Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!

Lost password? [X]

Receive free daily analysis:


Already have an account? Log in here.


Forgot Password


Week 4 Outfield Waiver Wire Targets

May is nearly upon us, Rotoballers, and your chance to pick up the best waiver wire targets is becoming thinner by the day. Outfield continues to be the most plentiful and still most competitive group to identify and grab the best available for the long haul. With so many spots to fill, finding the true asset among the chaff will put fantasy owners in a sweet spot as the season progresses.

As always, Rotoballer is looking for adds for both shallow and deep leagues, but don't let the deep targets pass you by if you're in a 10 or 12-teamer. A productive player is a productive player, regardless of their name, draft position, or, in one specific case, previous history. Names don't matter, only numbers.

With that said, here are the outfielders with numbers that made us double take over the last week. If you've got the roster space and good waiver position, any of these guys would make fine additions for your shallow or deep league. Don't get comfortable, don't stop adding, and always look for that baller move edge. Here are the week 4 outfield waiver wire targets.

Editor's Note: Get any full-season MLB Premium Pass for 50% off, with exclusive access to our season-long articles, 15 in-season lineup tools and over 200 days of expert DFS research/tools. Sign Up Now!


Week 4 Outfield Waiver Wire Targets

Brandon Belt (OF/1B, SF) - 47% owned

Don't say we didn't warn you. After two straight weeks on this column, Belt blew up. Over the last week, the first baseman knocked 4 home runs, 6 runs batted in, 5 runs, and a .368 average on just 19 at-bats. For good measure, he even produced the longest at-bat in major league history of 21 pitches! While that epic plate appearance didn't actually yield a hit, it's actually more telling for his season-long performance than the pop produced over the last week.

Belt is seeing the ball extremely well, and making great contact when he's at the plate. And, as we've mentioned in the past, when he connects with the ball, it's coming off the bat harder than it has in his entire career. Belt has always been a wildly underrated player due to the lack of counting stats, but this may be the year that this is put to rest. Still available in more than half of fantasy leagues, if he's out there, don't wait.


Mallex Smith (OF, TB) - 32% owned

Mallex Smith, the diminutive Rays center fielder, is still raking. Over the last week, Smith has hit 7-for-21 with four more runs and another steal. He hits for almost zero power, but remains a solid three-category producer. His value will be capped as the season wears on due to the lack of pop in the Rays lineup, but he just keeps hitting. It's not a totally empty average, either, as Smith has true 80-grade speed and can steal 30 bags easily. He's this generation's Rajai Davis, and he's going to be getting all the run at center with Kevin Keirmaier on the mend and the Rays tanking like it's their job.


Jackie Bradley Jr. (OF, BOS) - 28% owned

Boston's jack-of-all-trades outfielder has had a sub par 2018 thus far, but over the last week has shown signs of putting it all together. While his season line of .224/.316/.373 leaves a lot to be desired, he hit .300 with five runs batted in and his first two home runs on the year. His batting average on balls in play sits at a minuscule .241, more than 60 points below his career average. His batting line is bound to recover as that BABIP normalizes.

Bradley is hitting for solid contact and, at this point, below average pop. He's seeing the ball well and has improved over 2017, as 73.2% of his cuts are coming against pitches inside the zone. He's also making better contact on those pitches, to the tune of a career-best 83.7%. No one is expecting a rebound to his 2016 All-Star campaign level, but there's potential that Bradley's luck turns around and he becomes a solid contributor across the board while not hurting your average or strikeout metrics.


David Dahl (OF, COL) - 26% owned

A preseason favorite of mine, Dahl has been recalled to get run in left field in Colorado. At one time, Dahl was mentioned among the most exciting prospects in baseball, but a run of bad luck on the injury front has reduced the shine on the talented outfielder. Now, he returns to the Rockies hoping to recapture the magic that led to a .315/.359/.500 line across 237 at-bats in 2016.

No one really knows what Dahl will be while taking his first major league cuts after a disastrous rib injury cost him most of 2017. There's a real chance that the rib issue, plus a nasty stomach bug that made him lose 10 pounds, keep him from getting any power on his swing early. Dahl has also had some swing-and-miss to his game, and has been fairly dependent on a strong BABIP for that shiny .315 average. But for all of the potential faults, Dahl represents one of the most physically talented young players in baseball, with a speed and power combo that fantasy owners drool over. A 20/20 season is very realistic, with a lot of room to go beyond if his pop returns sooner. This will be the last chance owners have to jump on him, especially if he plays well.


Jason Heyward (OF, CHC) - 5% owned

Ok, ok, ok, I realize this one is a little nauseating. Many of us, including numerous Rotoballer staffers, have been badly burned by the once highly regarded prospect. And on that note, does anyone remember the level of hype surrounding Heyward's promotion in 2010? He was the next great superstar, in the same vein as guys like Ken Griffey Jr. A dynamo who could field with the best ever while providing elite power, 20-steal speed, and average near .300. He was a wunderkind. Unfortunately, the middle-of-the-order power never fully developed, the hit tool didn't completely translate, and Heyward has actually been more valuable for his glove than his bat. And, after a disastrous 2017 that saw the 28-year-old rack up 11 home runs and just 4 steals with a line of .259/.326/.389 across 481 at-bats. Both fantasy owners and the Chicago Cubs have found Heyward disappointing, to say the least.

Now, fast forward to three weeks into 2018, and (deep breath) Heyward looks pretty good. Across 72 at-bats, the outfielder has produced a line of .262/.352/.410 with a pair of homers, no steals, thirteen runs scored, and fourteen runs batted in. These numbers may seem a tad pedestrian, but there's a surprising amount of positive signs. For one, Heyward is striking out and walking at the exact same rate, 11.1% of his at-bats. Secondly, and take this with a grain of salt as these numbers don't tend to normalize until about 100 to 120 at-bats, Heyward is actually connecting with the third-highest hard hit percentage of his career. Finally, and this is the most interesting metric, Heyward is hitting fly-balls on a whopping 48.1% of contact, more than 16% over his career rate. So, to summarize, the Cub is making harder contact, better contact, and putting those balls in the air at a rate we've never seen from him. Luckily for fantasy owners, it'll no longer take a middle round pick to wait and see.


More Waiver Wire Pickups and Streamers

More Recent Articles


NFL Survivor Pool Picks (Week 11) - Targets and Avoids

Doomsday finally arrived. The Falcons domination of the Saints eliminated the majority of remaining entrants in survivor pools. If you avoided the Saints, odds are you took the Colts in the late game. The Dolphins of course beat them. More upsets were the Titans over the Chiefs, Steelers over Rams, and Seahawks over 49ers. The... Read More

Quarterback Leaderboards At Midseason - NFL Next Gen Stats

We've consumed our first "double-digit week" set of games. That means we've entered the final part of the season and, in fact, the fantasy football playoffs are closer than you may realize. There are just three more weeks to go until we hit Week 14 and celebrate our presence in the run for the chip,... Read More

Fantasy Football Disaster Recovery: Cooper Kupp

Welcome to Disaster Recovery, where each week I'll examine why your studs played like duds. This isn't a place to find out why you should have sat a player for somebody else on your bench. Disaster Recovery is here to examine the guys who you didn't think twice about starting and to help you decide if you should... Read More

The Tape Tells All - Christian Kirk Fantasy Analysis

Welcome to another edition of "The Tape Tells All," where I break down some film of an NFL's player performance and try to draw some fantasy football conclusions from that film. This week, I'm looking at Arizona Cardinals wide receiver Christian Kirk, who broke out in Week 10, catching three touchdowns. Kirk seems to have... Read More

Fantasy Football Risers and Fallers - Darius Slayton, Christian Kirk, Kareem Hunt

Whether due to their own play, the play of others, or injuries, players' stock increases and decreases on a weekly basis. Perhaps more than any other, the NFL is a league that experiences ups and downs at a rapid pace. With only 16 games, there’s little room for error and seemingly endless opportunities for improvement.... Read More

FAAB Bidding - Week 11 Waiver Wire Targets

Assisting our famous waiver wire pickups list, and our weekly waiver wire columns by position, this column focuses on suggested waiver wire bidding percentages for fantasy football owners in leagues using a Free Agent Acquisition Budget (FAAB). As a caveat, these prices do not by any means indicate how much these free agent players will... Read More

Week 11 Waiver Wire Pickups & Adds

It's crunch time, with precious few games left before the fantasy regular season ends. There aren't many new names emerging on the waiver wire at this juncture but the RB situations in Atlanta and Detroit bear watching, while the Jets passing game has shown signs of life. No, really. Each week, we will advise you... Read More

Deeper League Free Agent Pickups for Week 11

Rotoballers, if you're not active on the waiver wire this time of year, there are only two reasonable explanations: 1) You're sitting at 3-7 (or worse) and don't find it enjoyable to play spoiler to your league mates, or 2) You're 8-2 (or better) and have nothing but matchup-proof studs on your starting lineup and... Read More

Week 11 Defense (DEF) Streamers and Starts - 2019 Fantasy Tiers, Rankings

Below are RotoBaller's Week 11 defense tiers and rankings, or which defenses to stream, start and target off the waiver wire for Week 11 of the NFL and fantasy football season. In case you missed it, this is our seventh year now writing this weekly column. Our weekly tiered defense rankings are a guide to making waiver... Read More

Week 11 Kicker Streamers and Starts - 2019 Fantasy Tiers, Rankings

It's Week 11, and we're getting closer and closer to the fantasy football playoffs. The consistent options are getting more and more clear, especially at the kicking position. We're also going to start dealing with everyone's favorite factor, which is inclement weather, especially up north. The margin for error in these weeks is slim, and... Read More

Week 10 Surprises? We Must Overreact Immediately!

In Week 10, Christian Kirk, Darius Slayton, Tyreek Hill, and Michael Thomas all had beatable cornerback matchups and finished as the top-four wide receivers in PPR scoring. At running back, Derrick Henry exploited a poor Chiefs run defense and rumbled for 188 yards and two touchdowns, finishing as the No. 1 running back on the week. Ronald... Read More

The Cut List - Players on the Chopping Block (Week 11)

This is your weekly list of players to drop. I will do my best to limit this list to injured players and players you might consider holding. If you roster pure handcuffs or backups, obviously you can let them go at any time. The players on this list will, ideally, be guys that aren't clearly... Read More

Running Back Waiver Wire Pickups - Week 11

The regular season continues to advance at a relentless pace as we have now entered the planning process for Week 11. Some of you are in the favorable position of only needing slight modifications to rosters that are destined to enter the fantasy playoffs. But many of you are still searching for the most effective... Read More

Wide Receiver Waiver Wire Pickups - Week 11

Did you survive the terrible, no good, very bad six-team bye week? If so, welcome to the other side, when roster building gets slightly easier going forward. If not, I'm sorry, but you still have time to get things back on the right path. Let's talk about some wide receivers who might be able to... Read More

Week 11 Tight End Waiver Wire Picks and Streamers

If your fantasy football squad is still in the playoff hunt heading into Week 11, then congratulations on not being the Pat Shurmur or Freddie Kitchens of your league. Fantasy football players will have to live without New York’s Evan Engram, Green Bay’s Jimmy Graham and Tennessee’s Jonnu Smith as their teams are on bye.... Read More