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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Miami Dolphins, another article in our weekly series of free NFL betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free NFL betting breakdown article is for Sunday, October 23rd, 2022.
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Today's Betting Overview - Steelers @ Dolphins
The Steelers take on the Dolphins on Sunday, October 23rd at Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens. RotoBaller provides free handicapping picks and odds for all NFL games throughout the 2022 season.
- Matchup: Pittsburgh Steelers (2-4) vs. Miami Dolphins (3-3)
- Date: Sunday, October 23rd, 2022
- Time: 8:20 PM ET
- Venue: Hard Rock Stadium
Today's NFL Sportsbook Odds - Steelers @ Dolphins
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Pittsburgh Steelers - NFL Betting Analysis
This week, the Steelers will look to keep things rolling, after picking up a non-conference win over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (20-18). In terms of betting, Pittsburgh picked up an ATS win, as they were the 9.5 point underdogs. With an over-under betting line of 46, the two teams fell below that figure as they combined for 38. Despite being the 9.5 point underdogs heading into the game, the Steelers held a 1 point lead heading into the 4th quarter. Through 6 games, the Steelers have an ATS record of 2-3-1. So far, they have an over-under record of 2-4. This week's betting total of 44.5 is right in line with their previous games.
As the Steelers prepare to take on Miami, they are ranked 30th in points per game at 16.17. Look for the team to put together a strong offensive performance vs a Dolphins defense giving up 26 points per game. Although the Steelers come into the game ranked just 25th in pass yards per game, they will benefit from facing a Miami secondary that is vulnerable through the air. We expect Pittsburgh to have an above average performance in the passing attack. On the ground, Pittsburgh figure to have their fair share of problems as they come into the game as the 28th ranked team in rush yards per game. In addition, they are facing a defense that has done a good job stopping the run.
Miami Dolphins - NFL Betting Analysis
Heading into week 7, the Dolphins will look to get back in the win column, as they are coming off a 24-16 loss to the Minnesota Vikings. Miami entered the game as 3.5 point underdogs on the spread. With an over-under betting line of 45, the two teams fell below that figure as they combined for 40. The Dolphins were not able to make a comeback in last week's game, as they trailed Minnesota by a score of 10-3 heading into the final quarter. Through 6 games, the Dolphins have an ATS record of 3-3. So far, they have an over-under record of 2-4. This week's betting total of 44.5 is slightly lower than the line in their previous games.
As the Dolphins prepare to take on Pittsburgh, they are ranked 17th in points per game at 21.83. Despite, Miami coming into the game with a good matchup on offense, our projections show that the team could be in line for a tough game in terms of scoring. Throughout the game, Miami should be able to move the ball through the air, as they are the 2nd ranked team in terms of passing yards. In addition, they are facing off against a defense that has been vulnerable in the secondary. On the ground, our projections show that the Dolphins' offense will have its problems. Even though they have a decent matchup against a Pittsburgh, look Miami to come up with fewer rush yards than their season average of 81.17.
Today's NFL Betting Pick - Steelers vs. Dolphins
Over the last 5 matchups between Pittsburgh and Miami, the Dolphins have won 3 of the last 5 games. The two teams have combined to average 47.0 points per game in their last 5 meetings. Pittsburgh and Miami did not play each other in the 2021-2022 regular season.
The Miami Dolphins have performed well vs the spread in recent games, going 4-1-0. The Steelers offense has averaged 24.6 points per game over the 5 most recent meetings with Miami, compared to the Dolphins at 22.4.
Through their 3 most recent regular season matchups, the Steelers have gone 1-2. In a similar fashion, the team's record vs the spread in these games was just 1-2. Their over-under record in this span was 1-2.
Although Pittsburgh has a straight up record of 1-2 in their last 3 road games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 1-2. The team averaged 14.33 points per game in these games.
Over their last 3 regular season games, the Dolphins have gone 0-3 straight up. Like their straight up record, Miami struggled vs the spread, going 0-3. Over these games, they put together an over-under record of 1-2.
In their last 3 home games, Miami has averaged 19.0 points per game while allowing 16.67. The team's record in this stretch was 2-1 while going 2-1.
Recommended ATS Betting Pick: Dolphins -7.0
Recommended OU Betting Pick: Over 44.5
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