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Kipp's expert NFL DFS prop picks for Week 3's Thursday Night Football (TNF) game between the Panthers and Texans. Use his MKF fantasy football prop picks to win.
Welcome to the Week 4 of Thursday Night Football between the Jacksonville Jaguars and Cincinnati Bengals! Thursday Night Football means our friends at Monkey Knife Fight are offering some fantastic props for us to play.
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As always, there are some solid props we can look to take advantage of in tonight's game, so let's get to the picks!
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Jaguars @ Bengals More or Less Contest
Recommended Prop Pick:
Joe Burrow less than 255.5 passing yards and Trevor Lawrence more than 247.5
Joe Burrow and the Bengals will most likely come and try to establish the run with Joe Mixon in this one. On the season. the Jaguars have given up 284 rushing yards and four rushing touchdowns to backs. While they have also given up 935 passing yards, the Bengals come into this game as seven-point favorites with a rather strong run defense that could put the Jaguars in tough spots meaning Burrow will not be forced to sling it in order to win this game.
Lawrence and the Jags are on the other side of this equation and they come in against a Bengals run defense that has only allowed 174 rushing yards to running backs thus far, which is ranked eighth-best in the league. The Bengals have also allowed 785 passing yards to quarterbacks over the first three weeks, which is why Lawrence might find some success here. If the Jaguars get down as expected in this game, Lawrence will have added passing attempts to try and get the Jags back into the game.
Play the More or Less Contest Now on Monkey Knife Fight
Jaguars @ Bengals Touchdown Dance
Recommended Prop Pick:
Joe Mixon, Ja'Marr Chase, and Marvin Jones to combine for more than 1.5 touchdowns
Joe Mixon makes the most sense to add into this contest as he will likely have the ball in his hands more than anyone in this game aside from the quarterbacks. He has just one touchdown on the season, but has had the ball in his hands a whopping 73 times thus far in 2021 and has 20 or more rushing attempts in two of the Bengals' first three games. The Jaguars have also allowed four rushing touchdowns to backs thus far, which ranks tied for second-worst in the league while also allowing one receiving touchdown to the position.
Ja'Marr Chase has been a major scoring threat for this Bengals' team as he has now posted a touchdown in each game in 2021 and has a total of four on the season. He will be going up against a Jaguars' secondary that has allowed six red-zone touches to wide receivers, which is ranked in the bottom half of the league. Burrow likely will not need to pass for much in this game, but expect him to look Chase's way as they approach the end zone in Week 4.
Marvin Jones vs. D.J. Chark was a close call for this last piece of the contest, but Jones has the most targets on this Jaguars roster with 28 and will be returning to Cincinnati where he began his career, so he could have some added motivation to perform well in this one. The Bengals have struggled a bit for wide receivers in 2021 as they have allowed the 10th-most yards to the position. They have also given up three receiving touchdowns thus far.
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