November 30, 2016

Seth I. Finkelstein looks at the top NFL survivor picks for Week 13 of the 2016 NFL season, giving you survivor league advice for targets and avoids.

At about 1:30 p.m. on Sunday, it really looked and felt like it was going to be upset Sunday. The Jaguars, Rams, and 49ers, all seven-point underdogs, led 7-0. The Browns, also seven-point underdogs, were tied with the Giants. But every single favorite pulled through. There hasn't been an upset Sunday in a while, but it's due to come any week now.

I'm here, as always, to try and help you identify the best survivor pool targets and avoids for Week 13 of the NFL season. If you're still alive in a survivor pool this late in the season, you have probably used more than half the league. I will be picking several games to target and avoid with a brief description on most. Good luck folks, now onto the picks.

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Top Survivor Picks for Week 13

Broncos -5 @ Jaguars

Gary Kubiak went for the win Sunday night, and now his team finds themselves in a must-win scenario. Good thing they're playing the Jaguars, losers of six straight. The Broncos will win this game with their front seven. Von Miller leads the league in sacks with 12.5, and their team leads the league in sacks with 35. The Jags have an average offensive line so Denver should pressure Blake Bortles all day.

The Broncos defense may be tired after their five quarter game, but they will still be able to hold the Jags to under 17. The Broncos average 24 points per game. Broncos win and cover.

Packers -6.5 vs. Texans

All you need to do is look at the quarterbacks for this game. Aaron Rodgers against Brock Osweiler. On the road, the Texans are 1-4 and averaging 13 points, while the Packers average 25 points per game at home.

The Packers looked really good on Monday night and are returning home after a long three-day road trip.

Ravens -3.5 vs. Dolphins

The Dolphins are 7-4 and winners of six straight against teams with a combined record of 25-41. The Dolphins should have destroyed the 49ers, but won when they stopped Colin Kaepernick at the one-yard line as time expired.

This is a gritty Ravens team. They are first against the run and second in total defensive yards allowed per game. Their defense will smother the Dolphins, exposing an offensive line ranked in the bottom half in sacks and quarterback hits allowed.

Top Survivor Picks to Avoid for Week 13

Chargers -4 vs. Buccaneers

Both of these teams are dangerous. Each loss for the Chargers has been by a possession. The Bucs are winners of three straight, their last two against the Chiefs and Seahawks, two playoff teams. The over under is 47.5 so this will be a shootout, coming down to the last drive.

Bears -3 vs. 49ers

Don't get cute trying to determine who will win the Toilet Bowl.