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Tom Bellucco recommends betting picks for the MLB slate on 9/19/2020. He breaks down each team's situation and suggests the top picks on moneylines, totals, runlines, and more!
Welcome back, RotoBallers! Take all the action-packed, sports awesomeness from last weekend, and throw in the U.S. Open. Yeah, that's what we have on tap for these two days. I'm very ready to make a dent in my couch. As for the MLB, I took a few days off in the middle of last week, and it seems to have done me well, as I came out on top with a 3-1 night last night, hitting two run lines in the process. Let's get hot this weekend!
As I'm sure you already know know, Steve Janik and I will be sharing the duties of writing up an MLB Betting article every day of the week! All season long we'll be supplying you MLB betting articles with a few of our favorite picks for the day in baseball. Along with the picks, we'll give a little write-up with some supporting evidence for the picks, and we'll keep track of our records throughout the course of the season. You can always find my updated picks for the day as well as my running tally @BellRoto on Twitter. I'll also do my best to continue posting my picks there on my "Off Days" for this series.
- Friday, September 19: 3-1
- 2020 Season Total: 106-90
Without further ado, let's get to the picks for today's slate. Please make sure to follow me on Twitter @BellRoto, as I'll post any updates and/or additions to these picks there throughout the day. I'll also field any questions or comments on Twitter as well as in our Premium RotoBaller Slack Chat under the Sports Betting channel. Here we go!
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Washington Nationals at Miami Marlins (-121)
O/U: 7.5
WAS: Patrick Corbin, MIA: Pablo Lopez
This is a pretty simple formula leading me to the Nationals as an underdog in Miami. I'm buying low on Patrick Corbin, who finally turned the corner and looked himself last time out against a tough Atlanta offense. Meanwhile, we saw Pablo Lopez finally look human a couple of starts ago. I do think he's a solid pitcher, but I'll take Corbin's upside over him. I also still like the Nationals lineup considerably more despite the addition of Starling Marte to the Marlins lineup.
Pick: Nationals ML (+101) 1 Unit
Minnesota Twins (-135) at Chicago Cubs
O/U: 8.5
MIN: Michael Pineda, CHC: Alec Mills
I'm usually not one to back no-name pitchers coming off huge outings like a no-hitter, but Mills looked solid in the few starts leading up to his historic night. Meanwhile, I've been pretty vocal about my fade of Michael Pineda coming off injury, and he started to regress last time out against Cleveland. I think the regression continues against a Chicago lineup that looks mighty scary when healthy. Mills shouldn't have to do much to keep the Cubs offense in this game. I like the underdog here, too.
Pick: Cubs ML (+115) 1 Unit
San Diego Padres (-189) at Seattle Mariners
O/U: 8
SD: Mike Clevinger, SEA: Justus Sheffield
I'll continue to ride the Padres in a very lopsided matchup after capitalizing on their run line just one night ago. Sheffield has looked solid for Seattle, and he surely has a great career ahead of him, but Mike Clevinger is an ace, and he pitched like it last time out. Meanwhile, the San Diego offense can put up runs in a HURRY. Give me the run line again, and let's go Padres.
Pick: Padres -1.5 (-117) 1 Unit
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