Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!

Lost password? [X]

Receive free daily analysis:

NFL    NBA    MLB

Already have an account? Log in here.

[X]

Forgot Password


[X]

Getting Into Contention - Preparing For the Stretch Run


While some teams are in full rebuild mode, other teams are consolidating and improving for the big push at the end of the season. Now is the perfect time to take advantage of a fire sale and acquire some useful players. Use your assets to contend now by managing your draft picks and minor league players smartly. While you don’t want to sell the entire future for a small chance, it also isn't wise to horde your stockpile and let opportunities pass you by. The 2018 season is not over so let’s make the right moves to get you over the tipping point and into contention.

Improving your team for the stretch run is very important and can be done in a couple of ways. You either find gems on the waiver wire or trade for players that have fallen from grace enough to give you a buying opportunity. In this article, we will discuss players with an impact that can be acquired to improve your team’s ability to contend for the top spot. Also, look to our waiver wire articles to find players on hot streaks, whose performance can help cover any categorical holes.

In the previous two articles, we identified players that dynasty rebuilders will be selling.  Part 1: Rebuilding Off The Waiver Wire/Part 2: Rebuilding Using Veterans To Your Advantage. In addition to the players suggested below, peruse these articles to identify other players that can help you down the stretch.

Editor's Note: Get any full-season MLB Premium Pass for 50% off, with exclusive access to our season-long articles, 15 in-season lineup tools and over 200 days of expert DFS research/tools. Sign Up Now!

 

Get Off The Bubble (Players To Buy)

Daniel Murphy (1B/2B, WAS)

Murphy had a .322 batting average with 23 HR and 93 RBI in 2017. Despite that all-star season, he might be obtainable from a discouraged owner. He missed 63 games to start 2018, recovering from knee surgery he had in October 2017. When he returned in mid-June, Murphy struggled and hit .200 in 52 plate appearances. He bounced back to hit .347 in July. Murphy now has four homers, 23 RBI, and .280 AVG In 127 plate appearances. Even at 33 years old, Murphy continues to crush righties with a .303 average. He still has work to do to raise his batting average against lefties (.206) closer to his career average of .279. Murphy has yet to start driving the ball like he normally does with a hard-hit rate at a meager 16.8%. Since returning from the injury, he has geared his approach more toward contact (90.8% ) with a 4.4% swinging strikes and an excellent strikeout rate of 8.9%. He continues to be reliable in high leverage situation, hitting .333 with 10 RBI. Murphy has a demonstrated track record of superior performance. Bet on that and acquire him so he can help your situation, either competing for a title in head-to-head leagues or moving up the roto standings.

Rougned Odor (2B, TEX)

Odor is batting .271 with 14 homers, 44 RBI, and nine stolen bases. The numbers look mediocre, but what they do not tell you is the hard work Odor had to put in to get them to this level. He had a rough start to the season, hitting only .239 in the first half. However, Odor has turned into a beast, hitting .377 with eight homers and 20 RBI in the second half already. He seems to have left his early season troubles behind and it is likely his fantasy owners have taken notice so a buy-low opportunity won't be available. However, with the rollercoaster performances of Odor, it shouldn't be too expensive.

As with most hitters, Odor enjoys the hitter-friendly confines of Globe Life Park with a .298 average at home compared to a .239 on the road. He is so comfortable at home that he hits the ball harder there as well (50.1%). Additionally, Odor will probably not get much credit for his improved plate discipline this year, which is made even more impressive considering his early season struggles. He has increased his walk rate to 8.5%, up from 4.9% in 2017. Odor has reduced his swinging strikes to 10.4% and he is chasing fewer pitches outside the zone (35.7%). Barring some explosive increase in performance, don’t expect Odor to hit 30 homers for his third consecutive season though. There are 20 home games left for the Rangers, providing plenty of opportunities for Odor to increase the productivity of your roster even if you're unable to get him at an extremely discounted rate.

Chris Archer (SP, PIT)

Chris Archer is having another disappointing season and one that makes some wonder what he displayed to make people think he was an ace. Well, everything may not be pretty, but I will tell you exactly why you should look to acquire Archer. This season, he is 3-5 in 18 games with an underwhelming ERA of 4.49. The positive is that his fielding independent pitching (FIP) sits at 3.76. Archer is having real issues against left-handed hitters with a .291 batting average allowed compared to his career average of .242. Righties, on the other hand, are hitting .262 against Archer this year. Also, his BB/9 remains elevated at 3.09 and he is allowing a 40.3% hard-hit rate.

Even with all his stumbles, Archer has consistently provided big innings and even bigger strikeouts. His 9.69 K/9 isn't where it normally sits but it has been improving the last couple of months, with an 11.90 K/9 in July. Archer's strikeout rate will likely continue to increase now that he is in the National League and gets to face a pitcher spot instead of the DH. Archer has other stats that point toward the positive; he has a career-high 13.7% swinging strikes and is getting hitters to chase outside the strike zone quite frequently (32.4%).

Archer's substandard performance earlier this year likely represented a point of frustration with his owners and an opportunity to buy. The trade to the Pirates likely brought awareness and lifted the hopes and expectations of some managers. His performance in his debut soured some of those expectations to create another buying opportunity for you. With that in mind, send an offer to find out the price.

Robbie Ray (SP, ARI)

Robbie Ray has not been the dynamite ace-to-be he was in 2017 when he dominated opponents and ended up 15-5 with 2.89 ERA and 218 strikeouts. In 2018, he is 3-2 in 14 starts with a 4.92 ERA. Even the humidor could not work its magic for Ray; he has been better on the road (2.57 ERA) than he has at home (7.18 ERA). Ray also has 95 strikeouts in 71 innings. The strikeouts (11.99 K/9) are always a benefit of owning Ray, but this year it is accompanied by a terrible 4.67 BB/9. Another concern is he is also allowing more contact than last year, both inside (85%) and outside (51.1%) the zone.

Ray has made some improvements as the season progressed. He has a 43.9% hard-hit rate on the season but has lowered it in the second half (37.7%) compared to the first half (47.3%). Even his first pitch strikes (62.3%) are an increase from 2017. Also, Ray has been deadly against same-sided hitters, allowing only a .136 batting average against left-handed hitters. However, righties are batting .282 against him.

Similar to Archer, Ray provides plenty of strikeouts but currently is issuing too many walks. The disappointing numbers that Ray has put up give an opportunity to buy at a discounted rate. There is no doubt that he can help guide your team to success.

Yu Darvish (SP, CHC)

Let's be upfront about Darvish. He is working his way back from injury and is feeling more confident. But, Darvish is reserved more for the manager that is already near the top and is willing to take a risk that could pay off exponentially. Yu Darvish just signed a six-year, 126 million dollar contract and the first year has been filled with injuries and uncharacteristic performance, which is not a good sign for Cubs fans. Fortunately enough, the fantasy community doesn't worry about contracts in most leagues, just the performance. Darvish has been on the disabled list since 23 May and is currently recovering from a right elbow impingement. He is already throwing bullpen sessions and if he doesn't have any issues, should return soon.

When he has been on the mound this season, it hasn't been what we always expect from Darvish. He has a record of 1-3 in eight starts with a 4.95 ERA. If you look at his FIP (4.85), you won't find promising signs either. Darvish is having a mediocre season and when we look at the underlying numbers we can clearly see some of the items that are causing problems. He had success against right-handers; they are batting .192 against him. However, Darvish was worse against left-handed batters (.273). Even his BB/9 (4.73) is abnormal for Darvish. The hope is that his subpar season is a result of the injury. Once that is rectified, Darvish can return to provide a serious jolt to your fantasy roster.

 

More Fantasy Baseball Trade Advice




More Recent Articles

 

Week 15 Tight End Waiver Wire Picks and Streamers

If your fantasy football season is over, either because you did not make your league’s playoffs or because you have had enough of failing in DFS contests, then this column is not for you. Congratulations if you HAVE qualified for your fantasy league’s playoffs! To reach the postseason you must have received some decent play... Read More


Wide Receiver Waiver Wire Pickups - Week 15

Week 15 is upon us, which means that even the holdovers who play in leagues with four team playoffs and no byes are now in fantasy playoff mode. This is it: the home stretch. Are there any wide receivers left on the waiver wire who can help you in the playoffs? Let's look at some... Read More


Quarterback Waiver Wire Pickups and Streamers - Week 15

The first week of the fantasy playoffs in almost in the books, and if you're fortunate enough to have advanced then it's already time to start thinking about Week 15 lineups, especially for those who stream quarterbacks. Luckily, there are plenty of viable options available as eliminated owners have stopped making moves, and if you... Read More


Week 15 Waiver Wire Pickups & Adds

You have to love fantasy football. You have to, otherwise you would have given up by now. In a week that most likely represented the first matchup of the fantasy playoffs or a must-win in some form for the vast majority of players, we were treated to the following: Alvin Kamara netting three fantasy points,... Read More


Waiver Wire Express - Week 15 Lightning Round

An injury-laden Week 14 decided many matchups, with several big names going down in a Red Wedding-esque affair. Not only was Josh Jacobs was a late inactive, but Jared Cook, Devante Parker, Albert Wilson all left with concussions, Mike Evans pulled up with a hamstring injury, Calvin Ridley and Ryan Griffin hurt their ankles, Derrius... Read More


Fantasy Football News and Injuries - Running Updates

Below is a quick-hit list of running notes on relevant injuries and player news, including pre-game reports and live in-game updates. Stay tuned for updates all throughout the week and on Sunday morning game day:   Week 14 Josh Jacobs (shoulder) has officially been ruled out. Jared Cook has been ruled out of the game after... Read More


Week 14 Chat - Live Fantasy Football Game Day Q&A

It's Sunday Morning Week 14... Do You Know Who to Start? Each Sunday morning of the NFL season, RotoBaller's experts will be moderating the industry's leading live chat room and answering a bunch of your fantasy football questions, from around 10:30 AM to 1:00 PM ET. Come join in on the fun, and get your... Read More


Updated Week 14 PPR Rankings (Top 300)

Welcome to Week 14 RotoBallers. Below are our updated consensus Week 14 PPR rankings for fantasy football, including some running notes on relevant injuries, player news and rankings updates: Josh Jacobs (shoulder) has officially been ruled out. Will Fuller (hamstring) is expected to miss Week 14. Adam Thielen (hamstring) has officially been ruled out. Le'Veon Bell... Read More


Fantasy Football Mailbag - Q&A for Week 14

This article's content may vary week-to-week, but generally, it will be answering questions fielded from either the @RotoBallerNFL twitter account or my personal one (@RotoSurgeon). This week, the focus is on start/sit questions, and there were plenty. Every week, many of us struggle with which quarterback to start, or who to flex, and I am... Read More


Fantasy Football Starts and Sits: Matchups Analysis for Week 14

Welcome to our Week 14 matchup analysis and start/sit column for fantasy football. We'll be covering every single contest from the Sunday slate in one convenient location, helping you make the best decisions for your fantasy lineups. Be sure to check back regularly because this article will be updated as news comes in regarding injuries and other... Read More


Monday Night Fantasy Football Starts/Sits - Week 14

Finally, we had a good fantasy matchup last week. And now, as punishment, we get this. The Eagles against the Giants is a good rivalry game. But for fantasy? Not so much. Even key players Saquon Barkley and Carson Wentz have been severely disappointing in 2019. The game is not going to be something to... Read More


Wide Receiver Matchups To Target In Week 14

In Week 13, Davante Adams and Tyreek Hill were the high-end options that had great matchups. Adams had a huge two-touchdown game while Hill only came up with 55 scoreless yards, falling victim to game flow as the Chiefs led from start to finish, scoring a defensive touchdown in the process. Several of the wide receivers... Read More


Week 14 Fantasy Football Staff Rankings

Below you will find all of RotoBaller's fantasy football weekly rankings, tiers, player news and stats for the 2019 NFL season. Our Ranking Wizard displays our staff's rankings for various league formats, all in one easy place. Here's what you'll find: Weekly PPR Rankings Weekly Half-PPR Rankings Weekly Standard Rankings Dynasty League Rankings     Fantasy... Read More


Week 14-16 Playoff Defense (DEF) Streamers and Starts - 2019 Fantasy Tiers, Rankings

The playoffs are here, and that means we're going to do things a little differently. I want to take a look at the playoffs as a whole (and in this case we are considering Weeks 14-16) and determine which DSTs you can ride all the way through and which ones you should stream this week.... Read More


Key Starters and Tough Calls - Lineup Spotlights for Week 14

Welcome to Week 14, RotoBallers! Below you will find some of my spotlight plays and tough lineup decisions for the upcoming week of the fantasy football playoffs. These player selections are based on my Premium Weekly Lineup Rankings, available as part of the RotoBaller's NFL Premium Pass. Enter promo code KING at checkout for a... Read More