have a voice here at RotoBaller, let it be known that this article came from a simple Reddit comment about how those seeking Saves+Holds reliever ranks were often overlooked. Poof, and here we are. Allow me, Nick Mariano, 2018's most accurate draft expert and sharer of names with […]