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Daily Fantasy NASCAR DFS Driver Rankings: Dixie Vodka 400

Let's get ready for some more NASCAR action! These daily fantasy NASCAR rankings for Sunday's Dixie Vodka 400 were determined by a combination of DraftKings and FanDuel prices, and the projected DFS points each driver is expected to earn in this week’s race.

Each week, we'll present you the weekly rankings, followed by some key analysis of those rankings.

Be sure to also check out all of our other weekly NASCAR DFS articles and analysis to help you set your optimal DFS lineups.

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Fantasy NASCAR Driver Rankings

 

Driver Name DraftKings Rank FanDuel Rank
Kyle Busch 1 1
Martin Truex Jr. 2 2
Kevin Harvick 3 7
Tyler Reddick 4 3
Denny Hamlin 5 5
Chase Elliott 6 6
Kyle Larson 7 4
Ryan Blaney 8 8
Matt DiBenedetto 9 10
William Byron 10 9
Joey Logano 11 11
Alex Bowman 12 13
Brad Keselowski 13 12
Chase Briscoe 14 15
Austin Dillon 15 14
Ross Chastain 16 19
Aric Almirola 17 16
Bubba Wallace 18 17
Kurt Busch 19 20
Christopher Bell 20 18
Ryan Newman 21 21
Erik Jones 22 22
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 23 24
Cole Custer 24 23
Anthony Alfredo 25 27
Daniel Suarez 26 26
Chris Buescher 27 25
Michael McDowell 28 28
Ryan Preece 29 29
Quin Houff 30 31
BJ McLeod 31 33
Corey LaJoie 32 30
Timmy Hill 33 34
Josh Bilicki 34 35
Justin Haley 35 32
Cody Ware 36 36
Garrett Smithley 37 37
James Davison 38 38

 

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NASCAR Rankings Analysis

Well, it was fun to have 40-car fields while it lasted. We're back down to 38 cars for this week's race, which changes the calculus just a little bit this week.

Kyle Busch is my No. 1 ranked guy on both sites. Why? Well, when a guy whose worst finish here since 2015 is sixth place starts all the way back in 24th, you have a perfect storm of reasons to play him. Busch is the best play in this field, though that means he might wind up overplayed. In that case, I love Martin Truex Jr. as well. Not nearly as much place differential upside as he starts ninth, but Truex had three consecutive top-two finishes here before finishing 12th last year. This is a good track for him, dating all the way back to a second-place finish in 2006.

Two guys who are way up in my rankings vs where they might usually be are Tyler Reddick and Kyle Larson. These guys might end up being chalky, but they've got so much upside. Reddick starts 35th. He finished fourth here last year and won the 2018 and 2019 Xfinity races here. His worst Xfinity finish -- barring trouble on Saturday, as I'm writing this before the Xfinity race -- is fourth. Reddick's dominant at Homestead in the lower series. That's eventually going to translate to a Cup win here, even if that's not Sunday.

The other guy I'm high on is Larson. Starting 17th doesn't offer the same place differential upside that Reddick has, but Larson has three top fives here, plus led 45 laps in 2018 before finishing 13th. His Hendrick Motorsports career is still young, but this could easily be his best race if it so far.

Matt DiBenedetto is another guy who could move through the field. Starting 37th, the Wood Brothers Ford will look to work up into the top 20. His best finish here is 14th last year, so I'm not expecting huge things, but a +20 place differential is still some really good stuff.

In terms of guys who worry me, I'll be going a little light on Joey Logano and Brad Keselowski because of their price tags. Logano starts second, so he could lead some early laps, but despite a 2018 win here, I'm just a lite worried that he slides back six or seven spots by the end of the race and other drivers wind up with better fantasy days. As for Kes, he has six top 10s in 13 races here and in the past five races at Homestead has led a total of two laps. Just don't think this is the track for him.

As for deep value guys, there's a pretty big drop-off after Chris Buescher on DK or Anthony Alfredo on FD. McDowell and Preece are in solid cars but start so high up that I wouldn't play them because of place differential downside, and then below that there's no one appealing unless you want to bet on chaos, in which case Quin Houff and BJ McLeod start far-enough back to be in play.

NASCAR DFS News and Driver Outlooks


More Fantasy NASCAR Analysis



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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

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RANKINGS
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