🖥 CYBER MONDAY - TAP TO SAVE 50% WITH CODE CYBER
X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

Change of Scenery: Four Pitchers on New Teams in 2016

Chrisjnelson at the English language Wikipedia [CC-BY-3.0 (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0)], via Wikimedia Commons

Tony Peters analyzes four pitchers as fantasy baseball sleepers - guys playing for new teams and how that impacts their fantasy outlook for the 2016 season.

Another off-season complete, another game of musical chairs. Quite a lot of pitching talent has changed uniforms during this time, so RotoBaller is here with an update on four of the bigger names to don new garb.

Editor's note: Be sure to also check out our 2016 fantasy baseball rankings dashboard. Our rankings assistant tool combines all our staff's ranks in one place. You can easily filter and export all sorts of rankings and tiers - mixed leagues, points leagues, AL/NL only, top prospects, dynasty ranks, keeper values, and more.

 

New Scene: What Does It Mean?

David Price, Red Sox (SP Rank: 7)

Old Team: Tigers/Blue Jays

David Price boasted a phenomenal 2015—and at the perfect time too—as he rode the season straight to a seven-year, $217-million contract with the Boston Red Sox. By sticking within the division where his career started and his 2015 season ended, Price can take advantage of that familiarity from a new perspective. Last year, he returned to the elite form that won him a Cy Young Award in 2012. While he will continue to be a third-tier ace, don't expect 2015 to become the new norm.

That might sound a bit negative, so allow me to clarify: Price is and will be a fantastic pitcher who has the talent to be a perennial Cy Young Award candidate. But prior to last year's ERA of 2.45, Price hadn't averaged lower than 3.00 since 2012—in fact, he averaged about 3.30 throughout that time period. Playing in the absolutely stacked AL East, there's nothing to suggest Price can keep his ERA under 3.00, so look for him to come in closer to his career 3.17 ERA against AL East opponents.

Price's teams last season, the Tigers and Blue Jays, ranked similarly defenses last year: all in the middle of the pack. Simply moving Hanley Ramirez, one of the worst defenders in baseball last season, to first base will help Boston provide the best defense it can behind Price. He'll still have the inept Pablo Sanavol at third base, but because he profiles more as a fly-ball pitcher, having an athletic outfield is far more important.

Any concerns about Price pitching at Fenway Park can be put to bed—he's a beast when pitching there. In 74 innings and 11 starts, Price is 6-1 with a 1.95 ERA, 0.94 WHIP and 60 strikeouts. Barring injury, Price is a lock for another season of more than 200 innings and strikeouts. While he could easily win 20 games, Boston's offensive inconsistencies last season make that far from a lock, another reason he looks at the elite starting pitching tier from the outside.

 

Johnny Cueto, Giants (SP Rank: 22)

Old Team: Reds/Royals

Johnny Cueto seemed like a lock to produce his typical above-average stats last season and cash in on the free agent market after, not unlike the previously mentioned Price. He was well on his way to accomplishing such a move, starting off 5-6 with a 2.62 ERA, 0.93 WHIP and 120 strikeouts on a Reds team that would go on to lose 96? games. Then, a mid-season trade to the Royals threw his whole game off, and the inevitable doubts over his short and long-term health began to cascade in from the press. Cueto's six-year, $130-million contract with the Giants is certainly lucrative, but had he continued his Cincinnati ways, it could have been larger. (That's what she said. 😉

What does that mean for his new team in San Francisco? If you don't believe the health concerns, it means the Giants managed to do what fantasy owners should hope they can replicate: they bought low on a high-return asset. The season-and-a-half prior to his Royal funk, Cueto dominated, winning 27 while carrying a K/9 over 8.0, a H/9 under 7 and an ERA well south of 3.00. This was on one of the worst teams in baseball, no less.

Now Cueto is on one of the best teams in the game, as well as having one of the most pitcher-friendly parks as his home field. Such an advantage won't be wasted on Cueto, as he outperforms expectations in 2016 and takes full advantage of both. Keep an eye out for his for his Cy Young Award challenge yet again.

 

Aroldis Chapman, Yankees (RP Rank: 4)

Old Team: Reds

Aroldis Chapman will be getting his first taste of a non-Reds life this May when he returns from suspension to close out games for the Yankees. Over the past six seasons, Chapman has developed into the game's measuring stick for closers. Last season was yet another display of his power when he saved 33 games with a 1.63 ERA, 1.14 WHIP and 116 strikeouts in only 66.1 innings.

The Yankees are using him as the primary head of their three-headed monster of a bullpen, which also includes last year's closer Andrew Miller, and setup man DB. This means more leads will reach Chapman—something that wasn't always true with the Reds. Trading one hitter-friendly ballpark for another will mean nothing to Chapman as his ludicrous 15.4 K/9 gets him out of almost every precarious situation he gets himself into. Even with his suspension, Chapman should have no problem recording at least 30 saves and striking out 100.

 

Ken Giles, Astros (RP Rank: 6)

Old Team: Phillies

Ken Giles has spent the past two seasons making a name for himself in the NL with a huge 11.7 K/9 and minuscule 1.56 ERA. After the Phillies traded closer Jonathan Palpelbon, Giles was given his first experience in the closer role. He ran away with it, saving 15 games in just over two months. The Astros, in need of a real closer with their rebuilding period over, went big (as Texans tend to do) and plucked Giles from a Phillies team not shopping their new young closer. The cost was huge on Houston's part, but fantasy owners will be happy they did.

As incredible as Giles has been so far in his career in the Majors, he has been slowly regressing in all the areas that have made him an elite reliever. His K/9 dropped from 12.61 to 11.19 while his BB/9 went up from 2.17 to 3.21, contributing to his ERA climbing up from 1.18 to 1.80. Consecutive seasons with a HR/9 under 0.30 have been key to his low ERA, and will continue be so if Giles is to keep his ERA under 2.00. Lucky for fantasy owners, ever since 2014 when he started the season by giving up zero home runs in 28.2 minor leagues innings, Giles has been able to suppress home runs with impressive consistency. With him having no real platoon splits to speak of and a new home park that favors pitchers, Giles should have no problem delivering for his fantasy owners.

 

MLB & Fantasy Baseball Chat Room

[iflychat_embed id="c-12" hide_user_list="yes" hide_popup_chat="no" height="400px"]

 




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Kyler Murray

Surgery Not on the Table for Kyler Murray
Duncan Robinson

Absent Against Atlanta
Marvin Harrison Jr.

in Danger of Missing Week 14?
Jalen Duren

Back in the Lineup on Monday Evening
Noah Clowney

Cleared to Play Versus Charlotte
Giannis Antetokounmpo

Active On Monday
Danila Yurov

Won't Play on Tuesday
Michael Porter Jr.

Back in Action on Monday
Sam Merrill

Unavailable Versus Pacers
David Pastrnak

to Remain Out Tuesday
Alexandre Sarr

Won't Play Versus Milwaukee
Adam Gaudette

Iffy for Monday
CFB

Kalani Sitake the Top Target for Penn State Coaching Job
Logan Cooley

a Game-Time Decision Monday
Josh Norris

Available Monday
Neal Pionk

Remains Out Monday
Lonzo Ball

Ruled Out on Monday
Jimmy Snuggerud

to Miss Six Weeks After Wrist Surgery
Justin Herbert

Having Hand Surgery on Monday
Steven Adams

Out Against Jazz
Kyler Murray

Cardinals Won't Open Kyler Murray's Practice Window This Week
Darius Garland

Unavailable Monday
Sauce Gardner

Not a Candidate to Go on Injured Reserve
Kristaps Porzingis

Out of Action Versus Pistons
Jayden Daniels

Not Cleared for Contact, Decision on Week 14 Status Delayed
Daniel Gafford

Sidelined Again on Monday
CFB

Josh Heupel Says He's Not a Candidate for Penn State Head Coach Job
Trey Hendrickson

Doubtful to Return in Week 14
Tee Higgins

Still in the Concussion Protocol
Drake London

"has a Chance" to Play in Week 14
J.J. McCarthy

in Line to Start in Week 14?
Aaron Jones Sr.

Not Dealing With Serious Shoulder Injury, Likely Day-to-Day
Sam Darnold

Dealing With Ankle Injury, "Should be Good" for Week 14
CFB

Will Stein, Brian Hartline the Top Candidates for Kentucky Job?
CFB

Nebraska Fires Defensive Coordinator John Butler After One Season
CFB

UCLA Expected to Hire Bob Chesney as Next Head Coach
Sauce Gardner

Officially Week-to-Week with Strained Calf
CFB

Lane Kiffin to Make $13 Million Salary, Ties Kirby Smart
CFB

Buster Faulkner, Joey Halzle Candidates for Florida Offensive Coordinator Job?
CFB

Kentucky Officially Fires Mark Stoops
Justin Herbert

Has Metacarpal Fracture in Left Hand
Amon-Ra St. Brown

Week 14 Availability Up in the Air
VEG

Carter Hart Expected to Make Golden Knights Debut Tuesday
Andre Drummond

Leaves Early, Status Now in Question
Pyotr Kochetkov

Remains Without Timeline For Return
Boone Jenner

Close to Returning
Tre Mann

Uncertain for Monday's Game Against Nets
Lian Bichsel

Exits With Injury Sunday
Deandre Ayton

Leaves Game With Knee Soreness
Petr Mrazek

Injured in Sunday's Loss
Adam Fox

Placed on Long-Term Injured Reserve
Brandon Williams

Questionable With Adductor Issue
P.J. Washington

Uncertain For Monday's Contest
Daniel Gafford

Expected To Miss Second Straight Game
Zach Ertz

Leads Washington in Receiving in Overtime Loss
James Cook

Handles Career-High 32 Carries for 144 Yards in Win
Egor Demin

Available Against Hornets
Justin Herbert

Planning to Play Through Broken Bone in Left Hand in Week 14
Terance Mann

in Danger of Missing Monday's Game
Sauce Gardner

Likely to Miss a "Couple of Weeks" With Calf Strain
Noah Clowney

Considered Probable for Monday
Brock Bowers

Records Two Touchdown Grabs in Week 13
Justin Herbert

Suffers Fractured Hand in Week 13, Will Have Surgery
CFB

Lane Kiffin to be Introduced as LSU's Next Head Coach on Monday
CFB

Florida Poised to Land Jon Sumrall as Next Head Coach
CFB

Alex Golesh Taking Over Auburn Head-Coaching Job
CFB

Arkansas Expected to Hire Ryan Silverfield as Next Head Coach
Joel Hofer

Shuts Out Mammoth
Owen Tippett

Amasses Three Points in Saturday's Win
Stuart Skinner

Bounces Back With Shutout
Brock Nelson

Notches Four Points in Big Win
Oliver Ekman-Larsson

Sustains Upper-Body Injury
Logan Cooley

Hurt in Saturday's Loss
Warren Foegele

Not Ready to Return Saturday
Simon Benoit

Won't Play Saturday
Zack Wheeler

Likely to Return in May
Ryan Helsley

Agrees to Two-Year Deal With Orioles
Dylan Cease

Agrees With Blue Jays on Seven-Year, $210 Million Deal
Anthony Rendon

Angels Could Buy Out Final Year of Anthony Rendon's Contract
Josh Hader

Says his Shoulder is "Back to Normal"
Ketel Marte

Diamondbacks "Actively Listening" on Ketel Marte

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP