Alex Kirilloff is a fantasy baseball waiver wire pickup for Week 17 of the 2021 MLB season. Consider adding the 1B and OF if he's free agent in your leagues.
BALLER MOVE: Add in 10+ Team Leagues
ROSTERED IN: 32% of leagues
ANALYSIS: Kirilloff was one of the first high-profile prospects to be called up to the majors back in mid-April and predictably received a lot of attention. He struggled to hit with much consistency over his first 12 games but did swat four homers before hitting the injured list with a left wrist sprain. A lot of his shine wore off as he was sidelined for nearly three weeks due to the injury. He's been solid since his IL activation back on May 21 but he's really come alive over the last 16 games. He's slashing .290/.362/.500 with four doubles, three home runs, 13 RBI, a stolen base, and eight runs scored over that span (62 at-bats). That gives him a .265/.315/.450 batting line with 11 doubles, eight home runs, 34 RBI, and 23 runs scored for the season.
His expected stats are excellent as well with a .292 xBA (95th percentile), .374 xwOBA (89th percentile), and .545 xSLG (94th percentile). He's also registered a 43.1% hard-hit rate and 13.1% barrel rate. He's hit in the heart of the Twins' lineup, typically fourth or fifth over the last few weeks, and should see at least 30 at-bats with Minnesota playing eight games. The Twins are slated to face five right-handed starters and three lefties.
Kiriloff could do some damage against the up-and-down Dylan Cease (6.06 ERA in three starts vs. MIN) and Alex Cobb (4.23 ERA). He's also fared well against left-handed hurlers this year with a .306/.338/.516 batting line to go along with four doubles, three home runs, and 11 RBI over 62 at-bats. That should give him an edge against the likes of Dallas Keuchel (4.25 ERA/4.73 FIP), Andrew Heaney (5.38 ERA/4.14 FIP), and Patrick Sandoval (3.70 ERA/4.31 FIP). Kiriloff has a high ceiling and could be in line for a big second half so snagging him now while he's rostered in just 32% of Yahoo! leagues would be a wise move.
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