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Jamie's DraftKings NFL DFS Divisional Weekend picks, value plays, DFS sleepers for the main slate. His top DK plays and value picks for daily fantasy football lineups.
What a first round! Is there any way this weekend can top what we saw out of last week's six-gamer? The odds are in, as the Divisional Round is widely viewed as the best full weekend of football the NFL offers. We're looking at a solid mix of veterans and youth showcasing this weekend, so let's get to the DFS picks.
Ownerships are not flooding to any one or two players right now, which could make for VERY interesting lineup builds. With only four games, this will probably be the last week I recommend playing cash contests, although further articles will still tailor to both cash and GPP. Our best discussion is done in our RotoBaller Discord channel.
Be sure to jump into our RotoBaller Discord! We have so many different channels devoted to whatever you're playing in fantasy football. We also have lots of great NFL DFS articles and NFL DFS tools to help you win MORE this season! Good luck with your DraftKings DFS lineups -- let's dominate this Divisional Weekend slate together!
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DraftKings Quarterbacks - Divisional Weekend DFS Picks
TOP PLAY
Matthew Stafford, LAR @ CHI ($6,600)
The QB ownership is completely flat for this Divisional Round, so you can pick and choose the best one that fits your lineup. Matthew Stafford would be a lot easier to trust at home rather than on the road in frigid Chicago, but the likely MVP is coming off a 42-pass effort against Carolina, and they'll need him and his WRs again.
Stafford now has multiple TD passes in 12 straight contests, posting three or more in eight of them. The Bears defense is strong at home, but they've allowed the fourth-most yards per play, along with the third-most FPPG to opposing QBs. Stafford is a high-floor cash play, and Rams stacks look to have upside to the moon.
"It's so much fun watching you play, man." - Andy Dalton to Matthew Stafford ❤️@insidetheNFL NFL Playoffs Mic'd Up on X pic.twitter.com/OrEatTwVfR
— NFL (@NFL) January 12, 2026
VALUE PLAY
Bo Nix, DEN vs. BUF ($5,800)
The cheap end of QBs is a little more adventurous. This is the playoffs, after all, and opposing defenses are generally stout. Bo Nix's game logs are all over the place, and Buffalo sells out to stop passing games, so at face value, this looks like a bad spot for Nix. His upside relative to price tag, however, is far too cheap to ignore.
The one good thing going for Nix is that the Bills defense is severely banged up heading into this matchup, and Denver's offense will be extremely rested. Nix is coming off an excellent sophomore season where he had over a combined 4,200 passing and rushing yards.
Other options - Josh Allen, Sam Darnold
DraftKings Running Backs - Divisional Weekend DFS Picks
TOP PLAY
Christian McCaffrey, SF @ SEA ($8,800)
All right, it's time for the Christian McCaffrey conversation. When CMC met these Seahawks in Week 18, they stuffed him for 23 yards on eight carries (2.9 YPC). This was no fluke, either, as the Seattle run defense has been stymying elite backs all season. So, why play McCaffrey?
Two tuddies and over 100 total yards for CMC 🙌 pic.twitter.com/1jlsQrP7wa
— NFL (@NFL) January 12, 2026
Looking at the box score, even with San Francisco unable to get the running game going, McCaffrey was STILL able to somewhat salvage his day with six catches on seven targets. The receiving role alone makes him worth every penny of his $8,800 price tag, and he had an 88% snap share against the Eagles last week. George Kittle's absence will only elevate McCaffrey's receiving role more, making him arguably the top option at any position this week.
VALUE PLAY
RJ Harvey, DEN vs. BUF ($6,200)
RJ Harvey should be considered a staple of cash games, regardless of whether you utilize the Denver passing game or not. The rookie has fresh legs down the stretch, and Denver isn't hesitant to give him the full workload (104 touches over the Broncos' final six games).
Buffalo has been a run-funnel defense all season long, and its ineptitude extended into the playoffs as well, as Jacksonville cooked it for 8.1 YPC. Harvey is also adept in the passing game and has 26 targets over the last six weeks.
Other options - James Cook III, Kenneth Walker III, Zach Charbonnet
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DraftKings Wide Receivers - Divisional Weekend DFS Picks
TOP PLAY
Puka Nacua, LAR @ CHI ($9,000)
Pay up for Puka Nacua or save $500 for Jaxon Smith-Njigba? This price point dilemma is going to be a major one for DFS players this weekend, but we're going strictly off the matchup alone and doling out the extra money for Nacua in cash.
Nacua had 18 targets last week, and that's with a healthy Davante Adams also garnering 13 himself. Adams' red-zone usage this year will always exist as an upside-killer for Nacua, but the latter has now scored seven TDs over his last six games. He has double-digit targets in six straight, and the Bears have allowed the second-most FPPG to WRs.
VALUE PLAY
Courtland Sutton, DEN vs. BUF ($5,900)
Apparently, we're all in on Denver here (even though I think the Bills are going to outright win the game). Courtland Sutton's matchup checks no boxes on the confidence meter, but his $5,900 price tag is absurd for a player who had 124 targets, with 19 of them coming in the red zone.
Prior to Sutton sitting for most of Week 18, he had double-digit targets in the previous four games. If Buffalo's offense is working and Denver is forced to throw, even an inefficient game from Sutton should be enough to pay off such a meager price tag. He doesn't require Nix in the same lineup to hit his ceiling, either.
Other options - Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Davante Adams, Christian Kirk
DraftKings Tight Ends - Divisional Weekend DFS Picks
TOP PLAY
Colston Loveland, CHI vs. LAR ($5,500)
It was just seven days ago that I had Colston Loveland as the top value TE, and now look at him. Loveland has not only ascended to TE1 status, but we can officially anoint him a STUD TE1. Loveland has 38 targets over the last three weeks and has proved to be Caleb Williams' top receiving option at a perfect time for the Bears.
It all comes back to Colston Loveland ❤️ pic.twitter.com/WizjkUoGpP
— NFL (@NFL) January 11, 2026
Rome Odunze and DJ Moore are both carrying questionable tags. Their potential absences would vault Loveland's stock even higher, but honestly, it doesn't even matter. He's the alpha in the Bears' passing game now, and the Rams are not a scary matchup for TE defense.
VALUE PLAY
Jake Tonges, SF @ SEA ($3,400)
It was really unfortunate to see Kittle go down with a torn Achilles in the 49ers' win over Philly, but DFS players should be pouncing all over the value that is Jake Tonges. In the five full games Kittle missed earlier in the year, Tonges amassed 31 targets and scored three times.
Seattle's defense has been stout on almost all fronts this year, but the one chink in the armor has come against TEs. Over the year, the Seahawks have allowed the fourth-most yards and the 10th-most FPPG to the position, giving Tonges legitimate upside at a punt cost.
Other options - Dalton Kincaid, Dalton Schultz
DraftKings D/ST - Divisional Weekend DFS Picks
Top Three Defenses For Cash Games
- Seattle Seahawks ($3,200)
- San Francisco 49ers ($2,200)
- Denver Broncos ($2,800)
Thanks for reading, and good luck in your contests this weekend!
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