Thunder Dan's NFL Betting Picks for Week 17: Spreads, Totals, Parlays, and Teasers

Dan Palyo's top NFL betting picks and best bets for Week 17 of the 2022 season. His favorite NFL betting picks for player spreads, money lines, parlays, teasers, and game totals.

Week 17, the penultimate week of the 2022 NFL season, is upon us and it's time to look at which games we want to wager on this week!

Whether you like to bet game totals, sides, or player props, I have something in here for you, and try to cover a little bit of everything! This year, I started my own free sports betting newsletter, and the good people here at RotoBaller are allowing me to share my picks and data with you here in this space! You can access the free substack here and sign up for daily emails in addition to viewing the picks daily here on the RotoBaller website.

In this article, I'll be providing my favorite NFL betting picks for Week 17 of the 2022 NFL season. The odds on these bets vary from book to book and are constantly changing. I primarily use FanDuel and DraftKings sportsbooks, but I would strongly encourage you to shop for the best odds at whatever books you use daily.

Thunder Dan's Best Bets: 2022 NFL Season

• Last Week: 2-3
• Season ATS: 25-28
• Season O/U: 9-19
• Season Overall: 34-47

NFL Betting Picks: Spreads/MoneyLine

SEA ML (+110 DK)

Okay, Seattle you have one last chance! They failed to cover for us last week as the offense really struggled to get going until much too late in the game. They face a tough Jets defense this week, but they are at home where the 12th man gives them a pretty solid advantage. Tyler Lockett could return for this one and this just feels like a game that Seattle wins because they need to in order to make a run at the last few playoff spots.

Mike White is back under center for the Jets, which upgrades their offense for sure, but I’m not sure they should be favored here on the road. These teams are pretty evenly matched, so I will take the better odds here and I love backing a home underdog.

PHI -6.5 (-110)

Jalen Hurts has not been ruled out of this game yet, and if he plays then it elevates the entire team quite a bit. Even if Hurts sits, you have to be impressed with how Minshew led this offense last week (minus the turnovers) and they really should have beaten Dallas in that game - they beat themselves.

The Saints are not pushovers, but they’re not good either on either side of the ball. I think Philly takes care of business and locks up that top seed this week so they can rest going into the bye. I have the Eagles by 10 here, so laying 6.5 doesn’t seem that bad.

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MIN +3.5 (-115)

I am sure a lot of people are not comfortable backing the Vikings considering they’re only 6-8-1 ATS and have let inferior teams hang around all year. But this line does feel awfully disrespectful given that Minnesota hammered the Pack earlier this season and is a 12-win team with one of the best offenses in football.

I get the Packers are playing better and have an outside shot at the playoffs, but I don’t think they’re good enough to handle this Minnesota team. I like the Vikings to win, but the safest bet here is just grabbing the points since we get the extra half-point, too.

BUF -1 (-110)

This should be a fun one to watch. Is it an AFC Championship preview perhaps? I guess the Chiefs will have something to say about that, but both of these teams already beat KC.

As much as I love what the Bengals are doing this year, this is still Josh Allen and the freaking Buffalo Bills, man. They’re good…really good, and there’s a lot to play for here as far as locking up the home field and a bye in the first round. I think the Bills are a better all-around team and they pull out of a close win on the road here.

NFL Betting Picks: Totals

NO TOTALS THIS WEEK

NFL Betting Picks: Teasers and Parlays

You know the rules here, more teams = more risk. Never hesitate to leave a team out of a parlay that you don’t feel good about.

4-TEAM ML FAVORITES PARLAY: PHI/SF/LAC/KC (+157 DK)

3-TEAM 6-POINT TEASER: SEA/PIT/MIN (+160 DK)

That takes the spreads to SEA +8, PIT +8.5, and MIN +8.5

I hope you find my data and picks helpful and profitable! Thanks for checking out my picks and content here at RotoBaller!

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