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Thunder Dan's 2022-23 Fantasy Basketball Rankings and Draft Analysis

I am quite possibly more excited for this NBA season than I have been for any previous season since I was a kid. I grew up watching the golden age of the NBA in the '80s and '90s and have been an NBA fan ever since. But this season is hopefully going to be like none other before because I am more immersed in covering the NBA as a content creator than ever before.

Last year, I was surprised to win the award for best fantasy basketball writer from the Fantasy Sports Writers Association. It was a thrilling experience and I felt validated for all the hours I spent in front of spreadsheets and breaking down statistics. Now, I feel the pressure to produce even better NBA content than I have before (mainly pressure I am putting on myself, admittedly).

So it's been with great earnestness that I dug into my rankings this season and I wanted to bring you a unique 150 that you're not likely to find anywhere else in the industry. I wasn't afraid to take some stands here on players, moving guys up and down quite a bit from where they're ranked elsewhere. In addition, I will highlight a couple of guys that I'm either higher or lower on than the current consensus ADP (Yahoo! and ESPN). And so here they are, my top-150 9-Category draft rankings for the 2022-2023 fantasy basketball season.

Editor's Note: Our incredible team of writers received five total writing awards and 13 award nominations by the Fantasy Sports Writers Association, tops in the industry! Congrats to all the award winners and nominees including NBA Writer of the Year, Best NFL Series, MLB Series, PGA Writer and Player Notes writer of the year. Be sure to follow their analysis, rankings and advice all year long, and win big with RotoBaller! Read More!

 

Fantasy Basketball 9-Category Head-to-Head Rankings

Player Name Dan's
Ranking
ADP Consensus Difference
Nikola Jokic 1 1 0
Luka Doncic 2 4 2
Giannis Antetokounmpo 3 2.5 -0.5
Joel Embiid 4 4.5 0.5
Kevin Durant 5 5 0
Stephen Curry 6 5.5 -0.5
Karl-Anthony Towns 7 10 3
James Harden 8 9.5 1.5
Damian Lillard 9 16 7
Tyrese Haliburton 10 29.5 19.5
Dejounte Murray 11 18 7
LeBron James 12 9 -3
LaMelo Ball 13 12 -1
Jayson Tatum 14 8 -6
Trae Young 15 8 -7
Paul George 16 19 3
Jimmy Butler 17 20 3
Anthony Edwards 18 28 10
Pascal Siakam 19 26.5 7.5
DeMar DeRozan 20 23.5 3.5
Ja Morant 21 13.5 -7.5
Devin Booker 22 16 -6
Bam Adebayo 23 24 1
Donovan Mitchell 24 19.5 -4.5
Anthony Davis 25 19 -6
Nikola Vucevic 26 32 6
Domantas Sabonis 27 22 -5
Kyrie Irving 28 24.5 -3.5
Fred VanVleet 29 31 2
Rudy Gobert 30 26.5 -3.5
Darius Garland 31 28.5 -2.5
Kawhi Leonard 32 33 1
Chris Paul 33 32 -1
Jrue Holiday 34 38.5 4.5
Bradley Beal 35 31.5 -3.5
Cade Cunningham 36 41.5 5.5
Zach LaVine 37 39.5 2.5
Jaylen Brown 38 38 0
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 39 28 -11
Evan Mobley 40 42 2
Deandre Ayton 41 44.5 3.5
Zion Williamson 42 34 -8
Jarrett Allen 43 45 2
Khris Middleton 44 45 1
Kristaps Porzingis 45 49 4
Scottie Barnes 46 51 5
Terry Rozier 47 55 8
Brandon Ingram 48 44 -4
Christian Wood 49 50.5 1.5
CJ McCollum 50 44.5 -5.5
De'Aaron Fox 51 44 -7
Klay Thompson 52 57 5
Christian Wood 53 50.5 -2.5
Myles Turner 54 54 0
OG Anunoby 55 67 12
Desmond Bane 56 66 10
Jonas Valanciunas 57 54.5 -2.5
Tobias Harris 58 63 5
Jamal Murray 59 66 7
Tyrese Maxey 59 64.5 5.5
Alperen Sengun 60 93.5 33.5
Josh Giddey 61 64 3
John Collins 62 70 8
Draymond Green 63 66.5 3.5
Jordan Poole 64 67 3
Keegan Murray 65 100 35
Jakob Poeltl 66 70.5 4.5
D'Angelo Russell 67 59.5 -7.5
Al Horford 68 91 23
Jusuf Nurkic 69 70 1
Robert Williams III 70 45.5 -24.5
Paolo Banchero 71 75.5 4.5
Michael Porter Jr. 72 81.5 9.5
Collin Sexton 73 78 5
Jalen Brunson 74 75 1
Keldon Johnson 75 80.5 5.5
Mikal Bridges 76 79 3
Ben Simmons 77 75 -2
Malcolm Brogdon 78 75.5 -2.5
Julius Randle 79 50 -29
Wendell Carter Jr. 80 81.5 1.5
Andrew Wiggins 81 70.5 -10.5
Devin Vassell 82 102.5 20.5
Tyler Herro 83 71 -12
Clint Capela 84 68.5 -15.5
Jaren Jackson Jr. 85 70 -15
Jalen Green 86 79.5 -6.5
Jerami Grant 87 83.5 -3.5
Spencer Dinwiddie 88 118 30
Marcus Smart 89 86 -3
Tre Jones 90 124 34
Saddiq Bey 91 90.5 -0.5
Gary Trent Jr. 92 95 3
Kyle Lowry 93 87.5 -5.5
Mitchell Robinson 94 102.5 8.5
Anfernee Simons 95 87 -8
Bobby Portis Jr. 96 100 4
Franz Wagner 97 97 0
Brandon Clarke 98 130 32
Josh Hart 99 115 16
Kyle Kuzma 100 94 -6
Robert Covington 101 117 16
Gordon Hayward 102 111.5 9.5
Lauri Markkanen 103 121.5 18.5
Onyeka Okongwu 104 120 16
Cameron Johnson 105 160 55
RJ Barrett 106 94.5 -11.5
Monte Morris 107 145 38
Buddy Hield 108 89.5 -18.5
Harrison Barnes 109 111 2
Jabari Smith Jr. 110 112 2
Isaiah Stewart 111 132 21
De'Anthony Melton 112 175 63
Ivica Zubac 113 120.5 7.5
John Wall 114 111 -3
Bennedict Mathurin 115 175 60
P.J. Washington 116 125 9
Caris LeVert 117 110.5 -6.5
P.J. Washington 118 125 7
Nic Claxton 119 122 3
Kelly Oubre Jr. 120 138.5 18.5
Bones Hyland 121 171 50
Bogdan Bogdanovic 122 129 7
Patrick Williams 123 202 79
Montrezl Harrell 124 120 -4
Brook Lopez 125 118 -7
Kevin Love 126 153 27
James Wiseman 127 135.5 8.5
Jaden Ivey 128 134.5 6.5
Russell Westbrook 129 68.5 -60.5
De'Andre Hunter 130 128 -2
Jarred Vanderbilt 131 129 -2
Jalen Smith 132 107 -25
Cole Anthony 133 111 -22
Bojan Bogdanovic 134 127.5 -6.5
Will Barton 135 142 7
Markelle Fultz 136 166 30
Malik Monk 137 180 43
Mo Bamba 138 108 -30
Jordan Clarkson 139 135 -4
Obi Toppin 140 148 8
Isaiah Hartenstein 141 137 -4
Kyle Anderson 142 139 -3
Derrick White 143 124.5 -18.5
Jevonte Green 144 160 16
Otto Porter Jr. 145 151 6
Jonathan Kuminga 146 160 14
Dorian Finney-Smith 147 154 7
Chris Boucher 148 144 -4
Walker Kessler 150 198 48

 

My Guys - Players I'm Higher On

I am higher than the Yahoo/ESPN consensus ADP rankings on the following players

Dejounte Murray (PG/SG, ATL) - Consensus Ranking: 18, TD Ranking: 8

So here's a great example of where I am going against the grain and conventional wisdom. Most are worried that Murray's move to Atlanta will hurt his value as he now has to share the court with a usage hog, Trae Young.

But honestly, I'm really excited to see what he can do now that he's playing for a contender and likely playing a more up-tempo style of basketball in Atlanta. Even if his scoring takes a small hit, most of his value comes from his huge rebounding, assist, and steal totals and his efficiency.

I think his peripheral stats will still be there and that this experiment with him and Trae playing together could really work. Both guys love to play with the ball in their hands, but I don't think either of them NEEDS to and can also play off the ball. Plus, they'll likely have their minutes staggered so that one of them is on the floor at all times. Murray is a top-10 player in 9-cat and really only hurts you in threes and blocks - stats you can get from specialists later on in drafts.

Anthony Edwards (SG/SF, MIN) - Consensus Ranking: 28, TD Ranking: 18

I didn't even mention Tyrese Haliburton, who I have way ahead of the field and who I just took at #6 overall in a 30-team industry dynasty league, but it's clear that I like some of these young stars this year and I want to get out in front of the breakout. We saw somewhat of a breakout from Edwards last year, when he really began to emerge as the second top scoring option for Minnesota behind KAT, but that just feels like we are still scratching the surface.

It's tough ranking a player who is pretty reliant on scoring this high, but we saw other good signs last year like increased efficiency and some more defensive stats. He went from 19 PPG to 21 last year and I think he's going to end up with 23-25 PPG this year as he continues to evolve his offensive game and assert himself on the offensive end. This is becoming his team in Minnesota.

Al Horford (PF/C - BOS) - Consensus Ranking: 91, TD Ranking: 68

There are some other Big Al lovers out there in the business but I am probably one of the biggest. Even with the emergence of Robert Williams, I still drafted Horford in most of my leagues last year and was rewarded with a top-50 season.

Now Williams is hurt (again) and out for at least 2-3 months. When Horford plays center and doesn't have to compete for shots, boards, and assists with Williams, he puts up really solid, well-rounded lines. He might be old and boring, but I expect another solid season from Horford as he has shown no signs of decline and his style of play is not reliant on amazing athleticism. His longevity is truly impressive and a testament to his conditioning and preparation every year. Draft him in the middle rounds with confidence.

Brandon Clarke (PF/C - MEM) - Consensus Ranking: 130, TD Ranking: 84

Wanna know something cool? Brandon Clarke's per-36 averages last season were 19-10-2.5 with a steal and two blocks - on 64% shooting from the field. Those numbers would make him a top-25 player easily if he ever actually played 36 minutes a game - which he won't.

Memphis plays a deep rotation, especially during the regular season and Clarke only played around 20 minutes per night off the bench. He played closer to 25 minutes per game in the playoffs and gave us a glimpse at what even a modest increase in minutes would do to his numbers as he went 12-7-2-1-1.

Jaren Jackson Jr. is not going to miss a chunk of the time here at the beginning of the year. His timetable is very murky, though, and it could be only a month or up to two months before he's back. He's young, but my guess is that Memphis is ultra-cautious in bringing Jackson back and that we get a whole lot of Clarke here to start the season. He's a super safe pick with upside if he can earn more minutes even once Jackson is back.

 

Stay Away - Players I'm Lower On

I am lower than the Yahoo! consensus on the following players

Russell Westbrook (PG - LAL) - Consensus Ranking: 68.5, TD Ranking: 129

Remember, if you play in a points league, then by all means you can go after Westy late and hope that can pile up some counting stats and possibly bounce back from his worst season as a pro. If you play in 9-cat leagues, just don't draft Westbook - DON'T DO IT!

He ranked 229 last year in 9-cat value and was only a positive value in points, rebounds, and assists. Points and rebounds are pretty easy to find and usually come from players with solid FG% and lower turnovers. Westy is such a drag on percentages and turnovers, can't make threes, and is simply not worth the headache.

Ja Morant (PG - MEM) - Consensus Ranking: 13.5, TD Ranking: 28

Listen, I love Morant as a real-life player and he is absolutely must-watch TV when he's playing. But he has yet to show that he's a dominant fantasy player. He finished just inside the top-50 last year in overall 9-cat value and he's really only helping you in points, assists, and FG%. I just can't justify taking him in the second round when there are so many other more well-rounded players available.

Julius Randle (PF/C - NYK) - Consensus Ranking: 50, TD Ranking: 79

After turning in a huge year for the Knicks in the 2020-2021 season, Randle saw his numbers decrease across the board and his shooting percentage drop all the way to 41% last year. He's basically becoming Westbrook but as a big man, since his value is mainly only derived from counting stats and he is now hurting you in percentages and turnovers. He's massively overvalued on every site's default rankings, let someone else draft him.

Lonzo Ball (PG - CHI) - Consensus Ranking: 82.5, TD Ranking: 112

This ranking has nothing to do with Lonzo's ability and everything to do with this injury situation. He's a fine fantasy player who was off to a really solid start in Chicago before the injury. But the latest update from the Bulls sounded ominous and he was quoted as saying he can't even run or jump yet. The longer this injury drags on, the less confident I am that he plays until 2023 and you simply can't stash him and hope for the best with where he's being drafted. If he slips down to the 10th round or later, then I could see stashing him then, but I would rather be drafting healthy players who I know can contribute from the jump.

 

Color-Coded Draft Rankings

These rankings are the same as the ones above, but a different view with some color-coding:



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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Al Horford10 hours ago

Back On The Injury Report
Derrick White10 hours ago

Off The Injury Report
TJ Friedl11 hours ago

Hits 10-Day Injured List
Aaron Gordon11 hours ago

Cleared To Face Phoenix
Michael Porter11 hours ago

Jr. Good To Go Wednesday
Nikola Jokic11 hours ago

Playing Against Phoenix
Jackson Chourio11 hours ago

Will Start In Right Field Friday
Jrue Holiday11 hours ago

Might Return On Thursday
Khris Middleton11 hours ago

Expected To Play On Thursday Night
Joel Embiid12 hours ago

To Return Soon?
Jamal Murray12 hours ago

Out Again On Wednesday
Rudy Gobert12 hours ago

Ready To Rock Against Pistons
LeBron James12 hours ago

Officially Active Against Memphis
Eduardo Rodriguez12 hours ago

Starts Throwing Program
Anthony Davis12 hours ago

Won't Play Against Grizzlies
Victor Wembanyama13 hours ago

Playing On Wednesday
Anthony Edwards13 hours ago

Will Play Against Detroit
Garrett Mitchell13 hours ago

Will Miss 6-8 Weeks
Aaron Nesmith13 hours ago

Back For Pacers Wednesday
Alec Burks13 hours ago

Remains Out On Wednesday
Chad Green13 hours ago

To Lead Closer Committee In Toronto?
Mitchell Robinson13 hours ago

Returns For Knicks Wednesday
Erik Swanson13 hours ago

Jordan Romano, Erik Swanson Officially Heading To Injured List
Kevin Gausman13 hours ago

To Make Season Debut Sunday Or Monday
Dejounte Murray13 hours ago

Upgraded To Available
John Konchar13 hours ago

Downgraded To Out
Vince Williams14 hours ago

Jr. Misses Another Game On Wednesday
Giannis Antetokounmpo14 hours ago

Expected To Face The Pelicans
Gleyber Torres14 hours ago

Will Bat Leadoff On Opening Day
Mark Hubbard15 hours ago

Coming Off A Career Performance
Davis Thompson15 hours ago

Looking To Pay Off A Stellar Run Of Ball-Striking
Max Scherzer15 hours ago

Making Solid Progress
Akshay Bhatia15 hours ago

Coming Into Houston With Confidence
Thorbjorn Olesen15 hours ago

Still Trying To Find Footing On U.S. Soil
Patrick Rodgers15 hours ago

Fighting Inconsistencies Heading Into Houston
Malik Nabers16 hours ago

Shines At Pro Day
Carolina Panthers16 hours ago

Jadeveon Clowney Signing Two-Year Deal With Panthers
Jordan Lawlar16 hours ago

To Have Thumb Surgery, Out A Couple Months
Wyndham Clark17 hours ago

Battling Back Injury Ahead of Houston Open
San Francisco 49ers17 hours ago

Talanoa Hufanga Expected To Return At Training Camp
MLB17 hours ago

Braves And Phillies Rained Out On Thursday
Jayden Daniels18 hours ago

Raiders To Meet With Jayden Daniels
MLB18 hours ago

Mets And Brewers To Be Postponed Thursday
Tank Bigsby18 hours ago

Jaguars Want Tank Bigsby More Involved
Will Smith18 hours ago

Inks 10-Year Extension With Dodgers
Josh Reynolds18 hours ago

Signs Two-Year Deal With Broncos
Jon Berti19 hours ago

Yankees Acquire Jon Berti From Marlins
Kodai Senga19 hours ago

Throws Wednesday
Matt McLain19 hours ago

Undergoes Shoulder Surgery
Doug Ghim20 hours ago

Looks To Bounce Back At Houston Open
PGA20 hours ago

Cameron Davis Seeking Consistency Ahead Of Houston Open
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A Gamble At Houston Open
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Lacks Upside Heading Into Houston Open
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Will Be Chalk At Houston Open
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Scores Twice In His NHL Debut
Filip Forsberg21 hours ago

Makes History In Big Comeback Win
Jamie Benn21 hours ago

Scores In Fifth Consecutive Game
Sidney Crosby22 hours ago

Collects Three Points Versus Carolina
Artemi Panarin22 hours ago

Continues Scoring Tear With Three Assists
Joey Daccord22 hours ago

Shuts Out Ducks
Sahith Theegala22 hours ago

Showing Consistency This Season
Wyndham Clark23 hours ago

Working Toward Star Status
Scottie Scheffler23 hours ago

Heads To Houston At His Best
Colton Cowser23 hours ago

Makes Opening Day Roster
Sam Ryder23 hours ago

Putting The Lights Out Of Late
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All Systems Go For Joel Dahmen In Houston
Kurt Kitayama24 hours ago

Ready For Houston Debut
Ben Griffin24 hours ago

Finding Form Heading To Houston
Yariel Rodriguez1 day ago

Optioned To Triple-A
Taylor Moore1 day ago

Continues Made-Cut Streak Heading To Houston
Adam Svensson1 day ago

Hoping For Consistency In Houston
Taylor Montgomery1 day ago

Looks To Bounce Back In Houston
Jordan Montgomery1 day ago

Diamondbacks Agree On One-Year Deal
Amon-Ra St. Brown1 day ago

Discussing Extension With Lions
Jared Goff1 day ago

Lions Discussing New Deal
J.K. Dobbins1 day ago

Cleared For Football Activities
Los Angeles Rams2 days ago

Tre'Davious White To Join Rams
Jon Gray2 days ago

Dealing With Stiff Neck
PIT2 days ago

Sam Poulin Recalled From AHL
Jack Quinn2 days ago

Could Return Wednesday
Scott Mayfield2 days ago

Undergoes Season-Ending Surgery
TOR2 days ago

Mitch Marner Skates On His Own Tuesday
Trevor Zegras2 days ago

To Return Tuesday
Justus Annunen2 days ago

Inks Two-Year Extension
Nick Chubb2 days ago

Expected To Start Load Running Next Month
Justin Verlander2 days ago

Throws Successful Live BP Session
D'Andre Swift2 days ago

Bears View D'Andre Swift As Receiving Weapon
Cordarrelle Patterson2 days ago

Signing With Steelers
Sam Howell2 days ago

Seahawks Believe Sam Howell Can Be A Full-Time Starter
Tennessee Titans2 days ago

L'Jarius Sneed Agrees On Four-Year Contract With Titans
Dak Prescott2 days ago

No Indication A Deal Is Coming For Dak Prescott
Calvin Ridley2 days ago

To Have Big Role In Tennessee
Josh Jacobs2 days ago

To Be Used More In Passing Game
Brandon Saad2 days ago

Gets Another Goal In Monday's Loss
Logan Thompson2 days ago

Stretches Winning Streak To Three Games
Shea Theodore2 days ago

Maintains Good Scoring Form With An Assist
Brock Boeser2 days ago

Hits Goal No. 37
Cam Talbot2 days ago

Collects Fourth Consecutive Win
Anze Kopitar2 days ago

Records Fourth Straight Multi-Point Game
Oskar Sundqvist2 days ago

Suffers Knee Injury
Elias Lindholm2 days ago

Sits Out Monday
Jonathan Marchessault2 days ago

Bags Overtime Winner Monday
Pittsburgh Steelers2 days ago

Cameron Heyward Expected To Be Healthy For Training Camp
Zach Wilson2 days ago

Jets Could End Up Keeping Zach Wilson
Jarrett Stidham2 days ago

To Compete For Starting Job
Amanda Ribas3 days ago

Takes Decision Loss
Rose Namajunas3 days ago

Snaps Losing Streak
Edmen Shahbazyan3 days ago

Scores Vicious Comeback Knockout
AJ Dobson3 days ago

Knocked Out In The First Round At UFC Vegas 89
Fernando Padilla3 days ago

Gets Back On Track With Submission Win
Luis Pajuelo3 days ago

Submitted In UFC Debut
William Byron3 days ago

Dominates For Victory At COTA
Ty Gibbs3 days ago

Grabs Another Solid Finish At COTA
Chris Buescher3 days ago

Texas Native Chris Buescher Finishes Eighth At COTA
Christopher Bell3 days ago

Kyle Busch Confronts Christopher Bell Following A Top-10 Finish At COTA
Justin Haley3 days ago

Disqualified After Strong COTA Run
Martin Truex Jr3 days ago

. Rounds Out Top Ten At COTA
NASCAR3 days ago

A.J. Allmendinger Worms Way Up To Sixth At COTA
Shane Van Gisbergen3 days ago

Shane van Gisbergen Comes Down to Earth After Mediocre COTA Run
Ross Chastain3 days ago

Ran Well at COTA as Usual Despite Late-Race Fade
Christopher Bell3 days ago

Furious Charge Falls Just Short at COTA
Tyler Reddick3 days ago

Scores Strong Finish of Fifth at COTA
Chase Elliott3 days ago

Finishes 16th at COTA After Lackluster Performance
Billy Quarantillo4 days ago

Suffers Submission Loss At UFC Vegas 89
Youssef Zalal4 days ago

Gets Submission Win In Return To The UFC
Cameron Saaiman4 days ago

Gets Knocked Out At UFC Vegas 89
Payton Talbott4 days ago

Scores KO Win At UFC Vegas 89
Justin Tafa4 days ago

Drops To .500 In The UFC
Karl Williams4 days ago

Remains Undefeated In The UFC
Kyle Larson4 days ago

Is One Of The Optimal DFS Options For COTA
Denny Hamlin4 days ago

Should Denny Hamlin Be Rostered For DFS Lineups At COTA?
Kaz Grala4 days ago

Is A Serviceable DFS Play For COTA
Shane Van Gisbergen4 days ago

Will Start 12th In First COTA Cup Start
Todd Gilliland4 days ago

Is A Sneaky DFS Play With Upside For COTA
William Byron4 days ago

Is One Of The Top Favorites To Win At COTA
Christopher Bell4 days ago

Is A Comfortable DFS Play For COTA
Tyler Reddick4 days ago

the Favorite to Win at COTA
Ty Gibbs4 days ago

Looking for First Career Win at COTA
Rose Namajunas6 days ago

Looks To Get Back In Win Column
Amanda Ribas6 days ago

Set For Main-Event Matchup
Edmen Shahbazyan6 days ago

In Dire Need Of Victory
AJ Dobson6 days ago

An Underdog At UFC Vegas 89
Fernando Padilla6 days ago

Seeking Victory In Third UFC Appearance
Luis Pajuelo6 days ago

Makes His UFC Debut
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF

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