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Hello everybody and welcome! The 2021 NFL season is well underway and that means our new friends over at PrizePicks have a TON of great props we can look to take advantage of. PrizePicks is a great DFS props site where you can choose to select plays in terms of fantasy points or single stats. The goal is to build a 2-player, 3-player, 4-player, or 5-player entry and then select whether or not you want to play for the power play or the flex play. On the power play, you will need to be correct on each of your selections to win, and on the flex play, you will have a little more wiggle room for a chance to win some money back.
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PrizePicks has two types of games. The first type of game is known as Fantasy Score, which consists of selecting various players and trying to determine if they will go over or under their projected fantasy points in a game. The second game is known as Single Stat. For NFL, Single Stat consists of quarterback passing yards, running back rushing yards, and wide receiver receiving yards in which you determine if the player in question will go over or under their projected total. You can mix and match players from each type of game in your entry or select all of your plays from the same type of game. Once you have selected your players and props, you can choose the aforementioned flex play or power play option. Today, we will look at some single-stat scores for Week 9 of the NFL Season.
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Single Stat NFL Totals
Joe Burrow over 265.5 passing yards - Burrow has gone over this total in five straight games and all but two games on the season, so this total feels a bit low and will likely rise as we get closer to Sunday. Burrow has thrown for an average of 315 passing yards per game over his previous five games and will now be facing a Cleveland defense that has allowed quarterbacks to average 256.5 passing yards per game over their previous four games and are fresh off allowing Ben Roethlisberger to throw for 266 passing yards. They have also been pretty strong against the run as they have allowed running backs to rush for an average of just 85 yards per game over the previous four weeks. This could equate to a passing recipe for Burrow and the Bengals and he should be able to get over this total on Sunday.
Ezekiel Elliott over 72.5 rushing yards - Zeke has gone over this total in four of seven games in 2021 and missed it by just three yards in a fifth game. Dak is likely to return in this game, which makes this offense a dual-threat in terms of passing and rushing, which will be difficult for the Broncos to contend with. The Cowboys will enter this game as large favorites with the spread currently sitting at -9.5, which should get Zeke some additional carries. This is a Broncos' defense that recently allowed D'Ernest Johnson to carve them up for 146 yards on 22 carries and have allowed an average of 124 rushing yards per game to the running back position over their previous four games.
Damien Harris over 72.5 rushing yards - Harris has seen a solid workload recently as he has averaged over 17 carries per game over his previous four games and is fresh off a 23 carry performance against the Chargers last week. He has also averaged over 86 rushing yards per game across those four games and has eclipsed this total in three consecutive games. He will be going up against a Panthers' defense that has struggled against running backs over the previous four weeks as they have allowed an average of nearly 99 rushing yards per game to the position. They allowed both Ezekiel Elliott to rush for 140+ yards while also allowing the Falcons' backfield of Cordarrelle Patterson and Mike Davis to rush for a combined 79 yards on 18 carries. This is a spot where the Patriots are favored and will likely rely on Harris quite a bit as well.
Ja'Marr Chase over 71.5 receiving yards - Chase could be a great option to pair with Burrow this Sunday as he has been targeted at least nine times in four of the Bengals' previous six games and has also gone over this total in four of his previous five games while also averaging over 113 receiving yards per game across his previous five games. The Browns are also giving up the third-most receiving yards per game to the position by allowing an average of nearly 190 receiving yards per game over the previous four weeks. The Browns have also been stingy against the run as noted by the fact that they have allowed the sixth-fewest rushing yards to running backs on the season, so the Bengals may come out throwing as they have done quite often this season.
Brandin Cooks over 63.5 receiving yards - Cooks might be the only receiver in Houston at this point as he is currently averaging nearly nine targets per game and has an average of 73 receiving yards per game on the season. There is a chance Tyrod Taylor returns for this game as well and he targeted Cooks 21 times in two starts to begin the season, so the volume will be there regardless, which will be a good thing against this Dolphins' defense. Over the previous four weeks, Miami has allowed wide receivers to average 221 receiving yards per game, which is far and away the worst in the NFL. The Texans will also enter this game as underdogs by a full touchdown, which should lead to some additional pass attempts by this offense.
Other Recommendations - Cooper Kupp over 99.5 receiving yards, Baker Mayfield over 225.5 passing yards, Nick Chubb under 82.5 rushing yards
Overall recommendation for this play: FLEX
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